As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide projections beyond what is included herein.
As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices. Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus far in May.
Movements in the final action dates and the redistribution of otherwise unused visa numbers have traditionally been influenced by the demand for visa numbers in the various categories relative to the annual visa limits.
During the COVID-19 global pandemic, the lack of government capacity to process applications is proving to be a significant factor in how visa numbers can be allocated in an effort to maximize fiscal year number usage consistent with the INA.
Charlie must now take into account the agencies’ capacity to process applications, in addition to supply and demand, in determining final action date movements.
Lack of significant EB-1 Worldwide demand, and the existence of a significant amount of pre-adjudicated demand in EB-1 India makes it possible for more rapid advancement for EB-1 India.
In contrast, before the COVID-19 pandemic, Charlie warned of high levels of EB-2 Worldwide demand, which he expected would result in the imposition of a final action date in that category in the summer.
Although that is no longer likely, the existence of significant worldwide demand may make it far less likely that the pre-adjudicated demand in EB-2 India can be acted upon.
Where possible, Charlie is doing his best to work with pre-adjudicated demand to facilitate number usage and is heartened by USCIS’s efforts to approve employment-based adjustment of status applications.
Nevertheless, he thinks it is unlikely that the employment-based limit will be reached in FY2020. He noted that he will have a better sense of whether the limit will be reached after he analyzes the June 2020 data.
Employment-based Preference Categories
EB-1 Worldwide which became current in May 2020 remains current in June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise unused numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is expected to remain current through the end of FY2020.
EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current in June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise unused numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is expected to remain current through the end of FY2020.
In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016.
EB-2 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) remains current in June, with EB-2 China again advancing at the pace of one month from October 1, 2015, to November 1, 2015. EB-2 India advances 10 days in June from June 2, 2009, to June 12, 2009.
好吧，最后两段只是下个月的排期，所以略过 【 在 anbinger () 的大作中提到: 】 : 补充eb内容 : Employment-based Preference Categories : EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico : Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current : in June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise : unused numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is : expected to remain current through the end of FY2020. : In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from : July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap : of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016. : ...................
有用的信息越来越少，一会儿说人手不足，一会儿说印度会快速前进 【 在 rgx (Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】 : 这次首发在WG的内网，没有链接提供，基本上是重复上个月的内容 : General Observations: : As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks : access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide : projections beyond what is included herein. : As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in : April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices. : Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that : employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current : situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus : ...................
【 在 anbinger () 的大作中提到: 】 : 补充eb内容 : Employment-based Preference Categories : EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico : Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current in : June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise unused : numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is expected : to remain current through the end of FY2020. : In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from : July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap : of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016. : ...................
【 在 rgx (Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】 : 这次首发在WG的内网，没有链接提供，基本上是重复上个月的内容 : General Observations: : As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks : access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide projections : beyond what is included herein. : As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in : April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices. : Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that : employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current : situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus : ...................
这次首发在WG的内网，没有链接提供，基本上是重复上个月的内容
General Observations:
As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks
access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide projections beyond what is included herein.
As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in
April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices.
Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that
employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current
situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus
far in May.
Movements in the final action dates and the redistribution of otherwise
unused visa numbers have traditionally been influenced by the demand for
visa numbers in the various categories relative to the annual visa limits.
During the COVID-19 global pandemic, the lack of government capacity to
process applications is proving to be a significant factor in how visa
numbers can be allocated in an effort to maximize fiscal year number usage
consistent with the INA.
Charlie must now take into account the agencies’ capacity to process
applications, in addition to supply and demand, in determining final action date movements.
Lack of significant EB-1 Worldwide demand, and the existence of a
significant amount of pre-adjudicated demand in EB-1 India makes it possible for more rapid advancement for EB-1 India.
In contrast, before the COVID-19 pandemic, Charlie warned of high levels of EB-2 Worldwide demand, which he expected would result in the imposition of a final action date in that category in the summer.
Although that is no longer likely, the existence of significant worldwide
demand may make it far less likely that the pre-adjudicated demand in EB-2
India can be acted upon.
Where possible, Charlie is doing his best to work with pre-adjudicated
demand to facilitate number usage and is heartened by USCIS’s efforts to
approve employment-based adjustment of status applications.
Nevertheless, he thinks it is unlikely that the employment-based limit will be reached in FY2020. He noted that he will have a better sense of whether
the limit will be reached after he analyzes the June 2020 data.
