川普也觉得德州没有希望了吗?不会吧。。。悬 发表于 2020-10-25 17:31领先5个点10个点的地方还扔钱去rally干什么。你看两党这几天往哪个地方跑哪就是摇摆。NC WI MI FL PA 德州几乎就没去过。川普甚至连落后几点的明尼苏达都去。德州真要是接近川普还不天天去拉力,怎么可能让人抄了大本营。 chali1234 发表于 10/25/2020 5:37:48 PM
Alex Imas@alexoimas Replying to @alexoimas I arrived just as polling place opened. Short line. Thought I'd be in and out in 20 minutes tops. Even w/ this short line, it took 2+ hours. About 10 minutes into me waiting in line, the first Semi started up the residential road adjacent to voting line. It started honking. 2/5 12:09 PM · Oct 24, 2020·Twitter Web App Then the next Semi followed, then the 3rd. A motorcade of Semis, jeeps, and a few sedans drove down the road. All honking. All flying Trump 2020 flags. With people yelling out the window. This motorcade snaked around the polling place the entire time I was there (2 hrs) 3/5 Let me just say that a line of Semis honking at the same time is *LOUD*. Listening to this for hours is jarring. Election officials, who were extremely professional, could not give instructions to people in line because no one could hear them. People covered their ears. 4/5 At some point the people in line started yelling at the trucks. Some of which stopped, and started yelling back. There were enough police/officials to keep things from escalating. But all this being said: There is no telling what Nov 3 is going to be like. Vote early!
Alex Imas@alexoimas Replying to @alexoimas I arrived just as polling place opened. Short line. Thought I'd be in and out in 20 minutes tops. Even w/ this short line, it took 2+ hours. About 10 minutes into me waiting in line, the first Semi started up the residential road adjacent to voting line. It started honking. 2/5 12:09 PM · Oct 24, 2020·Twitter Web App Then the next Semi followed, then the 3rd. A motorcade of Semis, jeeps, and a few sedans drove down the road. All honking. All flying Trump 2020 flags. With people yelling out the window. This motorcade snaked around the polling place the entire time I was there (2 hrs) 3/5 Let me just say that a line of Semis honking at the same time is *LOUD*. Listening to this for hours is jarring. Election officials, who were extremely professional, could not give instructions to people in line because no one could hear them. People covered their ears. 4/5 At some point the people in line started yelling at the trucks. Some of which stopped, and started yelling back. There were enough police/officials to keep things from escalating. But all this being said: There is no telling what Nov 3 is going to be like. Vote early!
Alex Imas@alexoimas Replying to @alexoimas I arrived just as polling place opened. Short line. Thought I'd be in and out in 20 minutes tops. Even w/ this short line, it took 2+ hours. About 10 minutes into me waiting in line, the first Semi started up the residential road adjacent to voting line. It started honking. 2/5 12:09 PM · Oct 24, 2020·Twitter Web App Then the next Semi followed, then the 3rd. A motorcade of Semis, jeeps, and a few sedans drove down the road. All honking. All flying Trump 2020 flags. With people yelling out the window. This motorcade snaked around the polling place the entire time I was there (2 hrs) 3/5 Let me just say that a line of Semis honking at the same time is *LOUD*. Listening to this for hours is jarring. Election officials, who were extremely professional, could not give instructions to people in line because no one could hear them. People covered their ears. 4/5 At some point the people in line started yelling at the trucks. Some of which stopped, and started yelling back. There were enough police/officials to keep things from escalating. But all this being said: There is no telling what Nov 3 is going to be like. Vote early!
Republican设置假投票箱你怎么没说人家没下限? 有什么证据说有fraud? "There are many many proof. Just go look at them. They are very very bad people. We are totally successful" OK I get it...
