(CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues that the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has abandoned its "allies and so-called alliances."
Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments. That argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's withdrawal from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly different.
Consider first the notion that the US is abandoning its allies. President Joe Biden suggested that part of his withdrawal rationale was that without the Afghans' will to fight the American military mission could not succeed. The United States spent 20 years in Afghanistan, fighting the Taliban and training the Afghan military, spending approximately $2.26 trillion. While reports corroborate Biden's logic, suggesting Afghanistan's political leaders and its armed forces made deals with the Taliban, what does this say about US commitment to defend formal allies like Japan or South Korea or quasi-allies like Taiwan?
Rather than freely giving up to adversary objectives, these actors have endured decades of coercion and keep resisting. Taiwan has suffered diplomatic isolation and economic and military coercion from Beijing; South Korea has faced economic coercion from Beijing and military belligerence from North Korea; and Japan has endured increasing provocations and military threats from both. Instead of wavering, these governments have generally taken harder positions, firmed up their militaries, and strengthened relationships with the US and sometimes other countries to rebuff external provocations. There is a will to fight, which the US has undoubtedly seen through its decades of working with them.
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】 : (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues that : the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility : and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has abandoned : its "allies and so-called alliances." : : Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they : suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments. That : argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's withdrawal : from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly : different. : : Consider first the notion that the US is abandoning its allies. President : Joe Biden suggested that part of his withdrawal rationale was that without : the Afghans' will to fight the American military mission could not succeed. : The United States spent 20 years in Afghanistan, fighting the Taliban and : training the Afghan military, spending approximately $2.26 trillion. While : reports corroborate Biden's logic, suggesting Afghanistan's political : leaders and its armed forces made deals with the Taliban, what does this say : about US commitment to defend formal allies like Japan or South Korea or : quasi-allies like Taiwan? : : Rather than freely giving up to adversary objectives, these actors have : endured decades of coercion and keep resisting. Taiwan has suffered : diplomatic isolation and economic and military coercion from Beijing; South : Korea has faced economic coercion from Beijing and military belligerence : from North Korea; and Japan has endured increasing provocations and military : threats from both. Instead of wavering, these governments have generally : taken harder positions, firmed up their militaries, and strengthened : relationships with the US and sometimes other countries to rebuff external : provocations. There is a will to fight, which the US has undoubtedly seen : through its decades of working with them.
While the US has not yet sacrificed any lives to defend Taiwan or Japan, it has done so for South Korea. But for all three, US commitment to their security is unquestionable. With Japan and South Korea, the US has a permanent forward military presence and formal defense treaties; with Taiwan, there is the Taiwan Relations Act, which not only sets the legal foundation by which the United States has sold defensive weapons to Taiwan, it explicitly states that any effort to determine Taiwan's future by other than peaceful means is considered a threat to the peace and security of the Western Pacific and of grave concern to the US.
Jeffrey W. Hornung is a senior political scientist at the non-profit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation. The opinions expressed in this commentary are his.
Jeffrey W. Hornung
兰德公司 Senior Political Scientist
Languages
Japanese
日本人
Jeffrey Reeves, Jeffrey Hornung, Kerry Lynn Nankivell, Chinese-Japanese Competition and the East Asian Security Complex: Vying for Influence, Routledge, 2017 (forthcoming)
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Managing the U.S.-Japan Alliance: An Examination of Structural Linkages in the Security Relationship, Sasakawa USA, 2017
Jeffrey W. Hornung, The U.S. Military Laydown On Guam: Progress Amid Challenges, Sasakawa USA, 2017
Jeffrey W. Hornung and Mike M. Mochizuki, "Japan: Still An Exceptional U.S. Ally," Washington Quarterly, 39(1), 2016
"Japan's 2015 Security Legislation: Change Rooted Firmly in Continuity," in Mary McCarthy (Ed), Routledge Handbook of Japanese Foreign Policy, Routledge, 2018
Jeffrey Hornung, "Japan's Pushback of China," Washington Quarterly, 38(1), 2015
Jeffrey W. Hornung, "Japan’s Growing Hard Hedge Against China," Asian Security, 10(2), 2014
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Modeling a Stronger U.S.-Japan Alliance: Assessing U.S. Alliance Structures, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2015
【 在 bigball (大球) 的大作中提到: 】 : 狗等常 写的？ : that : abandoned : That : withdrawal : . : say : South : military
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】 : (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues that : the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility : and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has abandoned : its "allies and so-called alliances." : Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they : suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments. That : argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's withdrawal : from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly : different. : ...................
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】 : (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues that : the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility : and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has abandoned : its "allies and so-called alliances." : Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they : suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments. That : argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's withdrawal : from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly : different. : ...................
(CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues that the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility
and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that
American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has abandoned its "allies and so-called alliances."
Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they
suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments. That argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's withdrawal from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly
different.
Consider first the notion that the US is abandoning its allies. President
Joe Biden suggested that part of his withdrawal rationale was that without
the Afghans' will to fight the American military mission could not succeed. The United States spent 20 years in Afghanistan, fighting the Taliban and
training the Afghan military, spending approximately $2.26 trillion. While
reports corroborate Biden's logic, suggesting Afghanistan's political
leaders and its armed forces made deals with the Taliban, what does this say about US commitment to defend formal allies like Japan or South Korea or
quasi-allies like Taiwan?
Rather than freely giving up to adversary objectives, these actors have
endured decades of coercion and keep resisting. Taiwan has suffered
diplomatic isolation and economic and military coercion from Beijing; South Korea has faced economic coercion from Beijing and military belligerence
from North Korea; and Japan has endured increasing provocations and military threats from both. Instead of wavering, these governments have generally
taken harder positions, firmed up their militaries, and strengthened
relationships with the US and sometimes other countries to rebuff external
provocations. There is a will to fight, which the US has undoubtedly seen
through its decades of working with them.
狗等常 写的？
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】
: (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues
that
: the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility
: and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has
abandoned
: its "allies and so-called alliances."
:
: Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they
: suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments.
That
: argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's
withdrawal
: from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly
: different.
:
: Consider first the notion that the US is abandoning its allies. President : Joe Biden suggested that part of his withdrawal rationale was that without
: the Afghans' will to fight the American military mission could not succeed.
: The United States spent 20 years in Afghanistan, fighting the Taliban and : training the Afghan military, spending approximately $2.26 trillion. While
: reports corroborate Biden's logic, suggesting Afghanistan's political
: leaders and its armed forces made deals with the Taliban, what does this
say
: about US commitment to defend formal allies like Japan or South Korea or : quasi-allies like Taiwan?
:
: Rather than freely giving up to adversary objectives, these actors have
: endured decades of coercion and keep resisting. Taiwan has suffered
: diplomatic isolation and economic and military coercion from Beijing;
South
: Korea has faced economic coercion from Beijing and military belligerence
: from North Korea; and Japan has endured increasing provocations and
military
: threats from both. Instead of wavering, these governments have generally : taken harder positions, firmed up their militaries, and strengthened
: relationships with the US and sometimes other countries to rebuff external
: provocations. There is a will to fight, which the US has undoubtedly seen : through its decades of working with them.
While the US has not yet sacrificed any lives to defend Taiwan or Japan, it has done so for South Korea. But for all three, US commitment to their
security is unquestionable. With Japan and South Korea, the US has a
permanent forward military presence and formal defense treaties; with Taiwan, there is the Taiwan Relations Act, which not only sets the legal
foundation by which the United States has sold defensive weapons to Taiwan, it explicitly states that any effort to determine Taiwan's future by other
than peaceful means is considered a threat to the peace and security of the Western Pacific and of grave concern to the US.
Jeffrey W. Hornung is a senior political scientist at the non-profit,
nonpartisan RAND Corporation. The opinions expressed in this commentary are his.
Jeffrey W. Hornung
兰德公司 Senior Political Scientist
Languages
Japanese
日本人
Jeffrey Reeves, Jeffrey Hornung, Kerry Lynn Nankivell, Chinese-Japanese
Competition and the East Asian Security Complex: Vying for Influence,
Routledge, 2017 (forthcoming)
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Managing the U.S.-Japan Alliance: An Examination of
Structural Linkages in the Security Relationship, Sasakawa USA, 2017
Jeffrey W. Hornung, The U.S. Military Laydown On Guam: Progress Amid
Challenges, Sasakawa USA, 2017
Jeffrey W. Hornung and Mike M. Mochizuki, "Japan: Still An Exceptional U.S. Ally," Washington Quarterly, 39(1), 2016
"Japan's 2015 Security Legislation: Change Rooted Firmly in Continuity," in Mary McCarthy (Ed), Routledge Handbook of Japanese Foreign Policy, Routledge, 2018
Jeffrey Hornung, "Japan's Pushback of China," Washington Quarterly, 38(1),
2015
Jeffrey W. Hornung, "Japan’s Growing Hard Hedge Against China," Asian
Security, 10(2), 2014
Jeffrey W. Hornung, Modeling a Stronger U.S.-Japan Alliance: Assessing U.S. Alliance Structures, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2015
【 在 bigball (大球) 的大作中提到: 】
: 狗等常 写的？
: that
: abandoned
: That
: withdrawal
: .
