Dont treat this as 预测。这是说按目前走势，这是大概率可能。但如果那天走势不符合了，你就有警钟了
Specifcially, any correction now in 300s looks completely normal according to this structure. All we need is some hedge to protect our loss
However, if TSLA for whatever reason dips below 300, then we will have to see if anything fundamentally has changed.
Many people think elliot wave can predict future, that is not the correct way of using it. It simply gives you a probability move, and you have to constantly make adjustment
我相信你的一直解释符合EWT general rule. 但是在已知规则下可能有多种浪的画法都符合EWT general rule，要根据股价未来的走势继续判断。我觉得这是千人千浪的说法的由来。比如说triangle的判断，也和三个subwave structure以及 Fabonacci 结构不矛盾。
In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), there can be multiple ways to label the waves (hypotheses), and each of those hypotheses must be consistent with the established rules of the theory. As the market progresses, analysts monitor the price action to determine whether the previously hypothesized wave counts still align with the unfolding price movement, or whether they need to be revised or abandoned due to violations of the rules.
This iterative process of adjusting hypotheses based on new data (in this case, market movement) is indeed somewhat similar to Bayesian reasoning. In Bayesian inference, hypotheses are updated as new evidence is observed, and probabilities are adjusted accordingly. However, in the context of Elliott Wave Theory, this process doesn't strictly involve updating probabilities in the same mathematical sense that Bayesian reasoning does, but it does involve continuous evaluation and adjustment of the wave counts as new information becomes available.
现在有可能在走impulsive wave 2
https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/tzlc/2008453.html
https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/tzlc/2009453.html
现在基本是按照这个节奏走的。不过我不能判段它是不是还会走蓝色的“B” 和 “C”，还是说昨天高点已经结束了“iv”，也就是说没有B和C， 而直接去“v”了。
这要看下周走势。。。
存在能看到未来的水晶球
但如果加了些条件，比如说在2028年初 达到高点950，那么用模型可能反推出大概某个时段会上700，随后回撤到550 等等
我完全不懂这个理论，瞎掰。
Specifcially, any correction now in 300s looks completely normal according to this structure. All we need is some hedge to protect our loss
However, if TSLA for whatever reason dips below 300, then we will have to see if anything fundamentally has changed.
Many people think elliot wave can predict future, that is not the correct way of using it. It simply gives you a probability move, and you have to constantly make adjustment
我还是觉得很长期的elloit wave要用log 图来看，否则完全不proportional。
Basically， as long as it continues to follow this route, we will just hold it for $1000 :)
但很多人把它变成了3浪必须是最长的。哈哈哈
99.9%的人都是没有学会就开始用了
So, it has been accepted as a common practice now taht the 3rd wave may not be the longest
Again, dont treat this as "it must happen this way". If for whatever reason, Tesla can't go to 1000, we will need to make adjustment
我相信你的一直解释符合EWT general rule. 但是在已知规则下可能有多种浪的画法都符合EWT general rule，要根据股价未来的走势继续判断。我觉得这是千人千浪的说法的由来。比如说triangle的判断，也和三个subwave structure以及 Fabonacci 结构不矛盾。
In Elliott Wave Theory (EWT), there can be multiple ways to label the waves (hypotheses), and each of those hypotheses must be consistent with the established rules of the theory. As the market progresses, analysts monitor the price action to determine whether the previously hypothesized wave counts still align with the unfolding price movement, or whether they need to be revised or abandoned due to violations of the rules.
This iterative process of adjusting hypotheses based on new data (in this case, market movement) is indeed somewhat similar to Bayesian reasoning. In Bayesian inference, hypotheses are updated as new evidence is observed, and probabilities are adjusted accordingly. However, in the context of Elliott Wave Theory, this process doesn't strictly involve updating probabilities in the same mathematical sense that Bayesian reasoning does, but it does involve continuous evaluation and adjustment of the wave counts as new information becomes available.