把这个topic提上来讨论一下。关于选投资“大牛股”的first principal

三心三意
楼主 (文学城)

这里只是说选大牛股的必要条件。充分条件当然会有更多。

Anyone has other first principals to add here?

https://bbs.wenxuecity.com/tzlc/1944984.html

 

Q
QQQ2074
你这个是找成年牛,比如现在的NVDA 。关键是找小牛。所以说,千里马常有,而伯乐不常有
C
CheGuevara
It needs a CEO who is close to Dump
三心三意
PLTR 不是成年牛。Meta 10年前也不是成年牛。微软在Satya 接过大权时也不是成年牛
三心三意
不能都想中彩票。2009年(iPhone 出市2 年后)投苹果回报大过99.99%的其他策略
Q
QQQ2074
反正很难,我做不来。要我做,可能做20个左右,指望一两个成功
N
NCNE
说的都对. 但你咋知道xyz公司符合1-3条件?三个月前的 SMCI符合吗?
c
cfbingbuzy001
MY TWO CENTS

1. Marketing is done by customers who recommended each other, not by their own marketing team/products are so good that it sells itself

2.  Sales growth at least over 30% for three consecutive years; cash flow grows 30% annually

3. Very conservative in financing; achieving positive operating profit in 3 years (harder to do now with mega 7 sucking up all of the profits)

4.  Billionare founders who are still passionated about changing world in a positive way (align with your second point)

5. Have a great /famous partner or customers: i.e. goverment for pltr, IBM for microsoft when it was young; Apple for AVGO;

Thanks!

低手只会用均线
我有一套标准方法来找潜在的大牛股, 如以前在大千和这里提到的app, al based adtech company
三心三意
SMCI clearly not fitting #1 and #2

I was in a business meeting in person with Charles before, he is a great execution focused CEO, but no vision

c
cfbingbuzy001
I like that CEO.

It could be the little google now, as I shared with my friend. It appears that it has everything right now, except that I donot like video games that much. :)

c
cfbingbuzy001
msft 是母牛又生小牛,是冯巩的partner

It is the most sustainable and safe high performing company over the past 40 years.

三心三意
很不错,#3 是不是有点要求太高了
c
cfbingbuzy001
Yes, That's what I meant harder to do now

because of mega stock's dominance. in 1980s/1990s, MSFT, INTC, Compaq, and APP easily passed that test. The internet born companies are harder to do it now. It may take 10 years like GitLAB. They need to compete against msft and could easily lose to the giant.

低手只会用均线
发贴转到大千了