: say
: South
: military
新北市土城看守所今天加一勺西红柿？
然后半途而废？
像阿富汗那样？
作者送战场，咚咚咚。
：）
美国会战的，那个高音大喇叭，大吼：台巴子，给老子上。日本龟儿子，韩国棒子，给老子上，欧洲小弟们，给老子上。。。。。。我给你们加油！冲啊。。。。
战个屁，美国总统和政客说话就象放屁一样。
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】
: (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues
that
: the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility
: and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has
abandoned
: its "allies and so-called alliances."
: Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they
: suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments.
That
: argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's
withdrawal
: from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly
: different.
: ...................
日本人写的吧
真是好笑
美国软肋又多了一个？
哪只手写了为台湾而战啊？最清晰的表态是小布什，“we will do whatever to
protect taiwan".
不过，现在本来就要战。打击强盗怎么可能放过强盗的狗腿子？
C-17结构图，找个安全的地方藏身，台巴也许用得到
vhttps://www.youtube.com/v/mF4AF4uLuWQ
【 在 dramawatcher (狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】
: (CNN)Commentary in China's government-run newspaper Global Times argues
that
: the US withdrawal from Afghanistan "dealt a heavy blow to the credibility
: and reliability of the US." Another article by the same paper argues that : American actions in Afghanistan are not the first time the US has
abandoned
: its "allies and so-called alliances."
: Strategic competitors like China benefit from such narratives, as they
: suggest the US will not or cannot live up to its security commitments.
That
: argument, however, doesn't hold up, as the reasons for America's
withdrawal
: from Afghanistan and the rationales for other US commitments are vastly
: different.
: ...................
米帝, fdog湾毒, 加油 !!!!
米帝, fdog湾毒, 加油 !!!!
米帝, fdog湾毒, 加油 !!!!
米帝, fdog湾毒, 加油 !!!!
中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
我们為保衛家園而戰！
隨便你土鳖喊，
就是土鳖损失東南沿海.，呵～
侵略必亡！
看到 political scientist 难道大家不会想到circus的joker吗？
这个应该就是菜菜子最想得到的学位吧
【 在 dramawatcher(狗蛋大) 的大作中提到: 】
: Jeffrey W. Hornung is a senior political scientist at the non-profit,
: nonpartisan RAND Corporation. The opinions expressed in this
commentary are
: his.
: Jeffrey W. Hornung
: 兰德公司 Senior Political Scientist
: Languages
: Japanese
: 日本人
: Jeffrey Reeves, Jeffrey Hornung, Kerry Lynn Nankivell, Chinese-
Japanese
: Competition and the East Asian Security Complex: Vying for Influence, : ...................
不錯看！
【 在 molen (molen) 的大作中提到: 】
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
如果习近平打台湾，最好的结果就是2小时内台湾政府投降，接受军管。
这个是杀伤力最小的。蔡英文流亡国外。
马英九组织联合政府，接受大陆管制。
美国最好不要参与，积极接受难民，把世界大战的可能性减少。
否则就是第三次世界大战。最近中俄联合军演，意思很明确，
如果美国打中国，俄罗斯也会介入，和中国形成远东联盟。
【 在 molen(molen) 的大作中提到: 】
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
为什么要避免世界大战。世界和平太久，很多大是大非都模糊了，人类在逐渐丧失理想，玩物丧志，是时候再打一场大战了。
