You can see outgoing rocket fire some distance away. The rocket is intercepted in the air, and breaks apart into shrapnel.
After this 2 explosions are seen: one smaller one, perhaps on the rocket launcher, and a big one on the hospital. pic.twitter.com/upR4Dnrvsq — Yousuf (@yousuf_tw) October 17, 2023
🚨EXPERT ANALYSIS: WHO BOMBED THE AL AHLI BAPTIST HOSPITAL IN GAZA? Marine Corps Veteran expert analysis of the recent bombing incident at the hospital reveals critical findings: - Fuel Explosion Duration: The initial explosion likely lasted 0.5-0.75 seconds, emitting light for a brief period. This suggests it is not an incendiary device. - Parking Lot Damage: The damage in the parking lot is attributed to either overpressure or a fuel explosion. There's minimal debris near the cars. - Shielding Effect: A surrounding building shielded one side of the parking lot, preventing diesel/gas fires from reaching the vehicles. All windows in nearby buildings shattered due to the primary and fuel explosions. - Last Video Variation: The final video displays a smaller fuel explosion, and the submunition release is less clear. CONCLUSION: - The explosive device likely ranged from 300-600 lbs. Larger bombs would've scattered more debris in the parking lot than on buildings. - A 700lb+ bomb would've caused more damage to building tops due to shockwaves. - Most visible damage is attributed to the fuel explosion; the primary explosion likely caused structural damage. Probable munitions and their possessors: 1. Mk-82/Mk-83 General Purpose Bombs: - Possessed by: Multiple countries, including the US and NATO members. Versatile, unguided bombs. 2. GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb (SDB): - Possessed by: United States and allies. Known for precision strikes. 3. GBU-12 Paveway II Laser-Guided Bomb: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Converts unguided bombs into precise munitions. 4. AGM-65 Maverick Missile: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Air-to-surface missile for precision strikes. Audio Analysis: Based on the video, we can hear what the Hamas missiles and a JDAM missile sound like. Then, we have the audio of the attack on the hospital, and it sounds very similar to a JDAM missile. Hamas does not have the infrastructure and capabilities to fire a JDAM. These insights offer clarity into the incident, highlighting potential munitions and the militaries that may possess them, and that could have been behind the attacks. FINAL CONCLUSION: Based on the evidence, this could not have been the Islamic Jihad, as claimed by the Israeli Defense Force, based on our analysis of the information we have so far. They do not possess the capabilities for such advanced weaponry. IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This is an analysis is preliminary, and is done by a Marine Corps Veteran Explosives & Ordinance Expert, and reviewed by many others. As I've said before, we CANNOT come to final conclusions just yet. The IDF has denied the above claims, and has stated it shared evidence with US Intelligence, including footage and intercepted conversations, that will prove the Islamic Jihad were behind the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. This footage and the conversations will also be made public, according to Reuters. The videos are compiled from various sources and do not represent our opinion in any way.
这是 被炸视频，以色列发布的。哈马斯的土制火箭被拦截的，掉下来 产生了 2个 爆炸点。 https://twitter.com/yousuf_tw/status/1714367757968384106 It rules out a rocket misfire. It means the possibilities are: Israel uses heat-seeking missiles (via cruise missile or airstrike) to destroy the rocket launchers, they fired some here and accidentally also hit the hospital, perhaps locked onto hospital’s power generators. 我感觉 这个评论有点道理。哈马斯的土制火箭 已经被拦截 炸毁了，就算 残片 掉下来 应该 没有那么大威力 把医院炸了。第一次那个着火点 就是掉下的残片，毫无威力。第二次 那个爆炸着火点 就是 一颗完整的导弹了 有可能 以色列发射的 拦截导弹 把医院炸了，至于 是不是 故意的 就不好说了 jack54321 发表于 2023-10-17 18:42
You can see outgoing rocket fire some distance away. The rocket is intercepted in the air, and breaks apart into shrapnel.
After this 2 explosions are seen: one smaller one, perhaps on the rocket launcher, and a big one on the hospital. pic.twitter.com/upR4Dnrvsq — Yousuf (@yousuf_tw) October 17, 2023
You can see outgoing rocket fire some distance away. The rocket is intercepted in the air, and breaks apart into shrapnel.
