"Third, if in the near future there is a “limited war” over Taiwan or along China’s periphery, the U.S. would likely lose—or have to choose between losing and stepping up the escalation ladder to a wider war. "
"In 2000, A2/AD—anti-access/area denial systems by which China could prevent U.S. military forces from operating at will—was just a PLA acronym on a briefing chart. Today, China’s A2/AD operational reach encompasses the First Island Chain, which includes Taiwan (100 miles from mainland China) and Japan’s Ryukyu Islands (400 miles from mainland China). As a result, as President Obama’s Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Michèle Flournoy put it, in this area, “the United States can no longer expect to quickly achieve air, space, or maritime superiority.” As the former Commander of Indo-Pacific Command Admiral Philip Davidson testified to Congress in March 2021, on its current trajectory, in the next 4 years China’s A2/AD envelope will extend to the Second Island Chain, which includes America’s principal military installations on the U.S. territory of Guam (1,800 miles from mainland China)."
我知道的原来国家贫困县，南方山里头，现在都通高铁，大部分家庭都是3-5层的小楼，农村的汽车拥有量在30-50% 。 老百姓不管什么我们所说的自由，政治争斗，etc. 有肉吃，有房住，安居乐业，老百姓就OK了 -- 共党这些年做到了。 所以我的同学群里上次培老太去台湾没打起来，大家都很不爽， 包括在厦门最前线的同学哈哈。
现在美国人不带了，才真是看共党的能力吧。
美国几乎是停滞不前的。中国迎头赶上
必然会迎头痛击。
日子好过归功于共党，日子不好过怪美帝。 剧本都写好了。
"Third, if in the near future there is a “limited war” over Taiwan or along China’s periphery, the U.S. would likely lose—or have to choose between losing and stepping up the escalation ladder to a wider war. "
"In 2000, A2/AD—anti-access/area denial systems by which China could prevent U.S. military forces from operating at will—was just a PLA acronym on a briefing chart. Today, China’s A2/AD operational reach encompasses the First Island Chain, which includes Taiwan (100 miles from mainland China) and Japan’s Ryukyu Islands (400 miles from mainland China). As a result, as President Obama’s Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Michèle Flournoy put it, in this area, “the United States can no longer expect to quickly achieve air, space, or maritime superiority.” As the former Commander of Indo-Pacific Command Admiral Philip Davidson testified to Congress in March 2021, on its current trajectory, in the next 4 years China’s A2/AD envelope will extend to the Second Island Chain, which includes America’s principal military installations on the U.S. territory of Guam (1,800 miles from mainland China)."
https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/files/publication/GreatMilitaryRivalry_ChinavsUS_211215_1.pdf
這就是土共厲害的地方
美国军事实力。
一旦经济出问题，失业率上升，房价下跌，政府也岌岌可危。
打铁终须自身硬。说那些洗脑啊民主政治啊都没用，只有美国经济发展好了并且有数量级碾压才会像当年有说服力吸引力。现在美国自己都一团糟经济更是停止不前，特别是不鼓励努力上进学习，特别危险，别人凭啥服你认你做老大，都不傻。当然他们也有他们的问题，我们不用去操心因为自己美国的问题都操心不过来
比起国内，我更揪心美国。
这两样正是美国现在在由强变弱的。加上我们孩子还要在这里发展呢，更应该担心的是美国问题。
维持现状是最大比例
其它都是骗人的
以前中国爆肥饭店随便吃雪蟹，正式一点的吃帝王蟹。现在饭店里雪蟹也是高档菜了，帝王蟹的价格更是高的离谱，中产阶级的生活是越来越难了。螃蟹都开始吃不起了。
七几年的时候一层楼里只有一家人有电视。每天晚上就开着门让所有小朋友都可以去看电视。我就记得看这个好兵帅克了。lol
中国人包括海外的中国人都太把这三十年的改开成果太当回事了，如果没有疫情管控这么想那还罢了，经过疫情管控，才知道三十年其间，什么执法主体执法程序就是个空气，在这种基础上的繁华，真的很脆弱。
国内绝大多数的中产无非就是两三套房子给的底气。