IWM reached a new 52 weeks high a week ago at 242. After that, it has gone through a consolidation phase, as show in this tri-angle. Basically, neither seller nor buyer can break the balance.
You can see that everytime IWM touches the upper line of tri-angle, it was sold off, and every time it touches lower line of tri-agnle, it was bought up.
What does this mean?
Pay very close attention to the possiblity of IWM close above the upper line of this tri-angle. We need a close above this line, and also a 2nd day follow up where it stays above this line to confirm the breakout. Once breakout is confirmed, 255 is the nex target, and you can go in and load TNA At the same time, also be careful if it breaks down on the lower side of the tri-angle, that would signal a retreat back to 228. Day trader would load put, but for this group, you just need to wait for better entry price.
This is a VERY common TA pattern. In fact, if you look at TSLA, it just breaks out its own tri-angle today (the tri-angle it has stayed in for last 4 weeks), so, 400 is a 95% probability at this poin
You can also see the same pattern on Bitcoin. I showed similar tri-angle. Bitcoin broke that tri-angle yesterday and now 115K is a lock
Let's use this example for a deeper understanding of TA
If you look at this tri-angle for IWM, you can see that the lower line is formed right at the gap that was formed on 11/24 (gap here means IWM gap higher on 11/24).
Why is this important?
When a gap is formed, it basically means one thing, anyone who enters into IWM position on or after 11/24 is paying a price that is HIGHER than the lower end of that gap, which is 239 (you will not be able to buy below this price due to the gap). Now, put yourself in their shoes, you would probably be a little worried as IWM consolidate and price moves lower after 11/24.
This is what we called "selling pressure" in TA, meaning, there is a high likelyhood of more people thinking of selling due to this gap. However, if the stock price bounce off this low (which is the lower end of this tri-angle), it basically says that instituions are willing to step in and accumulate those shares that are sold at this level.
If there are enough buyers, they will eventually exhaust the "selling pressure" coming from people who bought at the gap. When this happens, more and more buyers come in, and stock eventually breaks up and goes higher
On the other hand, if stock drops below the lower end, it basically signals that instituions buyers no longer want to support stock at this level (maybe due to some other news that we dont know yet, but whatever the case, their action is telling us something else is going on and stock likely go lower)
下降三角形态在上升趋势中出现时，通常是一种持续形态，意味着市场可能会延续之前的上升趋势，最终向上突破的概率较高。不过，这并不是绝对的，仍需结合以下因素判断实际突破方向：
1. 趋势背景
• 在上升趋势中，下降三角常表示市场在上涨过程中的短期整理，主力资金可能利用该形态吸筹或洗盘。
• 如果趋势背景非常强劲（如高成交量配合上涨），则向上突破的概率更高。
2. 成交量变化
• 突破前成交量萎缩：下降三角形内部价格在收敛过程中，成交量逐渐减少是健康的形态。
• 突破时成交量放大：若价格向上突破伴随成交量显著放大，则突破更有可信度。
3. 关键支撑与阻力位
• 下边线（水平支撑）：若价格跌破下边线，可能形成反转，向下突破。
• 上边线（下降阻力）：如果突破上边线，往往表明多头力量较强。
4. 时间周期
• 若整理时间过长，市场可能因蓄力不足而转为反转形态，需谨慎对待。
可能的突破方向概率：
• 向上突破：在上升趋势中，下降三角形态被认为是上升趋势的中继形态，向上突破的概率约为60%-70%。
• 向下突破：若市场出现重大利空或多头乏力，则可能跌破下方支撑。
交易建议：
• 确认突破方向后再入场，避免在形态内部操作。
• 若向上突破，可选择突破点位或回踩确认后的买入点位。
• 若意外向下突破，需及时止损，避免损失扩大。
简而言之，下降三角形态在上升趋势中倾向于向上突破，但需结合成交量、支撑阻力位等具体情况分析。
IWM reached a new 52 weeks high a week ago at 242. After that, it has gone through a consolidation phase, as show in this tri-angle. Basically, neither seller nor buyer can break the balance.
You can see that everytime IWM touches the upper line of tri-angle, it was sold off, and every time it touches lower line of tri-agnle, it was bought up.
What does this mean?
Pay very close attention to the possiblity of IWM close above the upper line of this tri-angle. We need a close above this line, and also a 2nd day follow up where it stays above this line to confirm the breakout. Once breakout is confirmed, 255 is the nex target, and you can go in and load TNA At the same time, also be careful if it breaks down on the lower side of the tri-angle, that would signal a retreat back to 228. Day trader would load put, but for this group, you just need to wait for better entry price.This is a VERY common TA pattern. In fact, if you look at TSLA, it just breaks out its own tri-angle today (the tri-angle it has stayed in for last 4 weeks), so, 400 is a 95% probability at this poin
You can also see the same pattern on Bitcoin. I showed similar tri-angle. Bitcoin broke that tri-angle yesterday and now 115K is a lock
花街都懂这些，他们经常骗散户（比如说故意把IWM拉到三角下沿以下，逼你出局，然后第二天拉起。所以我们要等第二天确认
If you look at this tri-angle for IWM, you can see that the lower line is formed right at the gap that was formed on 11/24 (gap here means IWM gap higher on 11/24).
Why is this important?
When a gap is formed, it basically means one thing, anyone who enters into IWM position on or after 11/24 is paying a price that is HIGHER than the lower end of that gap, which is 239 (you will not be able to buy below this price due to the gap). Now, put yourself in their shoes, you would probably be a little worried as IWM consolidate and price moves lower after 11/24.
This is what we called "selling pressure" in TA, meaning, there is a high likelyhood of more people thinking of selling due to this gap. However, if the stock price bounce off this low (which is the lower end of this tri-angle), it basically says that instituions are willing to step in and accumulate those shares that are sold at this level.
If there are enough buyers, they will eventually exhaust the "selling pressure" coming from people who bought at the gap. When this happens, more and more buyers come in, and stock eventually breaks up and goes higher
On the other hand, if stock drops below the lower end, it basically signals that instituions buyers no longer want to support stock at this level (maybe due to some other news that we dont know yet, but whatever the case, their action is telling us something else is going on and stock likely go lower)
上升一段后，有一个consolidation phase. 这时有些小下小上。 每次小下都不大，就被小上拉高，堆成三角 - forming a brekpoint, 有大概率向上冲. 对吗？
It just give you a reference point to see how price action moves. It could very well break and go down