stampede, how to survive?

枫林晓
楼主 (文学峸)

In a stampede, is there a way to life your survival rate?

My research told me that once you are trapped in a stampede, there is practically 

 

zero trick

 

that you can rely on to stay alive.

 

yaoyao, do you have any deeper view on this topic, maybe from a medical professional angle.

 

 

枫林晓
我的看法: 一旦人挤人, 基本上个体没有任何手段提高自己的生存率. 所以唯一能做的是远离音乐节,远离庆典人潮.
枫林晓
几年前,我还年年去参加国庆,参加音乐节啥的, 近几年,不去了, 加拿大恐怖主义, 各种流行病, 各种踩踏事故...
枫林晓
2015 ~ 2018 might be the best time in human history

The world is getting better all the time, in 11 maps and charts By Zack Beauchamp@zackbeauchamp[email protected]  Jul 13, 2015, 9:30am EDT Share this story Share this on Facebook (opens in new window) Share this on Twitter (opens in new window) SHAREAll sharing options

Reading the news, it sometimes feels like the world is falling apart: that everything is going to hell in a handbasket and we're on the verge of a total collapse. In fact, we're living through what is, by objective metrics, the best time in human history. People have never lived longer, better, safer, or richer lives than they do now. And these 11 charts and maps — which draw on centuries of data, as well as a brand new UN report that focuses on the past 25 years — prove it.

 

1 ?? Humanity's greatest accomplishment: We're living longer than ever  

For most of human history, our lives were nasty, brutish, and pretty damn short. Only in the past 200 years or so, as this chart shows, have people started living lives that even come close to what we see as normal today. In 1770, the world's average life expectancy was just 29 years old (a lot of people died really young). Today, it's 70. That staggering jump represents the greatest accomplishment in human history: our victory over historical killers like disease, poverty, and war. Everything else in the post is, to a certain extent, an explanation of this one extraordinary fact.

Image credit: (Max Roser/Our World in Data)

 

 

2 ?? Global GDP has surged  

For most of human existence, our species was dirt poor. But that has changed rapidly since the 19th century: The world's gross domestic product has spiked in a way that's simply unprecedented in human history. The key factors here are the Scientific Revolution, the Enlightenment, the Industrial Revolution, and capitalism. These four transformations created and spread new ideas and technologies — modern medicine and electricity, for example — that allowed humanity to grow rich and healthy in a way that our distant ancestors simply couldn't dream of.

Image credit: (Max Roser/Our World in Data)

 

 

3 ?? And extreme poverty is in free fall  

(Javier Zarracina/Vox)

Economic growth hasn't just benefited wealthy countries. Between 1990 and 2015, about 1.1 billion people have been lifted out of extreme poverty (defined as living on $1.25 a day). That means that in just the past 25 years, a full seventh of humanity has been saved from terrible want. A lot of that came from India and especially China, huge countries that experienced rapid growth in the past several decades. Much of sub-Saharan Africa is still mired in serious poverty. But the fact that the worldwide gains are concentrated in a few places doesn't make them any less worthy of celebration. If what we care about is minimizing suffering in the world, then it shouldn't matter what country the billion-plus people saved from poverty come from.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

 

4 ?? Deaths from war are at historical lows  

(Joe Posner/Vox)

The modern world also birthed horrors — specifically, industrialized killing in the two world wars. But a wonderful thing has happened since then: Deaths from war have been in free fall. The percentage of the global population killed in wars has declined tremendously, owing in large part to the fact that major nuclear armed powers (like the US and Russia) have refrained from going to war. War isn't over, obviously, but we've managed to contain it — safeguarding humanity's gains from economic growth and scientific innovation.

Image credit: (Steven Pinker/Joe Posner/Vox)

VIDEO: Three reasons war is going away

 

5 ?? As are deaths from HIV/AIDS  

In the past 15 years, we've made serious progress in the fight against the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Between 2000 and 2013, documented new cases of HIV infection fell by 40 percent, and deaths from AIDS-related causes fell by 35 percent (from a peak in 2005). That's in large part because there's been a concerted global effort to spread the medication necessary to combat the plague. Programs like the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) have done an extraordinary job of getting impoverished people the treatment and assistance they need.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

 

6 ?? And many other major diseases  

(Javier Zarracina)

