Joe Biden thinks he is going to win the White House in 84 days' time.
That's the unmistakable message he sent just after 4 p.m. Eastern time when, via text, his campaign announced that he had picked Sen. Kamala Harris of California as his vice presidential nominee. Harris, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic presidential nomination earlier this year, had been the front-runner to be Biden's pick for months because, well, she simply made sense. Consider: * She's been vetted on the national stage due to her own 2020 bid * She has experience in government -- as both the California attorney general and as a US senator since 2017 * At 55 years old, she represents a younger generation of leader -- something that Biden, who will be 78 on Inauguration Day 2021, said was a major factor in his choice * She is a historic pick as the first Black and South Asian American woman to appear on a major party's national ticket * She's from California, a massive treasure trove of both Democratic votes and Democratic donors * She emerged as an outspoken voice on race -- and the need for police reform -- following the death of George Floyd in May and the subsequent protests it sparked around the country There was no one else on Biden's VP shortlist that checked so many boxes. What's telling is that Biden -- and his team -- didn't feel the need to reach for a less predictable pick. They knew that while picking Harris would draw considerable attention, it would also be the thing most people expected them to do. Despite the historic nature of putting Harris on the ticket, Biden and his advisers knew that selecting Harris might be described by some as unsurprising. But one man's "unsurprising" is another man's "safe." And that's exactly what Harris is -- and what Biden believes he needs. See, if you are Joe Biden, making your third run for president and ahead in virtually every swing state and nationally over President Donald Trump, every day between now and November 3 you want to do nothing that threatens to change the underlying dynamics of the race. And those underlying dynamics are that this election is a referendum on Trump's first term in office and, more specifically, the deeply haphazard and erratic way in which he has handled the coronavirus pandemic in the country. Under that theory of the case, Biden needs to spend most of his time convincing voters that Trump deserves to be fired and a (relatively) small amount of time making sure they believe he could do the job in the incumbent's place.
THE POINT -- NOW ON YOUTUBE!
In each episode of his weekly YouTube show, Chris Cillizza will delve a little deeper into the surreal world of politics. Click to subscribe!
What that all means is that Biden wants the race to be about him as little as possible. He doesn't want to turn this into 2016 all over again, in which Hillary Clinton was forced by Trump to play defense over her time (and emails) at the State Department. He doesn't want the race to turn into a war of words or a battle to see who can sink lower in terms of personal attacks. And so, in making the most important decision of his campaign, Biden abided by that approach. He wanted to, above all, do no harm. Picking former US Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice, who saw her fortunes soar in the finals days of the veepstakes, undoubtedly appealed to Biden, since he had the closest personal relationship with her and believed she could help him heal the wounds, internationally, that Trump has created. But Rice's ties to the attacks in Benghazi, Libya -- not to mention her presence in a January 20, 2017, meeting on Michael Flynn -- created clear attack lines for Trump's campaign to turn the spotlight from his flailing bid to Biden and Rice. Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms was, without question, one of Biden's most trusted, effective and loyal surrogates throughout the 2020 race. She was with him when no one thought he could come back from dismal finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire. But with her time as mayor of Atlanta being her highest level of experience in elected office, Biden would open himself up to questions about whether she would be ready to take on the top job at a moment's notice. California Rep. Karen Bass' time as speaker of the State Assembly in California and her ability to appeal to Democrats of all ideological stripes made her an attractive choice. But past comments about Fidel Castro and Scientology -- and Bass' shaky responses when pushed on those comments -- suggested that she might not be ready for the full glare of the national spotlight. Harris, by contrast, had no obvious weakness that the Trump campaign would exploit. Yes, it would note -- as it did shortly after the pick was announced! -- that she had slammed Biden's stance on segregated busing in a June 2019 presidential debate. ("Not long ago, Kamala Harris called Joe Biden a racist and asked for an apology she never received," said Trump campaign spokeswoman Katrina Pierson.) But it's hard to see that attack doing much damage, given that Biden made history by picking Harris. Is the he's-a-secret-racist message really going to resonate given not only that but also a series of examples of Trump weaponizing White animosity toward minorities during his time in office? No way. And, while her prosecutor past in California might rankle some liberals who believed she was too aggressive in policing, it's equally hard to imagine that liberals -- faced with the prospect of four more years of Trump -- would abandon Biden because of it. What Biden did is make the pick that maximized his chances of continuing to make the race a straight referendum on Trump while also selecting someone, in Harris, whose resume suggests will be ready to step in if and when Biden decides to step aside. This is the VP choice of a confident candidate, and campaign, who believe they are winning. And who believe that, as long they execute the basics of the campaign between now and November 3, Biden will be sworn in as the 46th president on January 20, 2021.