Alex Imas@alexoimas Replying to @alexoimas I arrived just as polling place opened. Short line. Thought I'd be in and out in 20 minutes tops. Even w/ this short line, it took 2+ hours. About 10 minutes into me waiting in line, the first Semi started up the residential road adjacent to voting line. It started honking. 2/5 12:09 PM · Oct 24, 2020·Twitter Web App Then the next Semi followed, then the 3rd. A motorcade of Semis, jeeps, and a few sedans drove down the road. All honking. All flying Trump 2020 flags. With people yelling out the window. This motorcade snaked around the polling place the entire time I was there (2 hrs) 3/5 Let me just say that a line of Semis honking at the same time is *LOUD*. Listening to this for hours is jarring. Election officials, who were extremely professional, could not give instructions to people in line because no one could hear them. People covered their ears. 4/5 At some point the people in line started yelling at the trucks. Some of which stopped, and started yelling back. There were enough police/officials to keep things from escalating. But all this being said: There is no telling what Nov 3 is going to be like. Vote early!
我来证实一下,德州voter registration的话确实不需要填党派。vote好了以后有一张小票,我的上面写着no party affliation,我的确也不记得register的时候要填党派。我还特意查看了一下网上register vote的表格,确实没有党派一项。所以那个数据出处不太可信。
1。 registered 民主党投票踊跃。 目前有party affiliation的洲来看都是民主党领先。可能共和党人都在等着11/3 号in person 投票? 有这个可能。 但也有可能共和党选民这次不积极投票。 比如Colorado, 民主党mail ballot 的 return rate 比共和党高了12个点。 CO 是完全mail ballots的州。 所以不存在共和党人都等着大选那天in person的因素。
2。 年轻人和2016 年没有投票的人在早投中2016 年增加了。这些人通常倾向于民主党。
🔥 最新回帖
德州今年新增20% 注册选民 turnout目前看来也很高 在等一个多礼拜就知道都投的啥了
北卡的数据是切实的投票者的统计数据,不是和德州那样poll类似的估算。 24%的新增投票者说明今年的turn out超高。 因为历来共和党投票率都比民主党高。 推断新增投票者中民主党员更多是合理的。
🛋️ 沙发板凳
大统领号召粉丝去闹事,他的粉丝真的去宾州投票站捣乱去了。
Alex Imas @alexoimas
Replying to @alexoimas I arrived just as polling place opened. Short line. Thought I'd be in and out in 20 minutes tops. Even w/ this short line, it took 2+ hours.
About 10 minutes into me waiting in line, the first Semi started up the residential road adjacent to voting line. It started honking. 2/5 12:09 PM · Oct 24, 2020·Twitter Web App
Then the next Semi followed, then the 3rd. A motorcade of Semis, jeeps, and a few sedans drove down the road. All honking. All flying Trump 2020 flags. With people yelling out the window.
This motorcade snaked around the polling place the entire time I was there (2 hrs) 3/5
Let me just say that a line of Semis honking at the same time is *LOUD*. Listening to this for hours is jarring.
Election officials, who were extremely professional, could not give instructions to people in line because no one could hear them. People covered their ears. 4/5
At some point the people in line started yelling at the trucks. Some of which stopped, and started yelling back. There were enough police/officials to keep things from escalating.
But all this being said: There is no telling what Nov 3 is going to be like. Vote early!
这也不是闹着玩啊,川普没选上他们就是不稳定因素了
一枪一个小黄人
最近这些日子rally上被感染倒下的一大批死忠粉,11/3爬也要爬去投票。
跑到投票点去大吵大闹鬼喊鬼叫,这特么是去挺川的还是给民主党助选的?
他们觉得是助选,LOL
李大师给你这条多少钱?
我觉得这次选举和川普最神奇的地方就是,有人可以这么信誓旦旦理直气壮天经地义的胡说八道。 问题是真相随便翻翻都能翻到,这么言之凿凿的胡说目的何在?
更神的就是还真就有铁粉,还不少。
数据说话看趋势。这些可不是民调哦。
比不上死掉的民主党都得坟墓里爬出来投拜登
什么什么鬼
不许瞎说
明明是要带着粉丝和地球切割,不许侮辱这么好的为民除害的纲领
希拉里总票数确实是超过Trump的
自拜登儿子这张牌失灵之后,川粉们现在唯一的指望就是民调出错,复制4年前的奇迹
I’ll crawl through broken glass to vote if I have to — trumpers
就算四年前他也不是多数美国人的选择,he has never been
谷歌翻译早就设置好了,白等即便输了,也翻译成赢了。
这就是你们的居心,然后在加上重复投票。猪党真是无下限。
你自己搜搜翻译一下。
你投过票吗?每个票都能track到,怎么重复投?