HIV/AIDS isn't the only disease being beaten back. As the above chart shows, the global measles immunization campaign has been extraordinarily effective — saving the lives of an estimated 15.6 million people between 2000 and 2015. Deaths from malaria declined by 58 percent globally during the same period. Tuberculosis mortality has fallen by 43 percent since 1990. These diseases, all major killers in the developing world, are on the retreat — due to both local and international efforts to combat them.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

 

7 ?? The spread of democracy has made the world freer and safer

The spread of democracy is a critical part of this whole story. The American and French Revolutions marked the beginning of its global rise, but it wasn't until the Cold War ended that democracy became the most popular form of government on Earth. The ramifications of democracy's spread have been enormous: Democratic governments have never (or almost never) gone to war with each other, and are significantly less likely to slaughter their own people. Democracy has also put pressure on political leaders to keep their citizens happy, helping spread the gains from economic growth and technology from the wealthy to most of the world's population. And that's to say nothing of democracy's inherent benefits (like giving people the right to choose their own governments).

Image credit: (Datawrapper/Vox/Zack Beauchamp)

 

 

8 ?? More people than ever before have enough to eat  

One of the benefits of the world's growing wealth is that more people can afford food. From 1990 to 1992, 991 million people in the developing world were undernourished — meaning food-deprived — by the UN's numbers. Today, that figure is 780 million. That's a decline of more than 20 percent in the parts of the world where, in the past centuries, people have suffered the most from want of adequate food.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

9 ?? Fewer mothers are dying in childbirth  

Until the advent of modern medicine, shocking percentages of women died in pregnancy and childbirth. The spread of techniques to address leading maternal killers, like hemorrhage and infection, has done wonders: Since 1990, the global rate of maternal mortality (death of a mother during pregnancy or within 42 days of its end) has gone down by a staggering 45 percent.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

10 ?? More children than ever are seeing their fifth birthday  

If you were born 400 years ago, the odds of you living past age 5 were terrifyingly low. Nowadays, the incidence of child mortality has plummeted, owing largely to improved access to health care and food. This is one of the key reasons life expectancy is so much higher than it used to be: The fewer deaths there are at a young age, the higher the average length of a human life from birth will be.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

 

11 ?? And more kids than ever are going to school  

At the same time that more children are living to be old enough to get an education, opportunities for schooling have never been greater. Ninety-one percent of primary school-age kids worldwide are enrolled. Even in sub-Saharan Africa, the region with by far the worst primary school enrollment numbers, recent improvements have been nothing short of astonishing. In 1990, 52 percent of school-age kids in the region were enrolled. By 2012, that number had jumped to 80 percent.

Image credit: (Javier Zarracina/Vox)

枫林晓
Do you agree that human civilization has passed the peak

 

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/humanity-peak-human-race-species-age-life-expectancy-strength-height-maximum-a8097191.html

 

 

ewsScience

The human race has peaked in many areas and will now decline, scientists suggest

There appears to be a limit to how tall, old and strong we can be, according to a major new study

Andrew Griffin
Thursday 07 December 2017 13:47Humanity has reached its peak and is now probably in its downfall, according to major new research.

欲借嵯峨
在WXC玩儿的估计都已经过了喜欢凑这种热闹的年龄, 我休假昨天起大早打球, 诺大的高尔夫球场就我一个人

享受宁静的同时又感慨真是一天天变老了, 居然自己和自己能玩儿到一起:)

妖妖灵
今年去看国庆焰火,我就想这么多人,万一来个炸弹怎么办。应该有数个警察维护秩序,一旦发生踩踏怎么办。封路?给每人发手机信号
妖妖灵
对了,那时你是主角啊!:)
j
jianchi9090
Boston马拉松还有炸弹呢。 所以小型聚会混混吧,大的地方就别凑热闹了。
j
jianchi9090
真发生踩踏,如果孔武有力,就尽量横着朝墙壁边走,能靠到墙边就好点。或者爬树。但基本发生都是一瞬,已经在人脚下就爬不起了。
枫林晓
妖妖太捧我了, 我就是爱乐的观众.
枫林晓
哈哈, 我也慢慢有这种赶脚了. 咋办?
枫林晓
的确是, 君子不立危墙之下. 看我的翻译

A ture man cherish his life and never stand under a falling wall

妖妖灵
j
jianchi9090
翻译真好。 学习了。