Mnuchin says U.S. economy could open in May, defying experts 3 MIN READ
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Thursday that the American economy could start to reopen for business in May, despite many medical experts saying that closures and social distancing measures will need to stay in place for longer to defeat the coronavirus.
Asked on CNBC whether he thought President Donald Trump could reopen the U.S. economy in May, Mnuchin said, “I do.”
“As soon as the president feels comfortable with the medical issues, we are making everything necessary that American companies and American workers can be open for business and that they have the liquidity they need to operate the business in the interim.”
U.S. economists have cautioned against bringing large numbers of people back to their workplaces too quickly.
“When the spread of the virus is under control, businesses will reopen, and people will come back to work,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in Washington on Thursday morning. “There is every reason to believe that the economic rebound, when it comes, can be robust.”
Trump on Wednesday said he hoped to reopen the economy with a “big bang” once the death toll from the virus is on the downslope. He did not give a timeframe for that reopening, but his chief economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, said on Tuesday it could take place in four to eight weeks.
Economists have cautioned against bringing large numbers of people back to workplaces too quickly, because that could spark new outbreaks and deal a major setback to recovery efforts.
A paper co-authored by Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Emil Verner in March about the response to the 1918 flu epidemic found that cities that restricted public gatherings sooner and longer had fewer deaths - and ultimately emerged from that pandemic with stronger economic growth.
Weighing the economy against protecting people from infection or death is a “false tradeoff” he told Reuters in March.
Fed Chair Powell took a more cautious approach to reopening the economy, saying that much depended on the advice of medical experts and the government’s health officials.
But speaking in a Brookings Institution webcast event, he said he welcomed a healthy debate on how and when the economy could be reopened safely.
“We need to have a plan, nationally, for reopening the economy,” Powell said. “While we all want it to happen as quickly as possible, we all want to avoid a false start, where we partially reopen and that results in a spike in coronavirus cases and then we have to go back again to square one.”
Reporting by David Lawder; editing by Jonathan Oatis
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
疫情派和经济派的不同意见。报道也说了despite many medical experts saying that closures and social distancing measures will need to stay in place for longer to defeat the coronavirus
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
我们郡本周五开始drive through 随机测试，不需要有症状。随着测试能力上去，肯定会逐渐复工。昨天我们头参加Dr.Birx 的全国医院检验室电话会议，有70多个实验室，这次集中的是使用Abbot 仪器的医院，主要瓶颈是咽拭子。波士顿一家公司开发出来新技术，一周可以生产百万枝，FDA会在两周内批准。之后这将不是问题。大家公认中国和南韩试剂盒准确性太差。
Mnuchin says U.S. economy could open in May, defying experts
3 MIN READ
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Thursday that the American economy could start to reopen for business in May, despite many medical experts saying that closures and social distancing measures will need to stay in place for longer to defeat the coronavirus.
Asked on CNBC whether he thought President Donald Trump could reopen the U.S. economy in May, Mnuchin said, “I do.”
“As soon as the president feels comfortable with the medical issues, we are making everything necessary that American companies and American workers can be open for business and that they have the liquidity they need to operate the business in the interim.”
U.S. economists have cautioned against bringing large numbers of people back to their workplaces too quickly.
“When the spread of the virus is under control, businesses will reopen, and people will come back to work,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said in Washington on Thursday morning. “There is every reason to believe that the economic rebound, when it comes, can be robust.”
Trump on Wednesday said he hoped to reopen the economy with a “big bang” once the death toll from the virus is on the downslope. He did not give a timeframe for that reopening, but his chief economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, said on Tuesday it could take place in four to eight weeks.
Economists have cautioned against bringing large numbers of people back to workplaces too quickly, because that could spark new outbreaks and deal a major setback to recovery efforts.
A paper co-authored by Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Emil Verner in March about the response to the 1918 flu epidemic found that cities that restricted public gatherings sooner and longer had fewer deaths - and ultimately emerged from that pandemic with stronger economic growth.
Weighing the economy against protecting people from infection or death is a “false tradeoff” he told Reuters in March.
