三心三意 , 哪个NVDA期权是最好的?Thanks

B
BrightLine
楼主 (文学城)
  1, Bull Call Spread (Less Protection, Lower Cost)

A bull call spread can hedge downside risk while keeping some upside potential. You buy a lower strike call and sell a higher strike call, reducing the cost.

Example: $130/$150 Call Spread Buy a $130 call for $9.50 Sell a $150 call for $1.20 Net cost per share: $9.50 - $1.20 = $8.30 Total cost for 10,000 shares: $8.30 × 10,000 = $83,000 Outcome Scenarios Scenario 1: NVDA Stays Below $130

Both options expire worthless.
You lose the $83,000 premium but still own NVDA.

Scenario 2: NVDA Rises Above $150

Your $130 call gains value, but your $150 call caps profits.
Max profit = ($150 - $130 - $8.30) × 10,000 = $78,000.

Best If: You are moderately bullish and want upside exposure with some hedge.

2, Bear Call Spread (Best for Income & Limited Risk)

A bear call spread is a defensive play that generates income while providing limited downside protection.

Example: Sell $140 Call, Buy $150 Call Sell a $140 call for $5.20 Buy a $150 call for $1.20 Net credit per share: $5.20 - $1.20 = $4.00 Total credit received: $4.00 × 10,000 = $40,000 Outcome Scenarios Scenario 1: NVDA Stays Below $140

You keep the $40,000 premium.
Stock position remains untouched.

Scenario 2: NVDA Goes Above $150

Your loss is capped at ($150 - $140 - $4.00) = $6 per share.
Max total loss: $60,000 (but the $40,000 premium offsets most of it).

Best If: You think NVDA won’t rise much past $140-$150 and want income with limited downside risk.

Comparing Strategies Strategy Cost? Protection Level Upside Potential Best If…
Protective Put ($130 put only) $43,000 Full protection Unlimited Expect big drop
Collar ($130 put + $150 call) $31,000 Moderate protection Capped at $150 Want low-cost insurance
Bull Call Spread ($130/$150) $83,000 ? Some protection Limited gains Want upside with hedge
Bear Call Spread ($140/$150) - $40,000 (credit) No real protection Income, limited downside Expect NVDA to stay below $140-150

 

三心三意
neither
三心三意
none of these protect you from a big drop on NVDA
c
cnrhm2017
若担忧big drop,是否买put?或者像我一样,就是事先sell
三心三意
Yes, you want to use put spread to protect.

In the case of NVDA, as I shared last week, i did this in 2 steps

Step 1: Buy put spread 140:125 (1:1) when NVDA is around 140. This essentially protects the drop until 125 by paying for some premium

Step 2: Wait for NVDA to drop to 132-135 area and add 2nd leg of put (ie, selling more 125 put). The idea is to use this second leg to collect credit to compensate the pemium paid in Step 1

Net net, you will get a 140:125 (1:2) ratio put spread, with almost 0 cost.

Also, since I expect NVDA is likely to trade below 160, I also opened a 140-150 ratio call spread (1:2), this allows for capturing the NVDA upside as long as it does not go above 160 

三心三意
不过星期买put thread 可能有点晚了。出非NVDA在周3之前能先涨到140, 任何又掉到135
任静锅-
瞎说一句(不负责任)

亮线,如果担忧仓位大了,减一些仓位(比如1/3)是个选项。如果还不定心,就减一半。

没有对错,看你的预测(心理预期)和承受能力,能睡安稳比多赚钱(实际只是可能性而已)更重要。

个人看法啊 

c
cnrhm2017
Buy put spread 140:125 (1:1), 这是买一笔put,还是2笔put?
c
cnrhm2017
所以你就是纯粹买Put没有sell put,对吧? 若这样,make sense。这种策略是保护大量下跌的
B
BrightLine
What if it goes 165 or 170?
B
BrightLine
我不担心,哈哈,只是想练兵而已,谢谢

c
cnrhm2017
160的话,则市值到3.9T,28日之前不可能,所以我认同三心的猜测,但是中期我还是坚持149-164的目标价
三心三意
Hmm, OK, specific steps is。。。

Step 1: 140-125 put spread = buy 1 contract of 140 put + sell 1 contract of 125 put

Step 2: 2nd leg = sell 1 more contract of 125 put

c
cnrhm2017
oh,你是保护+低买,总体偏牛,我明白一些了,谢谢!
三心三意
就算NVDA下星期冲过160, 我觉得大概率也一定会回来的。
B
BrightLine
那我能不能买点call? 我不相信它会跌。怎么买,建议一下?

B
BrightLine
我不认为会跌
c
cnrhm2017
请你和三心分享下你们看牛的No 1理由,只要一个理由,我也会分享
B
BrightLine
我自己用AI,开发AI程序,觉得NVDA前景光明,够不够?哈哈

买自己相信的股票

0
007爸爸
非常棒的策略

听起来几乎是稳赚至少不赔的策略。任何时候都可以这样操作吗?还是必须股票在一定条件下才能使用这个策略?我想是不是那些比较稳定的大盘股用这个策略比较合适?像那些一天能涨跌30%的是不是就不适用?

c
cnrhm2017
短期没法这么看,我其实更担心nz和spy
B
BrightLine
Nvda可以改变大势啊
三心三意
如果你认为它一定会涨,可以做150到160的ratio call.
三心三意
worst case 你170卖掉股票。但这个策略没有任何下方保护
三心三意
而且只有150以上才有profit
三心三意
条件是英伟达必须在3/7前stay within 110-160
三心三意
Even more aggressive is to buy 145-160 call spread
B
BrightLine
谢谢,我不觉得需要130以下的保护,也许买点call,或者明天再跌就买点股票?

0
007爸爸
谢谢指教!
三心三意
I think the chance to go above 160 is less than 10%