Based on a simple eatimation, the China GDP annually increased at 10% during the period of 1949 to 1979 using a fixed value of RMB in 1952. The China 1979 GDP must have at least been 3.2 trillion RMB, or ~4000 RMB per captipa. You may argue that this figure was much higher than the officially number, but my arguement is that the official number was much undercounted!
In 1979, China GDP per capita should be about US $1200 if compared with the US dollar! At that time, the official exchange rate was ~ 3 China Yuan or RMB equaled to 1 US dollar (note: the value of RMB was also undercounted at time! Reasonally, it was 1.5, leading to that China 1979 GDP per capita was $2400). The China leader Deng Xiaoping wanted that China GDP per capita would reach $1000 in 2000, which clearly suggested that he had underestimated the real China economic scale at the time. Obviously, Mr Deng was also misled by the so-called economists. The actual China economic scale in 1979 could be ten times bigger than the official estimate!
On average, China GDP annual growth rate has been 8.5% since 1980 till 2019, regardless inflation and RMB depreciation, slower than the average rate of 10% during 1949 to 1979. Thus, my prediction is that China 2019 GDP will be 34 trillion RBM at the fixed value of 1952, or 97 trillion RMB when a combination (~4%) of inflation and RBM depreciation is considered. If corrected, the GDP growth rate of China in 2019 is predicted to be 6.5%.
If using exchange rate of 7 RMB equals to 1 US$, then the China 2019 GDP would be ~$14 trillion, or GDP per capita $10000. Again, this must be wrong, because the value of RMB is much undercounted! So, what would be the actual rate? The answer may shock most of you, 2 RMB = 1 US$; then, China 2019 GDP would be $48.5 trillion, i.e. China GDP per capita in 2019 shall be $34600! (Note: As a comparison, the US GDP per capita in 2019 will be ~$61500).
在庆祝新华建国70周年国庆之际
2019年9月16日央视播出国庆专题节目，数说中国丨
经济规模跨越式发展 占全球经济总量近16%。节目中，
GDP图表以1979年为起点，而1952-1979是一条水平线。
1992年甚至1997年以前，中国是没有GDP数据的。
1985年之前，中华人民共和国（仅限大陆地区）对国民经济核算源于苏联与计划经济相配套的物质平衡表体系（MPS），1985－1992年逐步与联合国推荐的源于市场经济的国民经济核算体系（SNA）接轨。1985年，国务院批准采用GDP对国民经济进行核算，中国开始建立新国民经济核算体系的理论基础、指导思想和核算模式的研究。
1992年8月，国务院发出《关于实施新国民经济核算体系方案的通知》，正式开始在中国实行SNA体系，GDP成了中国最为重要的经济指标。
1993年起，国家统计局完全摈弃MPS核算体系彻底转向SNA，这样中国经济增强了与市场经济国家经济的可比性。1997年，国家统计局和日本一桥大学合作，按照SNA原则对中国GDP数据进行了重新估算。
此事已经引发了舆情。不仅是网上，有人到央视门前抗议。
央视已经将数说中国的节目全面下架。相关事件正在调查之中。
央视《数说中国》栏目已全数下架，相关事件正在调查之中。此事引发舆论地震，央视也感觉到问题的严重性，迅速作下架。相关评论全网在删禁。涉事编辑王胜留，据说是个刚转正编辑的新手。
这段电话录音，是一个百姓，对前天中央电视台播放的，纪念建国70周年专题，巜数说中国》节目后，而打电话到央视的实况录音。公道自在人心！现在的媒体是无良的，胡整乱写，是为人民币服务，该好好整顿了！骂得好！值得听完！
推职而已。找个替死鬼吧。这么重要栏目是代表政府的喉舌。这些年颜色革命，反毛，去毛化，有些媒体很积极。
更多我的博客文章>>>
【CCTV 央视造谣 污蔑毛主席新中国 激起全国人民义愤声讨！】 【潘多 中国女登山第一人】 【谷歌纪念世界上首位登上珠穆朗玛峰的女性 80生日】 【千古一画 -- 世界世纪历代名人大全】 【认得这位少将吗？】建议版主删除所有这类口水,我们要看有价值的文章,抛开立场不论,这才叫言论自由.
现在这就象个菜市场......
版主要严厉些.
(或者专开一骂坛,中的,洋的,荤的,素的,多脏都不准删)
if yes, they are misleading.
Based on a simple eatimation, the China GDP annually increased at 10% during the period of 1949 to 1979 using a fixed value of RMB in 1952. The China 1979 GDP must have at least been 3.2 trillion RMB, or ~4000 RMB per captipa. You may argue that this figure was much higher than the officially number, but my arguement is that the official number was much undercounted!
In 1979, China GDP per capita should be about US $1200 if compared with the US dollar! At that time, the official exchange rate was ~ 3 China Yuan or RMB equaled to 1 US dollar (note: the value of RMB was also undercounted at time! Reasonally, it was 1.5, leading to that China 1979 GDP per capita was $2400). The China leader Deng Xiaoping wanted that China GDP per capita would reach $1000 in 2000, which clearly suggested that he had underestimated the real China economic scale at the time. Obviously, Mr Deng was also misled by the so-called economists. The actual China economic scale in 1979 could be ten times bigger than the official estimate!
On average, China GDP annual growth rate has been 8.5% since 1980 till 2019, regardless inflation and RMB depreciation, slower than the average rate of 10% during 1949 to 1979. Thus, my prediction is that China 2019 GDP will be 34 trillion RBM at the fixed value of 1952, or 97 trillion RMB when a combination (~4%) of inflation and RBM depreciation is considered. If corrected, the GDP growth rate of China in 2019 is predicted to be 6.5%.
If using exchange rate of 7 RMB equals to 1 US$, then the China 2019 GDP would be ~$14 trillion, or GDP per capita $10000. Again, this must be wrong, because the value of RMB is much undercounted! So, what would be the actual rate? The answer may shock most of you, 2 RMB = 1 US$; then, China 2019 GDP would be $48.5 trillion, i.e. China GDP per capita in 2019 shall be $34600! (Note: As a comparison, the US GDP per capita in 2019 will be ~$61500).
The truth cannot be distorded!
the same method.
这个阿姨指出了一个事实：央视有些人有问题。
中华人民共和国国庆七十周年，不是庆祝改开四十一周年。
说轻一点，编者水平低，编的内容不切题；讲重一点，编者有意敌视前三十年的发展。
凭心而论，前三十年是共和国发展的重要时期。没有前三十年的建设成就，后四十年的发展至多就是另一个印度的规模。
1949年的全国钢铁产量不足30万吨，尚不及仅仅30万人口的欧洲国家卢森堡。特种钢产量为零。合成氨产量为零。硫酸产量化肥生产几乎为零或可以忽略不计。根本没有大型工程制造业。也根本没有化纤工业产品。拖拉机收割机造船业为零。没有大型机床制造业。没有大型轧钢生产线。不能生产即使是百吨的水压机油压机。不能生产千吨级的船只和潜艇。没有自主的军工产品。更不必说后来的雷达导弹大型电子计算机以及卫星原子弹了。而所有这些都是在毛泽东的领导下在1976年前就已经建立了基础，取得的伟大成就。