The strike that began on Sunday at Brazil's state-run oil producer Petroleo Brasileiro has slowed daily oil output by around 25 percent, and cut around half a million barrels of output in the first 24 hours, the country's largest union FUP said on Tuesday.
does that mean, the rally won't last very long? once the strike is over, it will piaji ? i may buy some protection
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩，铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 Brent hits 3-week high above $50 on Brazil strike http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/02/us-crude-oil-edges-up-after-drops-but-market-remains-oversupplied.html The strike that began on Sunday at Brazil's state-run oil producer Petroleo Brasileiro has slowed daily oil output by around 25 percent, and cut around half a million barrels of output in the first 24 hours, the country's largest union FUP said on Tuesday.
【 在 mRomney (壤木泥) 的大作中提到: 】 does that mean, the rally won't last very long? once the strike is over, it will piaji ? i may buy some protection Petroleo around EIA之前买点保护比较好，我先看API之后的市场反应，然后再考虑周三入不入场，做哪个方向。
sold my USO call and bought 3 USO $15.5 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩，铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 sold my USO call and bought 3 USO $15.5 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */ The trend is unclear, just play safe.
Oil stocks are really calm in this price drop,I exit 100 share of [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */ 92 waiting for below 53 to buy back.
I'm holding some BP, RDS.B and XOP for long term, but try to optimize my entry point for now.
Bullish sentiment seems to be gone already. day range maybe 45.6-46.9, more risk on downside.
Oil stocks plunged during pre-market, waiting to buy back some RDS.B and buy more BP at lower price. Today is BP's dividend day, 60 cents per share unchanged, good business.
updates:
Slide begins @9:01,first support 45.5-45.6 area, then 45
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩，铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 11/5/2015 Bullish sentiment seems to be gone already. day range maybe 45.6-46.9, more risk on downside. Oil stocks plunged during pre-market, waiting to buy back some RDS.B and buy more BP at lower price. Today is BP's dividend day, 60 cents per share unchanged, good business.
45.8 provide better support than I thought, didn't get out soon enough, sold the 50 shares of DWTI @93.85, same price as yesterday(could sold it @96 but I thought it can go lower).
【 在 up10012003 (金钟罩，铁裤衩) 的大作中提到: 】 45.8 provide better support than I thought, didn't get out soon enough, sold the 50 shares of DWTI @93.85, same price as yesterday(could sold it @96 but I thought it can go lower). Now only holding 3 USO $15.5 put
bought 1000 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */, will hold with no sl now. if dip below 44, will add more.
Switched my UWTI to 1000 @9.01, [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */, average @9.38
WTI我的交易记录 10/12/15-10/16/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36406699.html
WTI我的交易记录 10/19/15-10/23/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36416203.html
WTI我的交易记录 10/26/15-10/30/15
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Stock/36425579.html
前文书说到我hold 1000股[email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */ 和10个USO 15 [email protected]/* <![CDATA[ */!function(t,e,r,n,c,a,p){try{t=document.currentScript||function(){for(t=document.getElementsByTagName('script'),e=t.length;e--;)if(t[e].getAttribute('data-cfhash'))return t[e]}();if(t&&(c=t.previousSibling)){p=t.parentNode;if(a=c.getAttribute('data-cfemail')){for(e='',r='0x'+a.substr(0,2)|0,n=2;a.length-n;n+=2)e+='%'+('0'+('0x'+a.substr(n,2)^r).toString(16)).slice(-2);p.replaceChild(document.createTextNode(decodeURIComponent(e)),c)}p.removeChild(t)}}catch(u){}}()/* ]]> */过了周末，目前图形上
看仍然是上涨趋势，不排除今明两天大幅上爆的可能。
SL设在45.5以下。
耐心等待市场走势。
Strong uptrend, watch for 47.7 for resistance, if break 47.10.
Still holding 1000 UWTI @10.2, 10 USO $15 call.
only holding 10 USO $15 call now
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/02/us-crude-oil-edges-up-after-drops-but-market-remains-oversupplied.html
The strike that began on Sunday at Brazil's state-run oil producer Petroleo Brasileiro has slowed daily oil output by around 25 percent, and cut around half a million barrels of output in the first 24 hours, the country's
largest union FUP said on Tuesday.
much can it run, I'll just leave it there.
从上个礼拜五开始我就说MACD金叉之后必有一个spike，这个spike不是周一就是周二。
现在回头看果然是周二spike了，诱因是巴西石油罢工。不管这个新闻，今天这个spike是必然的，是符合客观规律的，回头看这几个月每次spike都是差不多这个set up。
虽然很遗憾我吃了个鱼头就不小心在地板上被stop out了，但是说明石油市场还是有规律可循的，只是需要耐心等待这样一个机会。今后还需要修炼自己的SL 设置技巧。
然后再说说明天的EIA，API +2.8M之后市场先涨后跌不断起伏说明市场现在信心不足，回想下上个礼拜油价最低点的时候，API bulid +4M盘后价格涨了几十分钱，当时就知
道市场情绪有所转折。这样一对比就知道明天的价格涨跌五五开，技术上整个亚欧盘都应该处于盘整调整超买的技术指标，所以明天早晨开盘前大概可以知道Pull back 到底会到哪里，然后再根据图形预测走势。
不管如何，明天主要的交易应该会发生在EIA后了，现在无法预测走势，只能到时候随
机应变。
我现在还有5个USO的$15 call，手上没有UWTI/DWTI。
MACD 的金叉是在周一？ 难道你变了MACD 的 参数？ 12,26,9
亚欧市场直接忽略了API的影响，bull trend continue，现在我手上只有5个USO $15的call了，我会等到10点半EIA之后再决定方向了，但看来市场决心要去探一探200MA，也就是50.8附近，密切关注。
First resistance 49, next 50, then 50.8.
First support 47.5 area
The trend is unclear, just play safe.
产量如何变化的
市场情绪尽早在9点到10点半之间经历了一次转折，让我感觉不是很对，所以我只小买
了一点put娱乐下。
无论如何现在趋势不明，看戏就是了
92 waiting for below 53 to buy back.
I'm holding some BP, RDS.B and XOP for long term, but try to optimize my
entry point for now.
Bullish sentiment seems to be gone already. day range maybe 45.6-46.9, more risk on downside.
Oil stocks plunged during pre-market, waiting to buy back some RDS.B and buy more BP at lower price. Today is BP's dividend day, 60 cents per share
unchanged, good business.
updates:
Slide begins @9:01,first support 45.5-45.6 area, then 45
Now only holding 3 USO $15.5 put
buy 1 VRX $80 call @2.05
涨到46.1x了，我基本还是保持不多不空满把cash的仓位。
非农前设了一个break even的stop limit单，不过似乎没有被执行直接掉到止损价以下去了。
现在UWTI大概是9.5x，今天美元指数暴涨，油价面临下行压力还是很大的，如果能回到45.2,我现在仍在考虑是留着这1000UWTI还是先割掉，再观察一下市场再说。
美国大概12月加息的概率已经很高了，对应的操作是啥，大家可以讨论讨论。
石油方面美元再怎么涨也就这样了，对油价的长期影响有限。所以只要等一等，问题应该不大。
Now holding 2000 UWTI, average price 9.46
more.
now holding 2000 UWTI @9.41
juno不玩了，除非跌回36以下。。。
卖掉之后立刻涨到了5.1,但是今早大盘不佳我把价格下移了一块，收盘前说不定涨更多,这种Option好难最大化收入,达到目标就得了