虎王和别的大侠看看这个有什么反馈建议?

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David_S_Meng
楼主 (文学城)

[1]. Every month, dollar cost averaging (DCA) to put 50% into tqqq, and 50% into qqq.

 

[2]. When tqqq grows to 70% of the portfolio, sell some tqqq and put the money into qqq to bring the ratio back to 50/50.

 

[3]. Meanwhile, continue to do DCA every month to put new money at 50% into tqqq, 50% into qqq.

 

In a rising market, tqqq will grow much faster than qqq. This method lets tqqq spit the gains into qqq. In this way, the gains will not be wiped away if in case a crash comes and tqqq drops 90%.

 

[4].  If a crash comes and the tqqq index drops by half, then sell half of my qqq and put the money into tqqq.

 

[5].  If the tqqq index drops by 70%, with the remaining qqq sell 1/2 and put it into tqqq.

 

[6].  If the tqqq index drops by 90%, then put all the qqq money into tqqq.  In addition, use HELOC, commercial LOC and cashout refi to put more money into tqqq.  This is because tqqq dropping 90% would be an once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to buy tqqq.  It will probably happen once every 10-20 years.

 

[7].  If 4-6 does not happen, then just keep doing 1-3.  However, if 4-6 happens, especially 5 and 6, it would be a great and rare opportunity to go all in into tqqq.  If tqqq drops by 70-90%, it does not make sense to still maintain the 50/50 ratio.  Instead, all the money goes into tqqq to grab such a rare opportunity.

 

Keywords:  Long term, DCA, rebalance, index, not individual stocks, 10-20 year horizon.

 

Did I miss anything?  Did I overlook some factors?  All the experts, gurus and friends, please share your advice/feedback.

 

h
hz82000
如果没有情感
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USATiger
You need to have patience, see the drawdown picture

A drawdown chart simply shows the peak-to-trough decline during the life of the portfolio. It represents the the measurement of decline from an assets peak value to its lowest point over a period of time. It is not what a trader lost, only the biggest unrealized loss the portfolio experienced while invested in the asset.

Here is TQQQ

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David_S_Meng
虎王您的T三球 是 tqqq. " 狗"是什么?

我打算发明这个新法,坛上我TQQQ的仓位比较重,40pct,并且大爹的时候,一股没卖,反而用软换了T三球。这个波段操作太差了。
T三球作为大盘的三倍,在过去十年中,达到投一万,收益五十万,下个十年,好好利用,个人认为收益还会不借,但是这个东西波动太大,痛定思痛,打算运用滚球大法,科学对侍。具体操作就是T三球和狗,50/50. 当TQQQ从all time high,涨五pct,转10 pct 三球去狗,下降,反向操作,保持动态平衡。具体数字会变,这是我打算尝试的方式。滚球大法,u heard from me first lol

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USATiger
狗等于google, 但是现在也涨疯了今年20%,所以我卖完后拿着现金。
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David_S_Meng
Yes I have been waiting for another major tqqq drawdown :)
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David_S_Meng
Yes, emotion is the enemy. Need to focus on math, and avoid emot
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David_S_Meng
OK, thanks, so currently you are 5% cash and 95% tqqq?
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USATiger
yes my trading money, but I have 529 fund and one small stock a
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David_S_Meng
Do you see any way to improve the plan that I listed? Make it b
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USATiger
我觉的挺好,猛牛司令,来了,你问问他,他经验丰富的
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David_S_Meng
虎王您的50/50滚球大法:“这是我打算尝试的方式”, 请问尝试的结果如何?
h
hhtt
就不要结婚!
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David_S_Meng
We are talking about investing, not marriage. In investing, if

In investing, if the investor buys with a hot head, and sells in a panic, he can go broke.

 

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USATiger
在去Zion 路上,今年目前应该是18%左右,应该QQQ的两倍,你可以小资产亲身经历一下
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David_S_Meng
Very good. Best wishes :)