American Petroleum Institute (API) crude oil inventory data result
For the week ended November 6
US crude stock inventory rise 6.3 million bbls ... much larger than expectedStocks at Cushing up 2.5 million barrels Higher imports of oil offsetting increased refinery runs
Refinery crude runs rose by 193,000 barrels/day Imports rose by 198,000 bpd More:
【 在 gesund (Life is a bitch; then I die.) 的大作中提到: 】 : 油要是发疯,不这样干,线就得擦掉重画。 如果前面两三步都对了,从条件概率上讲, 以后错的几率就很小了。 图王,是不是今天daily close在40.5之下才算向下突破了? 今天是算下破还是不算?
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩,铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Production-By-The-Numbers.html OPEC has world oil supply peaking in June and July and declining by about 1 million bpd since then. OPEC从六七月份产量已经下降了1M bpd, 美国下降了0.5M bpd,世界其他地方应该也减 产了(除了俄罗斯),这1.5M bpd的减产就这么喂了狗了?我们居然要去8月份的低点, 这到底是什么情况……
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩,铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 http://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/OPEC-Production-By-The-Numbers.html OPEC has world oil supply peaking in June and July and declining by about 1 million bpd since then. OPEC从六七月份产量已经下降了1M bpd, 美国下降了0.5M bpd,世界其他地方应该也减 产了(除了俄罗斯),这1.5M bpd的减产就这么喂了狗了?我们居然要去8月份的低点, 这到底是什么情况…… 这个消息每个人都知道,所以也就成了无用信息。 卖的多于买的,自然就下去 投机的太多,谁的钱包深,谁就赢
WTI我的交易记录 10/12/15-10/16/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36406699.html
WTI我的交易记录 10/19/15-10/23/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36416203.html
WTI我的交易记录 10/26/15-10/30/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36425579.html
WTI我的交易记录 11/2/15-11/6/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36435285.html
前文书说到周五我买了2000股UWTI,均价是9.38.
今天早上亚欧盘涨到了45+现在跌回44.5不知道是盘整还是继续跌。
技术上4H bar处于上升初期,今天白天值得等待上涨,新闻方面什么负面新闻,估计要等消息才能推动油价向一个方向大幅移动。
所以今天白天估计以等待为主。
如果猪两天到星期三EIA出来涨一些也不错
Now holding:
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
每天早晨都在我开车的时候sell off, downtrend的经典模式,看来是时候请个司机了:)
EIA 报告是不是reschedule ?
Today news:
谁有EIA会发布一个月一次的短期能源展望(STEO), 关于石油库存?听说东部12:15
发布?
EIA:将2016年美国石油需求增长预期下修3万桶/日至12万桶/日。 EIA:维持2015年美国石油需求增长预期在32万桶/日
do you know why it was rescheduled ?
Reduced 2000 UWTI @ breakeven price.
Now holding:
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
Average: 9.17
For the week ended November 6
US crude stock inventory rise 6.3 million bbls ... much larger than expectedStocks at Cushing up 2.5 million barrels
Higher imports of oil offsetting increased refinery runs
Refinery crude runs rose by 193,000 barrels/day
Imports rose by 198,000 bpd
More:
Gasoline stocks down 3.2 million barrels
Now holding:
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
Average: 9.03
光棍节油价不给力,又是8点到8点15这个时间段跳水。
看来真要请司机了:(
昨天8.65进的UWTI还来不及调整,等会找机会再看了,今天下行的压力比预期要大,策略需要观察下市场再做调整。
现在唯一遗憾的是在45.2买了第一个1000股,有点下手太早了,搞得现在弹药略不足。
Now holding:
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
Average: 8.71
你这AD的间隔也太小了些吧。
EIA report吧,还在观望的继续观望吧,现在又是在新的区域活动了,不好预测
结果今天还是水下,喋喋不休的架势啊
弹就走。
七根无情的狗眼实心大红柱,瞎了我的眼。
早上起来的时候是42.1x,例行的7点到8点半瀑布,价格和昨天睡觉的时候差不都,看
看有没有动能继续下爆了。
OPEC has world oil supply peaking in June and July and declining by about 1 million bpd since then.
OPEC从六七月份产量已经下降了1M bpd, 减产就这么喂了狗了?我们居然要去8月份的
低点,
这到底是什么情况……
covering之类的信息。我把过去一个礼拜的数据整理了一下(网站上似乎只列过去5天
的,所以要注意搜集),现在贴出来给大家观察下,对比一下过去一个礼拜的价格走势,看看能不能从这些数据里找出一些规律,有助于我们在未来的交易。
数据的来源在这里
http://www.cmegroup.com/market-data/volume-open-interest/energy-volume.html
Open Interest 的介绍在这里
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/openinterest.asp
我对open interest的简单理解是当多头获利了结,或者空头cover的时候,open
interest会减少;反之,当空头增加卖单,或者多头增加买单的时候,open interest
会增加,不知道这种理解对不对?
recent incidents. Here is an interesting article that supports my view: http://atimes.com/2015/11/saudis-syrian-adventures-may-soon-be-over/
http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2015/11/13/Russia-s-Putin-to-meet-Saudi-King-Salman-ahead-of-Russia-visit.html, and this article. There is a lot of things going on behind scenes, all these meetings are for Syria, and of course for oil price. At the end of day, a comprise deal could be made, including the Syria crisis and cooperation in oil production cut. The Dec OPEC meeting maybe not able to get the details out, but an announcement will be more than enough.