Employment-based Preference Categories
EB-1 Worldwide which became current in May 2020 remains current in
June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise unused
numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is expected
to remain current through the end of FY2020.
现在都不提中国EB1了。。。中国EB1在印度EB1赶上来之前 是不是没机会吃到任何SO了~~~
当然不是
【 在 FX8 (FX-UM) 的大作中提到: 】
: 现在都不提中国EB1了。。。中国EB1在印度EB1赶上来之前 是不是没机会吃到任何SO了
: ~~~
就这些？有说eb23吗？thx
这就是全部的内容
【 在 johann99 (johann99) 的大作中提到: 】
: 就这些？有说eb23吗？thx
补充eb内容
Employment-based Preference Categories
EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico
Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current in June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise unused numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is expected to remain current through the end of FY2020.
In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from
July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap
of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016.
EB-2 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico
Philippines and Vietnam) remains current in June, with EB-2 China again
advancing at the pace of one month from October 1, 2015, to November 1, 2015. EB-2 India advances 10 days in June from June 2, 2009, to June 12, 2009.
【 在 rgx(Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这就是全部的内容
好吧，最后两段只是下个月的排期，所以略过
【 在 anbinger () 的大作中提到: 】
: 补充eb内容
: Employment-based Preference Categories
: EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico
: Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current : in June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise
: unused numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is
: expected to remain current through the end of FY2020.
: In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from
: July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap
: of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016.
: ...................
有用的信息越来越少，一会儿说人手不足，一会儿说印度会快速前进
【 在 rgx (Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这次首发在WG的内网，没有链接提供，基本上是重复上个月的内容
: General Observations:
: As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks
: access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide
: projections beyond what is included herein.
: As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in
: April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices.
: Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that
: employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current
: situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus : ...................
我觉得哈，这就是试用版的S386，多出来的名额怎么分？印度拿大头=前进十个月，中
国拿小头或者几乎不拿=前进一个月。
【 在 anbinger () 的大作中提到: 】
: 补充eb内容
: Employment-based Preference Categories
: EB-1 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico
: Philippines and Vietnam) which became current in May 2020 remains current in
: June. Given the lack of EB-1 demand and the likelihood of otherwise
unused
: numbers becoming available from the EB-5 category, this category is
expected
: to remain current through the end of FY2020.
: In June the final action date for EB-1 China will advance one month from
: July 15, 2017, to August 15, 2017. EB-1 India will take a significant leap
: of over ten months from August 1, 2015, to June 8, 2016.
: ...................
