BTW，SPX 5786 is very close to its 200D moving avearge. If you look at SPX history, it usually test and re-test 200D MA a couple of times before deciding the final direction. So, won't be suprised if we continue to whipsaw ups and downs here
No one here has "ANY" freaking clue about the future of economy, including myself. Any guess here regarding marco economy and geopolitcal situation is purely a throw of dice.
What we can do is to follow the big money. If institutions do not step in at the current critical support level, the market is going a lot lower. It is just that simple.
结构的大方向上没有变化，继续注意反弹力度。如果反弹在SPX 5650-5700 (这个比周末写的高一点，因为昨天低点没有到5400）以下仍然是red "ii" 的反弹
高于这个区间，有希望re-test 上周高点. 指数需要重新站稳在上周高点以上（5786），才能考虑重回绿色路径。
当然如果明天指数直接跌过昨天的低点，红色路径就确认了。
BTW，SPX 5786 is very close to its 200D moving avearge. If you look at SPX history, it usually test and re-test 200D MA a couple of times before deciding the final direction. So, won't be suprised if we continue to whipsaw ups and downs here
This is from the post on Sunday
下周，如果标普指数（SPX）直接跌破5506（3月13日的低点），并且如果我们建立一些Buffer到5400，如果SPX跌破5400，那么我看我们有非常高的概率已经走上了红色路径，市场很可能已经见顶
如果标普指数在5506或者5400找到支撑，我将观察反弹情况，看它是否能回到5615-5650区域之上。如果SPX未能突破这一区域，那么这仅仅意味着它在做红色ii 的反弹，我们仍然处于整体的红色路径上。
要确认我们仍然在绿色路径上，标普指数需要超过绿色高点，大约是5780。 BTW, these also happen to be 200D moving average
No one here has "ANY" freaking clue about the future of economy, including myself. Any guess here regarding marco economy and geopolitcal situation is purely a throw of dice.
What we can do is to follow the big money. If institutions do not step in at the current critical support level, the market is going a lot lower. It is just that simple.
我的任何发言，不要当真。
我的任何发言，不要当真。