”I totally missed this stock”

三心三意
楼主 (文学城)

这是投资中唯一而目永恒不变的事实:市场上有5000家公司上市,从概率上说,”I totally missed this stock” 是一个100 %的事件,也不可能带来任何财富

相反,深入了解自己能掌握的行业,投资并重仓投资自己对其基本面有认识的公司,才是有效的投资之道

至于”万一这是一家yahoo” 怎么办?well,我只能说如果你没有能力去asses为什么要投一家公司,或者在yahoo 拒绝微软收购时判断这公司已无长期投资资值,确实应该定投大盘

三心三意
对于任何一家你投资的长期龙头股,必须要回答2个问题:a: 我为什么长投这家公司 b: 什么样的基本面的改变要促使我exit
B
BrightLine
I think AWS is losing Cloud share to Azure... I wrote below

because they did not buy enough NVDA chips and no one wants their own chips. MSFT relies on NVDA chips

我是一只井底蛙
很多时候,说完“I totally missed this stock”,若干时间回头再看,“this stock” 又

翻倍了!

错过了“最佳买点”不等于就永远错过了买入的机会。只要判断“从现在买入”他继续上涨的概率很高,就可以买入。

三心三意
i don’t think this true
桃花源里人家
同意这个说法。过去十几年,7大科技巨头股票创造了巨大财富,什么时候进去都很好
B
BrightLine
that is why they say they did not have enough capacity

I saw the analysis some where...

三心三意
MSFT said same thing on the earning call
b
bogbog
是的
三心三意
this has been the case for last 2 yrs
三心三意
我的原文本来意思是不要跟风,不要追热股。当然你说的也是对的,对自己真正了解的公司也不票在乎几个点位的差价
B
BrightLine
No. Last few quarters AWS' growth rate is 19% or 21%
三心三意
i mean Azure growth has been higher than AwS in last 2 yrs
B
BrightLine
In the past, they either all grow or all slow together
g
gladys
我们不懂股,但是可以蒸馏亮线的博客...