Twitter上有人预测了今后四年的美国变化

n
newIdRobot
楼主 (未名空间)

xykk
注册时间@2008-07-27
发表于:2020-06-26 23:35

感觉保守派的未来四年和49年以后大陆右派的待遇类似,可能比罗马共和末期还惨

=========
Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.

原link http://mobile.twitter.com/gloamingwhale/status/1276631429582065665

Unrolled http://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1276631429582065665.html

Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.

First, Biden defeats Trump in November in a historic landslide—think FDR
over Hoover, Nixon over McGovern, or Regan over Carter and Mondale.

Second, and in addition to the Biden Blowout, Democrats take both houses of Congress by decisive margins.

Third, the media—transformed from a nominally neutral institution into an
overtly partisan one—heralds the Biden Blowout a historic mandate to pursue a fundamental realignment of American government along "progressive" lines.

Fourth, by the end of Biden''s first term, Democrats will have secured one-
party rule for the foreseeable future. The means will be (1) consolidating
control of government, (2) aggressive de-Trumpification, and (3) new "
progressive" rulemaking.

Fifth, consolidation of government will be achieved by (a) ending all
immigration restrictions—there will be millions and millions of new "
Americans” by 2024; (b) gerrymandering, taking advantage of the 2020 Census delay; and

(c) court-packing, to dilute Republican efforts to appoint conservative
judges. There will be new Supreme Court seats, new circuit court seats, and new district judges; naturally, “diversity” will be the most important
criterion for appointees.

Sixth, de-Trumpification will be understood as justifying any measures
necessary to erase Trump''s policy legacy (such as it is) and to ensure “
nothing like this” (i.e., a nationalist government) “ever happens again.” You can count on:

(a) a rollback of any and all immigration restrictions and an immediate end to any border walls (or other controls); (b) a rollback of reforms to the
campus sexual tribunals under Title IX; (c) stepped-up pressure to force
organizations to adopt anti-bias training in all forms;

and (d) stepped-up pressure on social media companies and web hosts to de-
platform dissidents—by 2024, @Steve_Sailer, @bronzeagemantis, @Cernovich,
and many others will be off Twitter and perhaps purged from the internet
entirely.

Seventh, progressive “reforms” will emanate from every organ of the
administrative state and from Congress. Most notably, you can be assured of a "Truth and Reconciliation" style commission to address the historical
legacy of slavery. The result—reparations—is predetermined.

Eighth—and almost too obvious to say—is that reparations will be explained as a necessary but never sufficient step to reconciliation; indeed, you
will be told that "nothing” can atone for the sin of slavery, so calls for expropriation will intensify, not diminish.

Ninth, Biden will begin at least one new major military conflict by 2024.

Tenth, any prediction that Biden''s election will somehow moderate the zeal of today''s "woke” vanguard will be proven wrong. Biden, manifestly
suffering from dementia, will cede governance to cadres already steeped in @wesyang‘s Successor Ideology; things will get more oppressive.

Eleventh, the Biden Blowout indeed heralds a new, likely permanent ruling
coalition: the marriage of monopoly capital (cc @WokeCapital) and their
shock troops, the evangelical progressives (the “woke”), united against
their common foe—the white middle class.

The dynamic to watch is whether the new ruling coalition can manage the
system''s fundamental contradiction: that, for all the hate directed at
whites, it is the quiet competence of white people (and especially white men) that keeps the lights on, literally and figuratively.

Will the evangelical progressives prove too emboldened and zealous to manage? Too thorough a purge of white people from institutions and organizations
will hasten their collapse.

But conversely, if not suppressed vigorously enough, white Americans may
begin to think and act like the reviled minority they are rapidly becoming, paving the way for a figure even more formidable than Trump.

Either way, for good or ill, the Biden Blowout will come to be seen, far
more than the election of Trump, as the definitive end of the postwar
American order, comparable to the end of the Roman Republican and birth of
the empire.
m
mifepristome

失眠吗?这么晚发贴。能给个摘要?

【 在 newIdRobot (新器人) 的大作中提到: 】
: xykk
: 注册时间@2008-07-27
: 发表于:2020-06-26 23:35
: 感觉保守派的未来四年和49年以后大陆右派的待遇类似,可能比罗马共和末期还惨
: =========
: Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.
: 原link
: http://mobile.twitter.com/gloamingwhale/status/1276631429582065665
: Unrolled
: http://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1276631429582065665.html
: ...................