Fed Chair Powell took a more cautious approach to reopening the economy, saying that much depended on the advice of medical experts and the government’s health officials.
But speaking in a Brookings Institution webcast event, he said he welcomed a healthy debate on how and when the economy could be reopened safely.
“We need to have a plan, nationally, for reopening the economy,” Powell said. “While we all want it to happen as quickly as possible, we all want to avoid a false start, where we partially reopen and that results in a spike in coronavirus cases and then we have to go back again to square one.”
Reporting by David Lawder; editing by Jonathan Oatis
Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
🔥 最新回帖
这不叫钻牛角尖，这叫死要装逼。他不知道也不想承认装逼过头是要被雷劈的。
你们五毛还可以互相呼应？
🛋️ 沙发板凳
could 这里是有能力的意思。而不是maybe的意思， 如果是他会说may open了吧。我的两cents，也不确定。
纽约总共就那么多人，还能喷个没完嘛？
测得基本有症状的，没症状的早就百万了。
剩下的有钱的躲在家里也染不上。
复工的具体标志是什么？
国民的生活，消费，储蓄的习惯还真是挺重要的，亚洲人的储蓄习惯挺好
死的更多更少不清楚。 不过昨天看了一篇印度人写的social distance is a privilege的文章，写的挺真诚的。
他说，贫穷的印度人根本负担不起social distance，在家里，一大家子挤在那么小的贫民窟里，整个大贫民窟的人用一个公用厕所，一个自来水龙头等等条件， 这样的生存条件，对印度穷人来说，在家social distance, 还真不如在大街上瞎溜达安全。
写的挺touching的。
穷人都很年轻体状。赶快免疫最好。
是的，很快我们就可以问问它了
武汉程度的封城，美国一天都没做到过
光测试没用的，还需要密切接触人群的追踪/定位，这条怎么破？
昨天还和我老婆谈白宫怎么测试呢。 我感觉每天见川普的就是每天在白宫当场测试，等十分钟结果出来，没问题了，再进入白宫，和川普开会等。 如果快递测试实现了，不花钱的话，大家出门前自己测试，或者，在办公楼门口或者停车场测试，没问题了进入大楼办公。 也还不错。。。 我的猜想make sense吗？
自愿？老板叫你去干活，谁敢不去？
到时看看纽约州人的命在政客眼里到底值几毛
先检测，才能确定谁该被定位。一个个区域的开放，应该可以作到。如果测试的准确性和速度能跟上，是完全可以作到的。我们郡六万人，我们医院每天可以测500多，下周可以达到2000多，这还不是最快的那种。而且已经闭关快三周了，不是每个人都需要测。
大蔓延病死，经济垮饿死，等死
是这个意思。
一开始这个量很可以了，一个区域一个区域的测嘛
美国人的命在政客里真不值钱。
以后肯定可以普及，现在这种仪器还不多。绝大多数还是传统的仪器。
危言耸听
没有资源每天每人测，需要（根据人口密度）大规模随机测试，不能只选择性测有症状的人，才能推算出高危地区的实际感染率，安全区可以解禁，高危区的low risk人口也可以回去上班，然后继续监视数据走势也许可以对病毒扩散做出预警。只靠抗体也不够，今天看了一篇文章说德国爆发最严重的一个城市做了全民抗体测试，人口一千左右，有抗体的人是14%，看来即使病毒肆虐过的地区，还是没有足够人有抗体对付下一次爆发。