河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
well anticipated, almost inevitable
拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
no news is good news
没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
逻辑感人，要是稳赢的就不用选一个primary指着自己鼻子骂的了
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
: well anticipated, almost inevitable
: 拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
: 说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
: no news is good news
: 没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
那个不算啥。这个小插曲，
恰恰证明 拜振华胸怀宽广，
更加凸显 川建国小肚鸡肠
【 在 mengjianzhu3 (梦见粉猪) 的大作中提到: 】
: 逻辑感人，要是稳赢的就不用选一个primary指着自己鼻子骂的了
等有10胜，川有10败。
【 在 mengjianzhu3 (梦见粉猪) 的大作中提到: 】
: 逻辑感人，要是稳赢的就不用选一个primary指着自己鼻子骂的了
为了国家稳定着想， 拜邓应该选个美军高级将军做 VP 的。
美国面临全国大动乱， 需要军队来维稳
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
: well anticipated, almost inevitable
: 拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
: 说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
: no news is good news
: 没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
不用啊。虽然美军不听川普的调动，
但是拜登当选之后，就是真正的commander in chief，
指挥军队维稳没问题
【 在 GetHer (外星人) 的大作中提到: 】
: 为了国家稳定着想， 拜邓应该选个美军高级将军做 VP 的。
: 美国面临全国大动乱， 需要军队来维稳
显然不行的
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不用啊。虽然美军不听川普的调动，
: 但是拜登当选之后，就是真正的commander in chief，
: 指挥军队维稳没问题
Biden就是个润滑油型的总统。善于安抚人心。其实作为一个美国总统能统筹全局调和
各方矛盾就够了，各方面有各方面的专家。不需要逞能自己什么都会，像trump一样吹
牛说大话，把美国全世界搅的乌烟瘴气。
【 在 sweetsister(甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 那个不算啥。这个小插曲，
: 恰恰证明 拜振华胸怀宽广，
: 更加凸显 川建国小肚鸡肠
鼠食。甜甜达到了CNN水平：
Joe Biden thinks he is going to win the White House in 84 days' time.
That's the unmistakable message he sent just after 4 p.m. Eastern time when, via text, his campaign announced that he had picked Sen. Kamala Harris of
California as his vice presidential nominee.
Harris, who ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic presidential nomination
earlier this year, had been the front-runner to be Biden's pick for months
because, well, she simply made sense.
Consider:
* She's been vetted on the national stage due to her own 2020 bid
* She has experience in government -- as both the California attorney
general and as a US senator since 2017
* At 55 years old, she represents a younger generation of leader --
something that Biden, who will be 78 on Inauguration Day 2021, said was a
major factor in his choice
* She is a historic pick as the first Black and South Asian American woman
to appear on a major party's national ticket
* She's from California, a massive treasure trove of both Democratic votes
and Democratic donors
* She emerged as an outspoken voice on race -- and the need for police
reform -- following the death of George Floyd in May and the subsequent
protests it sparked around the country
There was no one else on Biden's VP shortlist that checked so many boxes.
What's telling is that Biden -- and his team -- didn't feel the need to
reach for a less predictable pick. They knew that while picking Harris would draw considerable attention, it would also be the thing most people
expected them to do. Despite the historic nature of putting Harris on the
ticket, Biden and his advisers knew that selecting Harris might be described by some as unsurprising.
But one man's "unsurprising" is another man's "safe." And that's exactly
what Harris is -- and what Biden believes he needs.
See, if you are Joe Biden, making your third run for president and ahead in virtually every swing state and nationally over President Donald Trump,
every day between now and November 3 you want to do nothing that threatens
to change the underlying dynamics of the race. And those underlying dynamics are that this election is a referendum on Trump's first term in office and, more specifically, the deeply haphazard and erratic way in which he has
handled the coronavirus pandemic in the country.
Under that theory of the case, Biden needs to spend most of his time
convincing voters that Trump deserves to be fired and a (relatively) small
amount of time making sure they believe he could do the job in the incumbent's place.
THE POINT -- NOW ON YOUTUBE!
In each episode of his weekly YouTube show, Chris Cillizza will delve a
little deeper into the surreal world of politics. Click to subscribe!
What that all means is that Biden wants the race to be about him as little
as possible. He doesn't want to turn this into 2016 all over again, in which Hillary Clinton was forced by Trump to play defense over her time (and
emails) at the State Department. He doesn't want the race to turn into a war of words or a battle to see who can sink lower in terms of personal attacks.
And so, in making the most important decision of his campaign, Biden abided by that approach. He wanted to, above all, do no harm.