他这个指的是red COVID case wave.
+1.今年除了总统选Biden,其他的还是投了共和党。2016选Trump真是搬起石头砸自己脚。
她已经说过了她没有投票权的
还有北卡,2016年注册选民民主党:共和党:无党派的数量分别是2,725,054 2,079,619 2,059,579 (40%:30%:30%),2020年是 2,607,337 2,208,384 2,439,507(36:%30%:33%) 。共和党注册选民增加13万,民主党下降12万. 而北卡早投票比例是41%:30%:29%,正式投票后民主党领先的趋势马上会下降的。
还有宾州,2016年民主党注册选民4172826共和党3280202,2020年注册选民民主党4,207,190共和党3,506,337,共和党增加22万选民,民主党只增加3万。
😂😂
你这么一说我又想起Trump今天rally说现在媒体都在报道Covid,等到11.4号媒体都会stop talking about covid
Does he really know what he is talking about...
这数据分析完全是脑子不清楚 CO不是battleground States,贴co数据有屁用? 哪个数据说明了2016没投票的早投倾向于主党?
不知道哪边更可信?
你是在反讽吗?还是真傻?
川粉的世界一般人不懂,在那里加州纽约都能翻红
不知道他们这么干争取到多少选票。
不知道为什么论坛经常有人这么说。。是人不在美国,还是不看新闻,上次川普获胜的时候好多科普,选民投票和选举人票的区别,当时投希拉里的人确实比川普要多不少。
多的是加州赢的700万票,没有用。 关键看摇摆州人数,几万人就能决定一个州的归属。 一般提普选票的才是不在美国的。
真正的蠢货不知道popular votes才是民意,electoral votes只是制度胜利,不然还统计公布popular votes做什么用
没事 川普躺赢 -黄皮川粉
拜登儿子这张牌也就黄皮右逼们hi吧,正常人谁拿这个当个事。
投希拉里的人数也比投他的多,选举制度让他捡了个漏。
也未必全是蠢,精明的川粉很多时候单纯是坏。
这怎么能说不要脸呢?美国是一个联邦国家,加州不代表整个美国,美国的electoral college 选举决定胜负,
对,反正大家为美华争来的权益,她们照样厚着脸皮享受着,也没觉得有半点不好意思,比如微信。
谁能帮我解释一下google这个翻译问题怎么影响大选?Iran发恐吓信给选民想要威胁人家改投Trump可是实实在在的 google这个我实在没懂 怎么就变成某些人的宝贝了要翻来覆去的说?
Republican设置假投票箱你怎么没说人家没下限? 有什么证据说有fraud? "There are many many proof. Just go look at them. They are very very bad people. We are totally successful" OK I get it...
同意加州不代表整个美国 同样少数人不应该代表整个美国 electoral college needs to go
公认的事实是长期以来共和党的turnout是大大高于民主党的。 也正是因为如此,共和党的turnout能再榨出的油水要少的多。 在今年整体的turnout大大增加的情况下,合理的判断是民主党会增加的票数相对共和党会多很多。 今天德州的投票已经达到76%。 期待德州历史上首次翻蓝。
哈哈翻译成赢了会影响大选,川粉真是宛若智障
山东的德州?做梦吧。拜登的关闭石油工业的言论给自己的总统之路判死刑了
我也是,16年投的川普,今天投的拜登,虽然实在不满意。
re!以为他会带来好的改变。结果身边人换了一茬又一茬,每天在twitter上跟人隔空吵架,对付新冠唯一手段就是嚷嚷Chinese virus。
哈哈哈
你从他ban微信就能看出这人逻辑思维千疮百孔着
牛的 一定是地球太filthy了
蜂王
哈哈哈
ban 微信也就算了
ban TT把GOP其他议员都给炸出来了。。。
这种损人一万还不利己一分的招真神奇
小年轻本来turnout极低 你这不是逼人家投票么 LOL
你也是经济学的?
