Trade Tensions: The escalating trade war between the United States and China created uncertainty in the markets. Tariffs imposed by both countries raised concerns about the impact on global trade and economic growth.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve raised interest rates multiple times throughout the year. While these hikes were intended to normalize monetary policy, they led to concerns about the potential slowing of economic growth and the impact on corporate profits.
Tech Sector Sell-off: The technology sector, which had been a major driver of market gains, experienced significant declines, particularly in the latter part of the year. Concerns over regulation, data privacy, and valuation levels contributed to this sell-off。
2022年股市调整原因:
Rising Inflation: Inflation rates surged to multi-decade highs, driven by supply chain disruptions, increased consumer demand, and rising energy prices. This led to concerns about the purchasing power of consumers and the overall economy.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes: In response to rising inflation, the Federal Reserve began increasing interest rates aggressively throughout the year. Higher interest rates can slow economic growth and reduce corporate profits, leading to market declines.
Geopolitical Tensions: The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 created significant geopolitical uncertainty, contributing to volatility in energy prices and global markets.
Supply Chain Issues: Ongoing supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, continued to impact various sectors, leading to production delays and increased costs.
Tech Sector Weakness: Many technology stocks, which had seen significant gains during the pandemic, faced sharp declines as interest rates rose and investors reassessed growth expectations.
Economic Slowdown Concerns: As inflation persisted and interest rates rose, concerns about a potential economic slowdown or recession grew, leading to increased market volatility.
共同点:Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes:
咱的总结:这次联储会预计有2-3次减息。That will make a huge difference.
1)2018年的回撤,持续了将近3个月,QQQ回撤了23%左右;
2)2022年的回撤,持续了9~10个月, QQQ回撤了36~37%;
3)本次回撤自2月中旬开始,仅仅一个月多一点,QQQ仅回撤了13.6%。
本次回撤的基本面背景要比2018年和2022年严重得多,现在大盘的回撤可能已经见底了吗?简单的对比一下就应该明白啦!
2018年股市调整原因:
Trade Tensions: The escalating trade war between the United States and China created uncertainty in the markets. Tariffs imposed by both countries raised concerns about the impact on global trade and economic growth.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve raised interest rates multiple times throughout the year. While these hikes were intended to normalize monetary policy, they led to concerns about the potential slowing of economic growth and the impact on corporate profits.
Tech Sector Sell-off: The technology sector, which had been a major driver of market gains, experienced significant declines, particularly in the latter part of the year. Concerns over regulation, data privacy, and valuation levels contributed to this sell-off。
2022年股市调整原因:
Rising Inflation: Inflation rates surged to multi-decade highs, driven by supply chain disruptions, increased consumer demand, and rising energy prices. This led to concerns about the purchasing power of consumers and the overall economy.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes: In response to rising inflation, the Federal Reserve began increasing interest rates aggressively throughout the year. Higher interest rates can slow economic growth and reduce corporate profits, leading to market declines.
Geopolitical Tensions: The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 created significant geopolitical uncertainty, contributing to volatility in energy prices and global markets.
Supply Chain Issues: Ongoing supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, continued to impact various sectors, leading to production delays and increased costs.
Tech Sector Weakness: Many technology stocks, which had seen significant gains during the pandemic, faced sharp declines as interest rates rose and investors reassessed growth expectations.
Economic Slowdown Concerns: As inflation persisted and interest rates rose, concerns about a potential economic slowdown or recession grew, leading to increased market volatility.
共同点:Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes:
咱的总结:这次联储会预计有2-3次减息。That will make a huge difference.
先诉苦,"你们谁谁谁对我不好。总欺负我“
然后就是折腾。”你们对我不好吧,那我就折腾你们。让你们天天睡不着觉。“
最后要是还不行,那咱们就一起下水。搞一个全球性衰退,大家都别玩。哈哈。
估计最后其他人都是”算了算了,看他也80多了,想要什么就给他吧“。
反正一通折腾后,油价下跌,经济衰退,失业率上升,最后联储会被迫大幅降息。
在这个经济环境里有几个赚钱方法
1:变成YouTuber, 开通政治经济频道。不管你站哪边,都一定流量足足的。
2:参与政治团体,肯定有人大把给钱搞运动
3:股市高抛低吸,跟着瞎折腾。也许也能搞到钱。
4:。。。
时势造英雄,折腾能赚钱。
LOL