拍脑袋没用， 还是要遵守经济规律 ‘I hate to predict things’: Trump doesn’t rule out US recession amid trade tariffs ‘I hate to predict things’: Trump doesn’t rule out US recession amid trade tariffs
President downplays recent stock market volatility that followed his ducking and weaving over tariff policy
Guardian staff and agency Sun 9 Mar 2025 15.45 EDT Share
Donald Trump on Sunday refused to rule out the possibility that the US economy will head into recession this year and that inflation will rise, as his chaotic trade tariffs policy cause uncertainty and market turbulence.
The US president predicted that his economic goals would take time and a period of transition to bear fruit. But when asked in an interview with the Fox News show Sunday Morning Futures “are you expecting a recession this year?” he demurred.
“I hate to predict things like that. There is a period of transition, because what we’re doing is very big. We’re bringing wealth back to America. That’s a big thing. And there are always periods of, it takes a little time. It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us,” Trump said.
When asked whether he thought his tariffs on US imports would fuel inflation, he said: “You may get it. In the meantime, guess what? Interest rates are down.”
He downplayed recent stock market volatility that followed his ducking and weaving over tariff policy on exports from Canada, Mexico and China and similar threats to other countries, despite his usual fixation with market performance in relation to the politics of the day and an appetite to claim credit when stocks rise on his watch.
“You have to do what’s right,” he said.
Last week the Atlanta Federal Reserve suggested that the US economy is on course to contract in the first quarter, triggering fears a recession could hit the world’s largest economy if weakness persisted and fueling stock market jitters.
In 2018 Trump posted on Twitter, now X, that “trade wars are good, and easy to win”, a view that is not widely shared by financial and economic experts.
On Sunday, however, he was cautious overall after boasting throughout his election campaign of the swift gains his policies would bring for the US economy and ordinary Americans’ finances.
Fox News Sunday Morning Futures anchor Maria Bartiromo introduced the topic of recession by telling Trump “look, I know you inherited a mess”, even though most experts agree that predecessor Joe Biden, a Democrat, left the Republican president a stable economy where inflation, although painfully high for a long time, was continuing to come down and international trading conditions for the US were steady.
Meanwhile, also on Sunday morning, NBC’s Meet the Press TV politics show was interviewing US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick.
He pushed back on concerns that the prospect of Trump’s global tariffs would cause a recession in the US. “Absolutely not,” he said. “There’s going to be no recession in America.”
Lutnick added: “Anybody who bets against Donald Trump, it’s like the same people who thought Donald Trump wasn’t going to win a year ago … you are going to see over the next two years the greatest set of growth coming from America … I would never bet on recession, no chance.”
他说需要一个过渡期，。。。。read between the lines, 川普这种大嘴，Covid 也可以说是not
a big deal, 直到自己得了新冠才说这个病不好玩，现在说过渡期，需要时间，如果不会recession 的话，他这张大嘴早就叫market is great, job is great, we are making America Great Again 了，上周说都不想看股市了，说明了啥？有人提醒他美国经济由于他的策略导致问题了吧？
President downplays recent stock market volatility that followed his ducking and weaving over tariff policy
Guardian staff and agency Sun 9 Mar 2025 15.45 EDT ShareDonald Trump on Sunday refused to rule out the possibility that the US economy will head into recession this year and that inflation will rise, as his chaotic trade tariffs policy cause uncertainty and market turbulence.
The US president predicted that his economic goals would take time and a period of transition to bear fruit. But when asked in an interview with the Fox News show Sunday Morning Futures “are you expecting a recession this year?” he demurred.
“I hate to predict things like that. There is a period of transition, because what we’re doing is very big. We’re bringing wealth back to America. That’s a big thing. And there are always periods of, it takes a little time. It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us,” Trump said.
When asked whether he thought his tariffs on US imports would fuel inflation, he said: “You may get it. In the meantime, guess what? Interest rates are down.”
He downplayed recent stock market volatility that followed his ducking and weaving over tariff policy on exports from Canada, Mexico and China and similar threats to other countries, despite his usual fixation with market performance in relation to the politics of the day and an appetite to claim credit when stocks rise on his watch.
“You have to do what’s right,” he said.
Last week the Atlanta Federal Reserve suggested that the US economy is on course to contract in the first quarter, triggering fears a recession could hit the world’s largest economy if weakness persisted and fueling stock market jitters.
In 2018 Trump posted on Twitter, now X, that “trade wars are good, and easy to win”, a view that is not widely shared by financial and economic experts.
On Sunday, however, he was cautious overall after boasting throughout his election campaign of the swift gains his policies would bring for the US economy and ordinary Americans’ finances.
Fox News Sunday Morning Futures anchor Maria Bartiromo introduced the topic of recession by telling Trump “look, I know you inherited a mess”, even though most experts agree that predecessor Joe Biden, a Democrat, left the Republican president a stable economy where inflation, although painfully high for a long time, was continuing to come down and international trading conditions for the US were steady.
Meanwhile, also on Sunday morning, NBC’s Meet the Press TV politics show was interviewing US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick.
He pushed back on concerns that the prospect of Trump’s global tariffs would cause a recession in the US. “Absolutely not,” he said. “There’s going to be no recession in America.”
Lutnick added: “Anybody who bets against Donald Trump, it’s like the same people who thought Donald Trump wasn’t going to win a year ago … you are going to see over the next two years the greatest set of growth coming from America … I would never bet on recession, no chance.”
Reuters contributed reporting
我讨厌预测这样的事情。 有一个过渡时期，因为我们正在做的事情非常大。 我们正在把财富带回美国。 这是件大事。 总是有一段时间，这需要一点时间。
a big deal, 直到自己得了新冠才说这个病不好玩，现在说过渡期，需要时间，如果不会recession 的话，他这张大嘴早就叫market is great, job is great, we are making America Great Again 了，上周说都不想看股市了，说明了啥？有人提醒他美国经济由于他的策略导致问题了吧？
is good, market is good, 你看他现在还喊吗？他知道巨额国债他无法解决，我早就说过，下一个他甩锅的对象就是一龙。
当年习总为了永继大统，不准马云类有议政权，大力打击民营企业，后果也是这两年才体现。
我的账户亏损
啊哈哈哈
摩根大通和BCA Research都发出了类似的警报。
看第一季度数据吧
中，川贼对比美国的伤害是全所未有的，也许是美国国运已经到头了，摊上这么一个公然违宪，无恶不作的流氓头子，美国以后肯定是走下坡路的。