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one-town-in-germany/
我们州长说了不可能
是的，肯定是一边测，一边观察，重症收治，阳性无症状或轻症隔离。
正解，因为WA可能会在5月reopen，但是NYC可能要6月了。
我们州学校直接停到6月份了，今年上半年学期就结束了。
肯定会。现在各种吹风，就是为了五月复工做准备
Could可以作maybe的意思。而且这里如果表示有能力，应该用can而不是could
各种吹风的代价就是人命，知道吗？现在大家已经为“big flu”的口号付出了1万5条生命了。我们看到的数字不是股票，是人命来填的、每个生命背后是一个个家庭，那是个黑窟窿。所以就不要发表不尊重逝者和生命的言论了。
Good idea. 应该全美推行普测抗体。
测抗体的机器是不是出来了？
幸亏我已经退休，不过想起来以前给人剥削，起码没有冒着生命危险。
好难过
我儿子才上preschool的，老早停了，不就是那个NSD学区里面的。呵呵，女儿才是个小婴儿。我打算秋天homeschool我儿子一年，明年秋天再去读小学。
各州说了也不算，要病毒说了才算！现在每天几万的增加，一天死亡快两千，还每天嚷嚷reopen没完没了，烦死了。
股神，最近没见到您？对股市怎么看，是不是赶紧抄底了？
没什么说的briefing隔天几天开也可以，不用每天演戏车轱辘话翻来覆去做复工动员大会。
mm是全职妈妈吗？现在真羡慕财富自由的人，可以辞职在家，不用冒着生命危险去赚pay check
没有。这种底我没敢炒。我个人感觉股市现在抬起来准备大跌了。
川普是用了很多方法让公司能继续下去。不过本不治问题一直在。可能他在希望天变暖瘟疫能消失，可是目前看好像不可能。大多公司第一季度财报肯定不好，可是投资人现在不怎么重视。都观望第二季度，可是公司不会给第二季度的guidance，因为大家都不知道会怎么样。现在市场反应是6月会变好。我个人觉得太乐观了，大家都返工的话。。。不敢想象会多严重。我个人认为当大家认为瘟疫会长期在的时候，股市就要再跌了。
怀疑。
中国和南韩是如何在试剂盒准确性太差的情形下控制住的呢？不是专家，不懂这技术那仪器的，但从事情本身分析，感觉更像美国的自大。
哎，所以这次疫情，对很多在美国的我们，无非就是自己辛苦一些，不能出门，娱乐什么的要减少，孩子要在家。对那些贫穷国家的人，真的是挺残酷的。
我工作过的同事就有这些钻牛角尖的人。准确性差不差不是第一位好不好！？普及率高不高是第一位。80%的准确率现在大家都可以用，和95%的准确率要等等只能或者只能一部分人用，选择80%的对于抗疫效果明显的多的多。
中国和南韩都控制住了，高准确率重要吗？美国现在一天死2000人了！南韩总共才死200人。你说这话臊不臊啊！
等你2周后批准，疫情翻几翻了？2周内又发现问题了呢？美国是一个月从几百个人到几十万个人感染。你还要2个星期？
你家客厅着火了，是用面盆马上捞水扑火，还是打电话给消防局等他们大消防车来再救火啊？
中国那不是80%准确率，是堪比扔硬币的准确率。
你家着火了，难不成你浇桶汽油去灭火吗？？？？
还记得周末百万，下周400万。这个400万到现在还没实现吧
Trump/Pence领导的Task force很多话听听就算了。说老实话，跟tg在疫情方面的公信力差不多。
别看谣言当事实，你觉得中国扔硬币的准确率能消灭疫情吗？你看中国国内还有人挤兑医院吗？中国都翻篇了，你还蒙在鼓里呢。
中国能控制住疫情靠的不是测试准确，事实上ct确诊就说明tg自己也知道测试不准确。中国控制的好，还是要感谢大部分中国人自觉蹲家，不管有病没病都蹲家不出门。
中国是第一个爆发国, 没有时间太过追求检验盒的准确率.
才会中途改变确诊方针, 换成CT有出现症状也能确诊.
美国这次做的太烂了, 现在只能拼命甩锅.
做的好的国家, youtube好几个影片介绍, 几个月前是如何提前怖署.
官员和人民, 那种齐心合力的气氛.
美国这次真的曝露出太多问题了,
要虚心修正, 不是用狂妄自大来掩饰.
也是政府后来没再捂着盖着告诉大家没这回事儿，没和大家说就是大号流感，要不然老百姓咋那么听话不出门，很多人等米下锅要出门打工呢。