After this 2 explosions are seen: one smaller one, perhaps on the rocket launcher, and a big one on the hospital. pic.twitter.com/upR4Dnrvsq — Yousuf (@yousuf_tw) October 17, 2023
呵呵接着洗吧。你这个id真的是了，不遗余力的在洗
刚看了，还在。好像意思是只有jihad(应该是巴勒斯坦里面还有哈马斯之外的其他恐怖组织，以色列统称jihad了)一枚火箭弹在空中自爆掉下来了。以色列那边有没有发导弹打是撒不了谎的。
给以色列洗地的大部分都是湾湾，希望他们以后能一直保持这种乐观精神
天啦，啥火箭弹都已经自爆了，然后掉下来，还有这么大威力。
那是应该怪以色列还是应该怪哈马斯？
过去40年几十上百次联合国关于以色列的投票结果
谁来先执行下
小城市没有工作机会，也就没有压力，现在也挺好的，无论中国还是美国，都是这样
CONCLUSION:
- The explosive device likely ranged from 300-600 lbs. Larger bombs would've scattered more debris in the parking lot than on buildings. - A 700lb+ bomb would've caused more damage to building tops due to shockwaves. - Most visible damage is attributed to the fuel explosion; the primary explosion likely caused structural damage. Probable munitions and their possessors: 1. Mk-82/Mk-83 General Purpose Bombs: - Possessed by: Multiple countries, including the US and NATO members. Versatile, unguided bombs. 2. GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb (SDB): - Possessed by: United States and allies. Known for precision strikes. 3. GBU-12 Paveway II Laser-Guided Bomb: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Converts unguided bombs into precise munitions. 4. AGM-65 Maverick Missile: - Possessed by: United States and allies. Air-to-surface missile for precision strikes. Audio Analysis: Based on the video, we can hear what the Hamas missiles and a JDAM missile sound like. Then, we have the audio of the attack on the hospital, and it sounds very similar to a JDAM missile. Hamas does not have the infrastructure and capabilities to fire a JDAM. These insights offer clarity into the incident, highlighting potential munitions and the militaries that may possess them, and that could have been behind the attacks.
FINAL CONCLUSION:
Based on the evidence, this could not have been the Islamic Jihad, as claimed by the Israeli Defense Force, based on our analysis of the information we have so far. They do not possess the capabilities for such advanced weaponry. IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This is an analysis is preliminary, and is done by a Marine Corps Veteran Explosives & Ordinance Expert, and reviewed by many others. As I've said before, we CANNOT come to final conclusions just yet. The IDF has denied the above claims, and has stated it shared evidence with US Intelligence, including footage and intercepted conversations, that will prove the Islamic Jihad were behind the bombing of the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital. This footage and the conversations will also be made public, according to Reuters. The videos are compiled from various sources and do not represent our opinion in any way.
氧气？ 你怎么让自己相信的？
关于是不是军火库爆炸，你的分析完全正确，军火库爆炸不可能是一次性的全部同时爆炸。 只有两种可能性，1 以色列的导弹 2 医院埋设炸药 从目前来看哈马斯不太可能，最大的嫌疑就是以色列
