Where are we with Tesla....

三心三意
楼主 (文学城)

Currently, Tesla sits right below 50D EMA + 0.382 retracement from the big trend that started in Oct of 2024. Taking into consideration that 0.382 is the minimal retracement for a correction, Tesla certainly has two paths forward

1: If Tesla can hold the level around today and start to rally, it would meet the minimal correction requirement + successfully defend the 50D EMA, and on its way to climbing towards 5th wave. To confirm that 5th wave is indeed underway, Tesla needs to take out 440 which is a key resistance level.  

2: However, a normal correction is typically between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement. This would take Tesla to roughly 330 +/- 20 points level. A pullback to this level is "completely" normal, and frankly, I would prefer it goes there, because this would set it up for a nice and strong push to complete 5th wave up.

3: Lastly, I do want to point out that, in an extreme negative environment, stock could correct all the way to 0.768 level, which is also nicely aligned around 200D EMA. I dont expect Tesla to go there. But if it does, that would be a life-time buying opportunity.

Chart below for reference

 

成功的兔
谢谢分享。这回我画的一样 :)
O
Olive_2
感谢三哥的极时分析
j
jw2009
TSLA price actions indicate that this stock will not be

ready to move higher any time soon, period!

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BrightLine
估计还有得跌
三心三意
如果跌了你正好加仓啊,哈哈哈
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BrightLine
that is correct.
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NewLeaf2021
谢谢+ 请教三心老师

刚好早上在X上听了一个, 为啥他的0.786 Fib是347-380呢,与您的247 有较大价位出入。 

 

我截屏了,但不是他们的会员

元亨
如果没有今年autonomous taxi 落地 和optimus量产,是不是这估值就撑不住?
三心三意
Optimus 量产不在任何机构的估值里,但如果Robotaxi今年不落地股价要先回到200多
三心三意
他是月图,而且这张图的Fib不是回调, 而是上升时段的Fib
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NewLeaf2021
喔。好。 谢谢!
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NewLeaf2021
TSLA 昨天刚公布大量招ENGINEES

to prepare for mass production of optimus 

桃花源里人家
我也一直在注意特斯拉,就是因为对估值不放心在观望
云起千百度
我今早开始买回TSLA,建了预计持仓的20%仓位。
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MarkM76
哇,你给的更低。我以为350块钱就差不多了。哈哈