你说谎成性就诽谤别人说谎,我贴出了截图,你就尿遁了?看看川黑是什么货色。
做梦呢啊,德州早投票659万,共和党54% :37% 遥遥领先,开放in person后更多共和党会出来投票,拿命翻盘啊。
川粉撒谎真是张嘴就来~~德州登记选举的时候,根本没有party affiliation这个选项, 所以根本无从得知早投票的党派人数,跟其他州不一样。 她们还能自己编造出数据图表。。。搞得跟真的一样,不愧是拿钱发帖的职业撒谎精。
另外今天的新闻,最新民调,拜登在德州领先一个百分点,相同机构的民调,一个月前的结果是川普领先3点。 德州翻蓝居然不是梦~~新闻可以自己去搜索,想必这点小事这里的人没有不会的。
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/texas-results
连NBC news都被左左称为假媒体了吗?
再次实锤,川粉根本看不懂英语, 看到一个图就兴奋得满世界嚷嚷, 也不管图具体代表什么,下面小字说的是啥。
你睁眼瞧瞧,主贴里用的数据就是targetsmart的,自己引用的时候洋洋得意,还发主贴满世界嚷嚷。 别人在回复里反击引用的时候就跳脚。
再次给没文化爱造谣的某些川粉科普一下廊坊学不到的美国基础选举常识。。。
美国的选举,由各州各自独立进行,每个州的规矩不一样的。
前面别人提到的那些州,都是登记选举时,有填写party affiliation这个选项的, 所以只要根据vote registration(美国投票要先登记,这个你们知道吧?)时的记录, 就可以得到早投票选民的党派数据。
而你说的德州,登记时并没有这个选项,所以根本就没有真实的数据。 所以你要么时故意造谣,要么是不懂瞎说。
targetsmarket都说了根据commercial source得到的,你有能耐去质疑他们。 主贴里也别把这些州算进national 早投比例里。
你拿一个烂poll就能代表真实数据了,真是可笑。还拿民调说话的才是廊坊监狱里的五毛。
川粉真是不死心哪,Hunter Biden的事情没起到作用,现在又揪住这点东西以为可以翻盘,做梦去吧!
虽然我是川黑,但是不得不提醒一下,这次确实是你看错了。我个人觉得德州不大可能翻蓝。但是压根儿也没指望德州翻蓝。Biden 也不需要德州翻蓝。
这个回复的主题, 是川粉造谣编造出德州early vote的党派数据, 我告诉她们,德州登记选票时没有党派这个选项, 所以根本没有这项数据。
至于德州的选举情况,形势变化快,你可以自己上网看看新闻~~ 是的,我们没指望过德州翻蓝,拜登也不需要德州, 但是德州就是这样慢慢靠过来了,虽然这次不一定能够及时上岸。
这是在他们的梦里面。现在连德州都是BIDEN领先。
川粉就信各种阴谋论。有没有,每年都有几起。抓就完了。
提倡重复投票的是川普吧。lol 每年都有选举舞弊。共和党的数量一点都不比民主党少。然后川粉各种阴谋论。
FL是你说的这样的。但是在NC, IN PERSON投票都是民主党领先。
川粉已经完全从2016年的silent majority变成obnoxious minority了。这次必须把川普干掉。让美国以后再也没有人敢出来搞民粹。
底下有解释。Party registration is modeled by TargetSmart from multiple commercial sources.
咱们都不说德州, 只说佛州,对川普来说时生死战, 对拜登来说也是可有可无, 就算NC,拜登也可以不要。。。 现在川普的选情,是要把所有摇摆州一个不少都拿下, 然后还要翻红宾州才行。
川普下台,会连带着把共和党打入十八层地狱,20年不得翻身。而且社会主义是美国发展的大方向,不以你我的意志为转移。德州20%的VOTER是新的VOTER, 2016年没有投过票的。