那是一个精神白人的人型动物，恨不得把自己从里到外都漂白了，
想想南京大屠杀，30多万人啊
我 倾向于 哈马斯 也不是 好鸟，故意 把土制火箭的发射阵地 放在 医院附近，想让 以色列 投鼠忌器。
但 以色列 也不在乎，并不会 知道 附近有医院 就小心谨慎，导弹 照发射不误，这样 很容易打到医院。甚至打了 还发帖 警告 哈马斯，少玩这种把戏。
后来 一看死伤人数众多，国际舆论谴责，就又推卸责任了。
洗地工。恶心🤢
WW2那时候武器不行 欧洲也死了20%的人口？
所以，武器科技加权+20%
气候变暖加权 +20%
病毒影响人群cognitive ability，包括领导人智商控制力和决策力，加权 +20%
大概80%了
如果那个是真成功了，其实可以解决气候巨变导致资源枯竭导致法西斯化导致战争的问题
可是呢，失败了，所以维持原预测
（我又不是跳大神，预测当然是根据数据和推理来的。如果有重大时事变化（比如常温超导可以做到），肯定会修正结果啊）
sxbx,人家说的是威力，你来说射程，弱智吗？
除了医护病人家属，还有更多普通人在那里避难，以为以色列不会炸医院，哪知道他们把屠夫想的太好了。
关你什么事情啊？
你认错人了吧？这个帖子这么多页，我才第一次跟帖。
更何况我只是引Twitter 别人的言论，翻译一下，这都不行吗？
你以为你在别的帖子里面洗别人不知道吗？呵呵我都记得你这个id 洗的最勤
说的太好了，这样的双标狗版上可不少。
sxbx言论，拦截弹需要高速灵活，不需要大威力，只需要能引爆被拦截的导弹就可以了，和这种大威力的一颗炸弹就毁灭整个医院的炸弹完全不是同一种东西。掉下来炸了整所医院？拜托说话之前先用用脑子。
赶紧上街。游行自由。
简直无语了。要把别人踏平还不嚣张？住在加沙的人真是要谢谢美国谢谢以色列恩赐的这几个小时。
看到这种洗地贴就恶心地想吐，说的跟以色列国防军很在乎平民死亡似的，以色列国防军杀死的平民数量是哈马斯杀死的平民数量的几十上百倍！
这是瞪眼说瞎话了。油气等易燃物爆炸不是这样的。这是典型的军用炸药或炸弹爆炸。
嗯，按你的逻辑以色列真够忍辱负重的。顶着那么大国际舆论的压力，都一定要发射导弹。
公开炫耀杀死巴勒斯坦婴儿的以色列疯子要知道还有华人给他们洗地搅浑水，不知会有多无语
支持哈马斯??没病吧。。。
看视频根本不可能是火箭弹，火箭弹单发根本就没啥威力，必须连发。关键是火箭弹本来就以隐蔽性差为特点，发射会拖着长长的火舌。 哈马斯火箭弹发出来效果是这样的，藏都藏不住
以色列说的明明白白里面住的是human animal. 呵呵。
收钱发帖， 天诛地灭
推特上好多人分析，你专挑胡说八道的看。。。
以色列丧心病狂啊 给以色列洗的也差不多丧心病狂了
哎，那么开始为什么要袭击呢？没有哈马斯袭击就没有这么多伤亡。
军事长官上电视直接对着镜头叫嚣要push加沙人in to ocean 他们在乎个屁
以色列联合国的工作人员炸起来不眨眼，外国记者炸起来不眨眼。干嘛在乎他们眼里都不算人类的巴勒斯坦人。
1940年代可没有哈马斯 以色列停止杀巴勒斯坦人了吗？
联合国算个啥， 以色列连美国军舰都炸过
哈马斯是100%选出来的，代表了加沙阿拉伯人。不能恐怖袭击得手时兴高采烈，被还击时自称平民。哈马斯一贯利用医院等设施做掩护，被清除别抱怨，有本事打回去。
fb的老板就是犹太人啊 前几天还声明坚决支持以色列 看TikTok和x
以色列自我毁灭的开始。
tiktok已经被欧美警告了，看看还能坚持多久，貌似x也正在收紧
tiktok 上很多支持巴的。
真毁灭前也会拉全世界垫背，参看Samson option
一派胡言，他还是太天真，真正的犹太人一般言论次序是 1. 我祖父母是holocaust的受害者 2. 你竟然觉得责任在我们一定唯一的原因是：我们是犹太人 3. 所以你anti-semitic 4. 所以我会想尽一切办法让你社死的
如果他还闲着没事干，才会用此图中的言辞继续叨逼叨 但一般说完这四点就忙着让你去社死了，没有功夫继续叨逼叨
俄罗斯？
纳粹德国？
以色列一开始炸完医院马上发Twitter 他们成功炸了医院，还庆祝呢。后来发现全世界都发生谴责才马上删除，还嫁祸哈马斯。哈马斯的炸弹威力哪有那么厉害，看到没人信，然后又发声明说他们是炸弹坏了错了目标。但支持以色列的无论有多匡谬残忍还是一直支持。
再说以色列的人，从小是怎么教育的？虽然不代表全部人，但这些人怎么可以这么狠毒？还有支持以色列的西方社会教育出来的人，是怎么回事？是因为觉得媒体报道什么都是对的，弱者连基本生存权利都没有？
你连导弹跟火箭弹都分不清楚就敢胡说八道。 哈马斯哪里来的进攻型导弹？还“朝以色列发射多枚导弹”，哪里来的多枚导弹，你支援哈马斯的？ 你追了这么多天帖子，就是反应再迟钝基本信息也该进脑子了。哈马斯攻击只有火箭弹。一枚发射就炸死500自己的平民？难怪你逮着个网友就觉得是大聪明，因为你这简直纯傻啊
你这拿钱发帖吧？
2007年Hamas选举上台那次选举，全部人口30%不到投票，其中40%投给Hamas
也就是说，加沙人口里面所有10%左右投票给Hamas
况且，2007是最后一次投票，也就是意味着1989年后出生的人，没有1人给Hamas投过票，但是却要遭受死亡的后果
拿钱发帖的人，有人性吗？有逻辑吗？
Lol zszs
是啊 刚看到巴勒斯坦驻un的大使在记者会上说 他们有以色列庆祝炸完医院的tweet截图。。。
耶伦在接受采访的时候，说以色列攻击的时候，尽量饶了巴勒斯坦贫民的生命（她用的是spare). 那言下之意不就是以色列肯定是要攻击的，贫民的生命不是在最优先的考虑上。
耶伦可是一个女性啊，缺乏起码的对弱者的同情。
行了别洗了 以色列最初的推特直接说他们炸了医院 网上有推特截图
和朋友聊天，说现在世界真乱啊，他来了一句，让他忧心的是极端天气😓
想想小渣要搞死/收购 tiktok, 可以一手遮天了
大家要感谢艺龙感谢tiktok
已经删除了。
这个时间点敢去以色列的国家元首只有拜登了
不知道他怎么想的。他以为内塔尼亚胡舍不得杀他？反正可以洗成哈马斯火箭弹误伤
https://news.un.org/zh/story/2015/10/244022
如果这个朋友说的是全球气候变暖的巨大影响，那它说的很有道理
如果说的是他家一亩三分地的天气，那就是目光短浅
你去看看我去年的预测贴里详细说过这个问题的因果关系。气候巨变是目前全球右转法西斯化的一个重要催化剂
以色列应该不会杀拜登，但是其他人可以啊，还可以嫁祸以色列或者哈马斯都行。所以拜登还是很勇敢的
以色列上周就炸了一家医院 并且早都扬言要炸医院了
内塔尼亚胡精神状态堪忧，他肯定动过杀美国总统或者政要的念头，能不能实施而已。 拜登同志是在把美国老百姓的命做赌注啊