这里明显是小编的笔误。英文报道宾州民调的结果是:贺锦丽以49%的支持率略微领先46%的川普, 即贺锦丽在宾州领先川普3个百分点
Vice President Kamala Harris holds an advantage over former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania as well as two of the Keystone State’s bellwether counties according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll released Monday night.
Harris, the Democratic candidate, has a three-point lead over the Republican nominee, 49-46%, in a survey of 500 likely voters in the Commonwealth in a poll conducted Sept. 12-15. The results are within the poll’s margin of error of +/-4.4.
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另外,《今日美国报》(USA Today)、索夫克大学(Suffolk University)合作民调,11至15日之间针对关键摇摆州宾州500名选民实施调查,其中贺锦丽以45%的支持率略微领先46%的川普,但该结果仍在4.4个百分点的误差范围内。据悉,宾州拥有19张选举人票,是摇摆州之中选举人票数最多的周。
宾州有2个郡。在过去2次总统选举中,谁赢这2个郡,谁就赢总统选举。 这次民调,在Northampton郡,贺锦丽50% - 45% 领先川普。 在另一个郡,Erie郡,贺锦丽48% - 44% 领先川普. 在这个郡的领先,超过前2次总统选举。
Harris had a five-point edge (50-45%) over Trump in Northampton County, located in eastern Pennsylvania and is the home of the cities of Bethlehem and Easton. President Joe Biden carried the county, 50-49%, in 2020 after Trump topped Hillary Clinton, 50-46%, in 2016.
In the northwest corner of the Commonwealth, Harris carries a four-point advantage over Trump, 48-44% – a larger margin than either winner produced in the last two elections. Biden squeezed out a 1-point edge (50-49%) in winning in 2020, while Trump had a two-point triumph in Erie, 49-47%, four years earlier.
前保守派律师 George Conway,川普知道他已经在下沉,他的tricks 都不工作了,再也煽动不起人们投票的热情,所以川普很绝望,因为他不仅是run for President, 也是run from prison, 所以他发推骂“我恨Taylor Swift", 以及拿移民吃狗吃猫说事。
https://www.yahoo.com/news/knows-hes-going-down-george-061904243.html
Conway noted Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) on Sunday admitted he had to “create stories” about unsubstantiated rumors of immigrants eating pets to get attention.
But even that hasn’t been enough to save Trump’s campaign.
共和党内部处于分裂中。那个Marjorie Taylor Greene 也开始开骂川普信任的顾问Laura Loomer.
▲总统辩论后,贺锦丽在民调支持率上拉开了与川普之间的差距。
美国总统大选辩论会于当地时间本月10日登场,民主党候选人、现任美国副总统贺锦丽首度对上共和党候选人、前总统川普。此次辩论中,贺锦丽的表现机警沉着,最后让川普一步步掉落她设下的陷阱。辩论之后实施的民调,贺锦丽在支持率上逐渐拉开与川普之间的差距,以51%击败川普的45%。
根据美媒《国会山报》,美国市调公司「晨间谘询」(Morning Consult)从13至15日针对美国境内1万1022名选民进行民调,并于当地时间17日公布民调结果,结果显示贺锦丽获得了51%的支持率,击败支持率只有45%的川普,双方之间的差距达到6个百分点,不仅超越总统辩论前的民调差距(3%),更超越了误差范围。
在无党派人士中,贺锦丽的支持率同样超越川普,47%的选民支持贺锦丽、41%的选民支持川普。在观看辩论会后的选民中,61%的选民认为贺锦丽是此次辩论会的赢家、33%的选民则认为川普表现更加出色。至于在共和党内,则是约5分之1的人认为贺锦丽表现得比川普更优秀。
在好感度方面,贺锦丽同样也占有优势,在受访的潜在选民当中,超过一半的选民(53%)对贺锦丽保持好感,而对川普保持好感的选民则占44%。
民调也发现,在18至34岁的年轻族群选民当中,56%的选民支持贺锦丽、41%的选民支持川普。至于在非裔族群选民中,贺锦丽也足足领先60个百分点,高达78%的非裔族群选民支持贺锦丽,只有18%的选民支持川普。
另外,《今日美国报》(USA Today)、索夫克大学(Suffolk University)合作民调,11至15日之间针对关键摇摆州宾州500名选民实施调查,其中贺锦丽以45%的支持率略微领先46%的川普,但该结果仍在4.4个百分点的误差范围内。据悉,宾州拥有19张选举人票,是摇摆州之中选举人票数最多的周。
《国会山报》也与美国选举预测机构网站决策台总部(Decision Desk HQ)合作实施民调,数据指出贺锦丽以49.6%的支持率略微领先46.2%的川普,双方之间相差3个百分点。