The 2020 recession was the shortest and did not follow the trend of previous recessions. 12 months was the average time between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession. For 2008 recession, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of 2008 recession. This time the 10 year and 3 month first inverted in Oct last year. see below chart:
more details here: https://ycharts.com/indicators/10_year_3_month_treasury_spread
2000和2008 都准确地预测了经济衰退ahead。这次应该是 NO EXCEPTION
Everything will be cheaper. That is good for most people.
I hope we will have a deep recession. Lol...
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1087216/time-gap-between-yield-curve-inversion-and-recession/
The 2020 recession was the shortest and did not follow the trend of previous recessions. 12 months was the average time between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession. For 2008 recession, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of 2008 recession. This time the 10 year and 3 month first inverted in Oct last year. see below chart:
more details here: https://ycharts.com/indicators/10_year_3_month_treasury_spread
给我们草民就平平安安的活着的机会吧