Picking former US Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice, who saw her
fortunes soar in the finals days of the veepstakes, undoubtedly appealed to Biden, since he had the closest personal relationship with her and believed she could help him heal the wounds, internationally, that Trump has created. But Rice's ties to the attacks in Benghazi, Libya -- not to mention her
presence in a January 20, 2017, meeting on Michael Flynn -- created clear
attack lines for Trump's campaign to turn the spotlight from his flailing
bid to Biden and Rice.
Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms was, without question, one of Biden's
most trusted, effective and loyal surrogates throughout the 2020 race. She
was with him when no one thought he could come back from dismal finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire. But with her time as mayor of Atlanta being her
highest level of experience in elected office, Biden would open himself up
to questions about whether she would be ready to take on the top job at a
moment's notice.
California Rep. Karen Bass' time as speaker of the State Assembly in
California and her ability to appeal to Democrats of all ideological stripes made her an attractive choice. But past comments about Fidel Castro and
Scientology -- and Bass' shaky responses when pushed on those comments --
suggested that she might not be ready for the full glare of the national
spotlight.
Harris, by contrast, had no obvious weakness that the Trump campaign would
exploit.
Yes, it would note -- as it did shortly after the pick was announced! --
that she had slammed Biden's stance on segregated busing in a June 2019
presidential debate. ("Not long ago, Kamala Harris called Joe Biden a racist and asked for an apology she never received," said Trump campaign
spokeswoman Katrina Pierson.) But it's hard to see that attack doing much
damage, given that Biden made history by picking Harris.
Is the he's-a-secret-racist message really going to resonate given not only that but also a series of examples of Trump weaponizing White animosity
toward minorities during his time in office? No way. And, while her
prosecutor past in California might rankle some liberals who believed she
was too aggressive in policing, it's equally hard to imagine that liberals -- faced with the prospect of four more years of Trump -- would abandon Biden because of it.
What Biden did is make the pick that maximized his chances of continuing to make the race a straight referendum on Trump while also selecting someone,
in Harris, whose resume suggests will be ready to step in if and when Biden decides to step aside.
This is the VP choice of a confident candidate, and campaign, who believe
they are winning. And who believe that, as long they execute the basics of
the campaign between now and November 3, Biden will be sworn in as the 46th president on January 20, 2021.
Biden - Harris 组合，不会有多么激动人心，但确实是各方面都能接受的稳妥选择，
非常适合团结全党，全军，全国各族人民，
拨乱反正，妥善处理被Trump搞砸的烂摊子
【 在 george19 (charlie19eyes) 的大作中提到: 】
: Biden就是个润滑油型的总统。善于安抚人心。其实作为一个美国总统能统筹全局调和
: 各方矛盾就够了，各方面有各方面的专家。不需要逞能自己什么都会，像trump一样吹
: 牛说大话，把美国全世界搅的乌烟瘴气。
:
: 那个不算啥。这个小插曲，
:
: 恰恰证明 拜振华胸怀宽广，
:
: 更加凸显 川建国小肚鸡肠
:
你还没梦醒？
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: Biden - Harris 组合，不会有多么激动人心，但确实是各方面都能接受的稳妥选择，
: 非常适合团结全党，全军，全国各族人民，
: 拨乱反正，妥善处理被Trump搞砸的烂摊子
还是要有点梦想吧，
万一实现了呢？
【 在 GetHer (外星人) 的大作中提到: 】
: 你还没梦醒？
差不多。你要真是个女的， 算明白政治的。
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
: well anticipated, almost inevitable
: 拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
: 说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
: no news is good news
: 没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
不敢苟同，这个选择得的票远远少于丢掉的票，主党再次把一手好牌打烂，广大索南看来还要被折磨4年
上下嘴皮一张，啥证据都没有的屁话滚滚而来
【 在 zhenqiumi (真球迷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不敢苟同，这个选择得的票远远少于丢掉的票，主党再次把一手好牌打烂，广大索南看
: 来还要被折磨4年
这位嘴巴和脑袋都是屎的东西可以看看youtube的评论区
【 在 szxp (xp) 的大作中提到: 】
: 上下嘴皮一张，啥证据都没有的屁话滚滚而来
我觉得是凭长相选的
河锦鲤确实性感漂亮
有利于琐男选票
拜登是白熟女的至爱
政治其实全在鬼混
什么狗屁算计都是底层人的脑补
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
: well anticipated, almost inevitable
: 拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
: 说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
: no news is good news
: 没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
你居然和无忌一样，也觉得河锦鲤“性感漂亮”?