【 在 yuaner (yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 如果习近平打台湾，最好的结果就是2小时内台湾政府投降，接受军管。
: 这个是杀伤力最小的。蔡英文流亡国外。
: 马英九组织联合政府，接受大陆管制。
: 美国最好不要参与，积极接受难民，把世界大战的可能性减少。
: 否则就是第三次世界大战。最近中俄联合军演，意思很明确，
: 如果美国打中国，俄罗斯也会介入，和中国形成远东联盟。
:
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
:
为什么要避免世界大战。世界和平太久，很多大是大非都模糊了，人类在逐渐丧失理想，玩物丧志，是时候再打一场大战了。
【 在 yuaner (yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 如果习近平打台湾，最好的结果就是2小时内台湾政府投降，接受军管。
: 这个是杀伤力最小的。蔡英文流亡国外。
: 马英九组织联合政府，接受大陆管制。
: 美国最好不要参与，积极接受难民，把世界大战的可能性减少。
: 否则就是第三次世界大战。最近中俄联合军演，意思很明确，
: 如果美国打中国，俄罗斯也会介入，和中国形成远东联盟。
:
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
:
不要太挑剔。
没有金牛的金口玉牙那么管用，将就一下也就可以了。
亚特兰大人也曾这样喊，不妨碍谢尔曼一把火烧平，林肯坐实美帝最伟大总统宝座，哈哈哈哈
【 在 amylee (amy) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我们為保衛家園而戰！
: 隨便你土鳖喊，
: 就是土鳖损失東南沿海.，呵～
: 侵略必亡！
几时开打？
【 在 kingtiger (otto) 的大作中提到: 】
: 亚特兰大人也曾这样喊，不妨碍谢尔曼一把火烧平，林肯坐实美帝最伟大总统宝座，哈
: 哈哈哈
实弹军事演习经常有，不一定哪一次就是真的。这完全是蔡英文的错。
马英九已经去大陆要求见习近平。习近平连拜登都不见，会见马英九？
【 在 amylee(amy) 的大作中提到: 】
: 几时开打？
马英九不可能去大陆的
习近平是众叛亲离，举世皆敌了，好比45年的希特勒
这时候去，不是傻么
【 在 yuaner (yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 实弹军事演习经常有，不一定哪一次就是真的。这完全是蔡英文的错。
: 马英九已经去大陆要求见习近平。习近平连拜登都不见，会见马英九？
:
: 几时开打？
:
台湾的地形比阿富汗还不如，都是高山，无法打游击。台湾的军队一共带军校生也不如阿富汗政府军多，20万人。蔡英文能招到一万和塔利班一样的青年都找不到。谁会去打？开玩笑，快跑吧。北约会不远万里跑台湾去打吗？而且是对付世界第三军事力量。还有世界第二的支持。
只怕韩国日本都蠢蠢欲动，趁机赶走美军。大东亚俄罗斯联盟成立，对付北美洲美立坚民族。 这是世界两大格局，50年后地球就是这样。
【 在 Arakis(Arakis) 的大作中提到: 】
: 为什么要避免世界大战。世界和平太久，很多大是大非都模糊了，人类在逐渐丧失理想
: ，玩物丧志，是时候再打一场大战了。
马英九去了，这个消息有带确认，中俄军演是真的，连BBC都报道了。
【 在 molen(molen) 的大作中提到: 】
: 马英九不可能去大陆的
: 习近平是众叛亲离，举世皆敌了，好比45年的希特勒
: 这时候去，不是傻么
对着镜子，自己脑补，很有意思吗 ？
【 在 yuaner (yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 如果习近平打台湾，最好的结果就是2小时内台湾政府投降，接受军管。
: 这个是杀伤力最小的。蔡英文流亡国外。
: 马英九组织联合政府，接受大陆管制。
: 美国最好不要参与，积极接受难民，把世界大战的可能性减少。
: 否则就是第三次世界大战。最近中俄联合军演，意思很明确，
: 如果美国打中国，俄罗斯也会介入，和中国形成远东联盟。
:
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
:
战，不战是小狗
军事科幻小说就是这样的，很真实哦。都是真的。
【 在 yuaner(yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 台湾的地形比阿富汗还不如，都是高山，无法打游击。台湾的军队一共带军校生也不如
: 阿富汗政府军多，20万人。蔡英文能招到一万和塔利班一样的青年都找不到。谁会去打
: ？开玩笑，快跑吧。北约会不远万里跑台湾去打吗？而且是对付世界第三军事力量。还
: 有世界第二的支持。
: 只怕韩国日本都蠢蠢欲动，趁机赶走美军。大东亚俄罗斯联盟成立，对付北美洲美立坚
: 民族。 这是世界两大格局，50年后地球就是这样。
: 失理想
开玩笑，我要是蔡英文，绝对不会打，45分钟内投降。
【 在 cellcycle(vacoule) 的大作中提到: 】
: 对着镜子，自己脑补，很有意思吗 ？
yeah right
不可能。估计双方的手指头一开始流第一滴血，双方就止战了。然后台湾就归大陆了。
【 在 molen (molen) 的大作中提到: 】
: 中美两国一起为台湾流尽最后一滴血
可惜你不是，另外 蔡本来就不会打，打不过，干嘛要打 ？
可是，你打我，就不一样了！
【 在 yuaner (yuaner) 的大作中提到: 】
: 开玩笑，我要是蔡英文，绝对不会打，45分钟内投降。
:
: 对着镜子，自己脑补，很有意思吗 ？
:
为了分裂别国，必须出大力LOL
美国要把自己的一切都奉献给台湾，奉献给蔡总统
【 在 Yonggexing (Yongge) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不可能。估计双方的手指头一开始流第一滴血，双方就止战了。然后台湾就归大陆了。
Summary: 仆从国一定会拼命的
mmp，妄议中央大政方针，搞团团伙伙，对抗组织审查，决定开除其党籍和公职。 ~~
要以德服人，杀人放火是不对的哈 ~~ 就不能阳光一点吗 ？
【 在 Arakis (Arakis) 的大作中提到: 】
: 为什么要避免世界大战。世界和平太久，很多大是大非都模糊了，人类在逐渐丧失理想
: ，玩物丧志，是时候再打一场大战了。