COVID-19 will neither be the last pandemic nor the worst. Its lessons will dictate how well the U.S. prepares for the next one—and the country should start with its understanding of what preparedness actually means. In 2019, the Global Health Security Index used 85 indicators to assess how ready every country was for a pandemic. The U.S. had the highest score of all 195 nations, a verdict that seems laughable just one year later. Indeed, six months into this pandemic, the index’s scores had almost no correlation with countries’ actual death rates. If anything, it seems to have indexed hubris more than preparedness.
Vietnam, the first country to contain SARS in 2003, “immediately understood that a few cases without an emergency-level response will be thousands of cases in a short period,” said Lincoln, the San Francisco State medical anthropologist, who has worked in Vietnam extensively. “Their public-health response was just impeccable and relentless, and the public supports health agencies.” At the time of my writing, Vietnam had recorded just 1,451 cases of COVID-19 all year, fewer than each of the 32 hardest-hit U.S. prisons.
Rwanda also took the pandemic seriously from the start. It instituted a strict lockdown after its first case, in March; mandated masks a month later; offered tests frequently and freely; and provided food and space to people who had to quarantine. Though ranked 117th in preparedness, and with only 1 percent of America’s per capita GDP, Rwanda has recorded just 8,021 cases of COVID-19 and 75 deaths in total. For comparison, the disease has killed more Americans, on average, every hour of December.
下面的一段是从The Atlantic上的一篇文章里copy来的。让我想起作为业内人士的GoGym网友在今年一二月时信心十足地保证 - 美国的防疫是最高水平的，大家不用担心，美国一定没事。现在才知道原来不只是美国医疗业内人士，世界医疗专业组织都认为美国防疫水平最高。
今年是专家，政府，机构，组织灰头土脸的一年，都被拉下神坛了。 https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/12/pandemic-year-two/617528/
COVID-19 will neither be the last pandemic nor the worst. Its lessons will dictate how well the U.S. prepares for the next one—and the country should start with its understanding of what preparedness actually means. In 2019, the Global Health Security Index used 85 indicators to assess how ready every country was for a pandemic. The U.S. had the highest score of all 195 nations, a verdict that seems laughable just one year later. Indeed, six months into this pandemic, the index’s scores had almost no correlation with countries’ actual death rates. If anything, it seems to have indexed hubris more than preparedness.
Vietnam, the first country to contain SARS in 2003, “immediately understood that a few cases without an emergency-level response will be thousands of cases in a short period,” said Lincoln, the San Francisco State medical anthropologist, who has worked in Vietnam extensively. “Their public-health response was just impeccable and relentless, and the public supports health agencies.” At the time of my writing, Vietnam had recorded just 1,451 cases of COVID-19 all year, fewer than each of the 32 hardest-hit U.S. prisons.
Rwanda also took the pandemic seriously from the start. It instituted a strict lockdown after its first case, in March; mandated masks a month later; offered tests frequently and freely; and provided food and space to people who had to quarantine. Though ranked 117th in preparedness, and with only 1 percent of America’s per capita GDP, Rwanda has recorded just 8,021 cases of COVID-19 and 75 deaths in total. For comparison, the disease has killed more Americans, on average, every hour of December.
一个人搞错了也不是big shame呀。
就是看到盲目的自信
........其它的不说了
https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/kghy/3284167.html
https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/kghy/3293618.html
估价现在她发了， 不过她当初是被人笑话的
我觉得经过今年三月的跌和后来的迅速回升大家普遍不害怕了，一有跌就买。我其实担心哪天大家都不再当回事了，大跌真的又来了。
https://www.wenxuecity.com/news/2020/12/29/10187188.html
英格兰封禁一段时间了，可感染人数仍然蹭蹭往上窜。昨天都到了近6万人。从来都没有这么高过。所以有可能还是打疫苗吧。
当时TRUMP 和中国断航， 我们都觉得那是好的决策 (我现在还认为那是对的)。想不到病毒会在欧洲流行。 当时我确实没有想到， 你想到了吗?
专家不止她一个。她当然不是有意的，她只是和好多其他专家一样有些过于盲目自信了。
她就是不狡猾，世故而已。
如果说我当时有啥不爽的，不是她的信息和观点，而是当时有人利用她的信息，对疫情表示担忧的人，形成打压气氛。还莫名给人带 五 毛 等帽子。
其实这种现在还在存在的，哪怕是信息已经明朗的情况。
人都有局限性。哪来那么多诸葛亮啊，对人有善意是最根本的。我觉得GG是做到这点的。
不针对你啊，就是跟帖发感想。
别的我就不说了。GG妹妹是个非常出色的科学家。period
被戴帽子的估计赚钱不少
If it matters..
其实我想说的是这个。盲目自信或者说傲慢难道不是美国抗疫失败的原因吗？我并不针对某一个人。
人类共同的盲点，有时是以为知道但不知道，有时是根本不知道还有其他的不知道。人要学会being humble，别一开始就下结论。
美国人因为自己是权威所以一般不愿意听别人的。非要自己从头来过。比如戴口罩的事情
这次是领教了。
其实我才不在乎你来不来呢。就是每次看你的东西没觉得有什么共鸣，所以没法拍马屁。反而是有的观点让我大跌眼镜，不说出来会如鲠在喉。
在美国，愚蠢愚昧都不能被讥笑斥责，因为那是人家的”自由。“ 多数人没有足够的谦卑能认识到自己其实有无数的东西不懂。
Politics stymied science是NYT上一篇文章里对中国抗疫的批评，其实也同样是美国抗疫的缺陷。就连小小的垮坦都是如此。
她就是传达一下CDC的当时对冠的认识和研究进展。有什么错？楼主怎么不说fauci,怨得上GG。新冠死人和她什么关系。这坛子里有因为她的信息死人吗？你们都什么逻辑
会想到DS的厉害哈哈。要算账找TG WHO 那个fauci去算账，和GG有什么关系？