【 在 strillion (买买提圣人、军版版父【屎堆里】) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我觉得是凭长相选的
: 河锦鲤确实性感漂亮
: 有利于琐男选票
: 拜登是白熟女的至爱
: 政治其实全在鬼混
: 什么狗屁算计都是底层人的脑补
真漂亮
绝对是1%
政客、亿万富翁，无非是每次赌1%几率方向的赌客
只不过我们看到的都是随机幸存者
神秘感、计谋全是脑补出来的
相反我们琐男每次赌99%的方向
确实猥琐，但不是智力的区别
我虽然只能在菌斑战斗
但去测智商，绝对比川普拜登绑起来都高两倍
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 你居然和无忌一样，也觉得河锦鲤“性感漂亮”?
你每句话都是文革的调调
【在sweetsister（甜甜）的大作中提到：】
：Biden - Harris 组合，不会有多么激动人心，但确实是各方面都能接受的稳妥选择，
：非常适合团结全党，全军，全国各族人民，
：拨乱反正，妥善处理被Trump搞砸的烂摊子
我怎么没看出来她漂亮啊？
还“真漂亮”? 还“绝对是1%”
看来男女的审美真不一样
【 在 strillion (买买提圣人、军版版父【屎堆里】) 的大作中提到: 】
: 真漂亮
: 绝对是1%
: 政客、亿万富翁，无非是每次赌1%几率方向的赌客
: 只不过我们看到的都是随机幸存者
: 神秘感、计谋全是脑补出来的
: 相反我们琐男每次赌99%的方向
: 确实猥琐，但不是智力的区别
: 我虽然只能在菌斑战斗
: 但去测智商，绝对比川普拜登绑起来都高两倍
当然。在中宣部做过实习生，给领导写过稿子的啊
【 在 schoolzone (blank) 的大作中提到: 】
: 你每句话都是文革的调调
: ：Biden - Harris 组合，不会有多么激动人心，但确实是各方面都能接受的稳妥选
择，
: ：非常适合团结全党，全军，全国各族人民，
: ：拨乱反正，妥善处理被Trump搞砸的烂摊子
反正达到了让我撸鸡巴的水平
虽然我是黄屄控，厌恶白女黑女
但这扭杂得不错
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我怎么没看出来她漂亮啊？
: 还“真漂亮”? 还“绝对是1%”
: 看来男女的审美真不一样
就一下不去吊的泥姐 中规中矩个屁
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 河锦鲤，是个中规中矩的选择 ，
: well anticipated, almost inevitable
: 拜登选择河锦鲤做VP，
: 说明拜登自信已经领先，十一月赢面极大，不需要节外生枝，
: no news is good news
: 没有惊喜，就是皆大欢喜
你撸她？泥姐你也撸？
还不如就地撸甜甜
【 在 strillion (买买提圣人、军版版父【屎堆里】) 的大作中提到: 】
: 反正达到了让我撸鸡巴的水平
: 虽然我是黄屄控，厌恶白女黑女
: 但这扭杂得不错
除了写稿子，还有什么其他业务?
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 当然。在中宣部做过实习生，给领导写过稿子的啊
: 择，
还能有啥“业务”？
你是说，抄党章啊
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 除了写稿子，还有什么其他业务?
哦，你只是普通实习生，没给领导当过秘书吧。
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 还能有啥“业务”？
: 你是说，抄党章啊
没有啊。我本质上自由散漫，不喜欢政府机关的束缚，
这也是我后来中了自由民主的荼毒终于流落美国的原因之一吧
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 哦，你只是普通实习生，没给领导当过秘书吧。
小甜同志很善于自我剖析，非常注重团结同志，有大局观，组织纪律性强。来美国可惜了。。。
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 没有啊。我本质上自由散漫，不喜欢政府机关的束缚，
: 这也是我后来中了自由民主的荼毒终于流落美国的原因之一吧
听您这口气，看您这觉悟，好像是给我们县委书记当过几天秘书的
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 小甜同志很善于自我剖析，非常注重团结同志，有大局观，组织纪律性强。来美国可惜
: 了。。。
剃刀又在无耻的舔甜甜
用来刮毛不错
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 小甜同志很善于自我剖析，非常注重团结同志，有大局观，组织纪律性强。来美国可惜
: 了。。。
你准备招秘书吗？哥可以做你的贴身大秘。
【 在 sweetsister (甜甜) 的大作中提到: 】
: 听您这口气，看您这觉悟，好像是给我们县委书记当过几天秘书的
买一送一，让无忌做二秘。
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 你准备招秘书吗？哥可以做你的贴身大秘。
剃刀就是无鸡
自己剃阴毛把鸡鸡剃掉了
变成乌鸡
【 在 OckhamT1 (奥卡姆剃刀) 的大作中提到: 】
: 买一送一，让无忌做二秘。