s
smby

大部分预测都比较靠谱,川普折腾了四年其实就是给极左做垫脚石而已。

c
captain2

白灯最紧要的,是证明还能自如的说话和表达
z
zhetian

太厉害了,索男绿卡了吗??
p
pinfish

参考民进党,hoho
m
microyu

美帝要命的是政治极端化。没有中间派和科学决策。都是民粹闹的。床铺的贡献也功不可没。导致左右对立越来越尖锐。
q
quovadis

瞎鸡吧扯。白等没这个魄力和胆子。

美国人思想还是保守,白等做其中一件事,2022年中期选举就国会翻盘,参见巴马执政,过了一个全民健保后面6年就是个跛脚政府。

美国的这种3权分立说的好听,和加拿大这种议会制比不知道要多inefficient 。

j
jerseyv

Twitter上还有人预测了总统是老婊子稀拉痢的
x
xdf

写这个的是极右分子。这是讽刺类文章里煽动恐惧的笔法。

楼上没几个有脑子的,都是傻逼。楼下我再观察。

q
quovadis

对啊。什么彻底取消边界,连欧洲社会主义都没达到,整文就是煽情制造恐惧

【 在 xdf(消毒粉) 的大作中提到: 】

: 写这个的是极右分子。这是讽刺类文章里煽动恐惧的笔法。

: 楼上没几个有脑子的,都是傻逼。楼下我再观察。

z
zmimy02

幻想狂而已

不值一提

【 在 newIdRobot (新器人) 的大作中提到: 】
: xykk
: 注册时间@2008-07-27
: 发表于:2020-06-26 23:35
:
: 感觉保守派的未来四年和49年以后大陆右派的待遇类似,可能比罗马共和末期还惨
:
: =========
: Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.
:
: 原link
: http://mobile.twitter.com/gloamingwhale/status/1276631429582065665
:
: Unrolled
: http://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1276631429582065665.html
:
: Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.
:
: First, Biden defeats Trump in November in a historic landslide—think FDR : over Hoover, Nixon over McGovern, or Regan over Carter and Mondale.
:
: Second, and in addition to the Biden Blowout, Democrats take both houses
of
: Congress by decisive margins.
:
: Third, the media—transformed from a nominally neutral institution into an
: overtly partisan one—heralds the Biden Blowout a historic mandate to
pursue
: a fundamental realignment of American government along "progressive"
lines.
:
: Fourth, by the end of Biden''s first term, Democrats will have secured one-
: party rule for the foreseeable future. The means will be (1) consolidating
: control of government, (2) aggressive de-Trumpification, and (3) new "
: progressive" rulemaking.
:
: Fifth, consolidation of government will be achieved by (a) ending all
: immigration restrictions—there will be millions and millions of new "
: Americans” by 2024; (b) gerrymandering, taking advantage of the 2020
Census
: delay; and
:
: (c) court-packing, to dilute Republican efforts to appoint conservative
: judges. There will be new Supreme Court seats, new circuit court seats,
and
: new district judges; naturally, “diversity” will be the most important
: criterion for appointees.
:
: Sixth, de-Trumpification will be understood as justifying any measures
: necessary to erase Trump''s policy legacy (such as it is) and to ensure “: nothing like this” (i.e., a nationalist government) “ever happens again.”
: You can count on:
:
: (a) a rollback of any and all immigration restrictions and an immediate
end
: to any border walls (or other controls); (b) a rollback of reforms to the : campus sexual tribunals under Title IX; (c) stepped-up pressure to force
: organizations to adopt anti-bias training in all forms;
:
: and (d) stepped-up pressure on social media companies and web hosts to de-: platform dissidents—by 2024, @Steve_Sailer, @bronzeagemantis, @Cernovich,
: and many others will be off Twitter and perhaps purged from the internet
: entirely.
:
: Seventh, progressive “reforms” will emanate from every organ of the
: administrative state and from Congress. Most notably, you can be assured
of
: a "Truth and Reconciliation" style commission to address the historical
: legacy of slavery. The result—reparations—is predetermined.
:
: Eighth—and almost too obvious to say—is that reparations will be
explained
: as a necessary but never sufficient step to reconciliation; indeed, you
: will be told that "nothing” can atone for the sin of slavery, so calls
for
: expropriation will intensify, not diminish.
:
: Ninth, Biden will begin at least one new major military conflict by 2024.
:
: Tenth, any prediction that Biden''s election will somehow moderate the
zeal
: of today''s "woke” vanguard will be proven wrong. Biden, manifestly
: suffering from dementia, will cede governance to cadres already steeped in @
: wesyang‘s Successor Ideology; things will get more oppressive.
:
: Eleventh, the Biden Blowout indeed heralds a new, likely permanent ruling : coalition: the marriage of monopoly capital (cc @WokeCapital) and their
: shock troops, the evangelical progressives (the “woke”), united against : their common foe—the white middle class.
:
: The dynamic to watch is whether the new ruling coalition can manage the
: system''s fundamental contradiction: that, for all the hate directed at
: whites, it is the quiet competence of white people (and especially white
men
: ) that keeps the lights on, literally and figuratively.
:
: Will the evangelical progressives prove too emboldened and zealous to
manage
: ? Too thorough a purge of white people from institutions and organizations
: will hasten their collapse.
:
: But conversely, if not suppressed vigorously enough, white Americans may
: begin to think and act like the reviled minority they are rapidly becoming,
: paving the way for a figure even more formidable than Trump.
:
: Either way, for good or ill, the Biden Blowout will come to be seen, far
: more than the election of Trump, as the definitive end of the postwar
: American order, comparable to the end of the Roman Republican and birth of
: the empire.
f
forenzhang

巨巨一直是民主党,他这次代共和党出征,就是为了埋葬共和党。

【 在 smby (小花猫) 的大作中提到: 】
: 大部分预测都比较靠谱,川普折腾了四年其实就是给极左做垫脚石而已。

D
DSJS

还宣称““presented without judgment”,可笑, 看过之后,发现行文从前三分之
一开始就完全是右翼fearmonger那种调调了,Without judgment尼玛个头!

【 在 newIdRobot (新器人) 的大作中提到: 】
: xykk
: 注册时间@2008-07-27
: 发表于:2020-06-26 23:35
: 感觉保守派的未来四年和49年以后大陆右派的待遇类似,可能比罗马共和末期还惨
: =========
: Eleven predictions, presented without judgment.
: 原link
: http://mobile.twitter.com/gloamingwhale/status/1276631429582065665
: Unrolled
: http://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1276631429582065665.html
: ...................