财年最后三个月有没有可能把2017年的都消化掉
基本差不多 还多了一些CP消化不了的名额 和EB2/3 ROW的名额 （他们交表时间短 可
能来不及出了）
问题就是可能会浪费一些名额 不知道浪费的和多出来的能哪个多
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我觉得哈，这就是试用版的S386，多出来的名额怎么分？印度拿大头=前进十个月，中
: 国拿小头或者几乎不拿=前进一个月。
今年肯定浪费，就像奥本说的。看来烙印前进十月+免面试都堵不上窟窿。。。
【 在 mitwc (mitwc) 的大作中提到: 】
: 基本差不多 还多了一些CP消化不了的名额 和EB2/3 ROW的名额 （他们交表时间短 可
: 能来不及出了）
: 问题就是可能会浪费一些名额 不知道浪费的和多出来的能哪个多
你想多了，去年都分析名额被浪费了，结果发够了的，去年还是7月份才开始大进而已
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 今年肯定浪费，就像奥本说的。看来烙印前进十月+免面试都堵不上窟窿。。。
去年奥本自己没说，预计会浪费名额吧。。。
正常情况下，奥本几乎不可能主动说名额要浪费，那不是自己打脸嘛。。。但是今年哪能和去年比啊？
而且，去年我就一直说，不要揣测名额浪费没浪费，等数据就是了。等数据出来咱们再打口水仗还来得及。。。
【 在 cqwood (遥远海边) 的大作中提到: 】
: 你想多了，去年都分析名额被浪费了，结果发够了的，去年还是7月份才开始大进而已
如果row流過來的SO很多，那麼浪費一些也問題不大。。
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 今年肯定浪费，就像奥本说的。看来烙印前进十月+免面试都堵不上窟窿。。。
为啥宁可浪费都不给我们多发点？
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 今年肯定浪费，就像奥本说的。看来烙印前进十月+免面试都堵不上窟窿。。。
这种问题。。。除非和奥本打官司，不然没处说理去。毕竟法律规定了个发卡上限，没规定发卡下限。而且，多出来的怎么分，是全给印度x还是中印按某种比例，1:1，1:5
，1:10也好，这都不是有明文条款的，还不是看老爷们的心情和喜好
【 在 vampiremm (vampiremm) 的大作中提到: 】
: 为啥宁可浪费都不给我们多发点？
按照法律 印度是MRC 应该全都给印度 所以老头只要分给中国一丁点也得感谢了
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这种问题。。。除非和奥本打官司，不然没处说理去。毕竟法律规定了个发卡上限，没
: 规定发卡下限。而且，多出来的怎么分，是全给印度x还是中印按某种比例，1:1，1:: 5，1:10也好，这都不是有明文条款的，还不是看老爷们的心情和喜好
无此法律规定
【 在 snow119 (snow119c) 的大作中提到: 】
: 按照法律 印度是MRC 应该全都给印度 所以老头只要分给中国一丁点也得感谢了
感觉现在各种多余的名额，有ROW和FB的多余的都才一个月只进一个月，以后日子要怎
么过啊……而且下个月印度再来10个多月都快追平我们了。
【 在 wandererus (小小) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这种问题。。。除非和奥本打官司，不然没处说理去。毕竟法律规定了个发卡上限，没
: 规定发卡下限。而且，多出来的怎么分，是全给印度x还是中印按某种比例，1:1，1:
5
: ，1:10也好，这都不是有明文条款的，还不是看老爷们的心情和喜好
淡定 中国三类都前进了1个月 几乎说明我们是在吃cp名额 而且他们没什么数据
他在checkin里也说了 没有access
吃so大头是老印 一年eb1中国有个5000多就和前几年差不多了
他们都wfh 批卡人手也不够 大概率今年8月前至少不会倒退 如果你pd是18年10月 那
有的等了 在你前面10k
【 在 vampiremm(vampiremm) 的大作中提到: 】
: 感觉现在各种多余的名额，有ROW和FB的多余的都才一个月只进一个月，以后日子要怎
: 么过啊……而且下个月印度再来10个多月都快追平我们了。
注: Lets not relitigate S386....
- 版副rgx
-----
所以我才说，这是个很好的mock S386试验。
之前大家都觉得EB1 和EB2/3在S386问题上利益冲突，所以吵得翻天。现在这个实验可
以连续做到至少9月底吧。有三个月的数据，以后大家看了数据，可以再思考思考，到
底这个蛋糕是不是按照我们之前想象的办法分的，EB1 和2/3是不是真的利益冲突。这
个结论估计得到年底才能看到。
【 在 vampiremm (vampiremm) 的大作中提到: 】
: 感觉现在各种多余的名额，有ROW和FB的多余的都才一个月只进一个月，以后日子要怎
: 么过啊……而且下个月印度再来10个多月都快追平我们了。
现在没绿卡日子不是照过，天天心情抑郁能解决什么问题
FB的名额明年才会分配给EB
【 在 vampiremm (vampiremm) 的大作中提到: 】
: 感觉现在各种多余的名额，有ROW和FB的多余的都才一个月只进一个月，以后日子要怎
: 么过啊……而且下个月印度再来10个多月都快追平我们了。
已站内信回复，如未来对版务有建议，可向我直接发信:-)
- rgx
板斧，我觉得我说的mock S386，大概是没有说错吧。而且并没有讨论S386好与坏，只
是说我们可以拭目以待，等看到数据以后再relitigate，这也不行讲的话，我感觉很不公道哈
【 在 rgx (Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这次首发在WG的内网，没有链接提供，基本上是重复上个月的内容
: General Observations:
: As noted last month, while Charlie is required to work from home and lacks
: access to certain government databases, he is unable to provide
projections
: beyond what is included herein.
: As might be expected, immigrant visa (IV) usage was lower than normal in
: April 2020 due to the closure of U.S. consulates and USCIS offices.
: Notwithstanding these closures, Charlie was pleased to see that
: employment-based number usage was respectable in April given the current
: situation, and that there has already been decent sized number usage thus : ...................
一年5000也就是supply和demand 持平，那样一个月进一个月也算fair。这EO卡住的名
额外加吃SO都没有大跃进的话，等放开了之后要卡住好久才能继续前进……就看pd是门里还是门外了。
【 在 ubuntus () 的大作中提到: 】
: 淡定 中国三类都前进了1个月 几乎说明我们是在吃cp名额 而且他们没什么数据
: 他在checkin里也说了 没有access
: 吃so大头是老印 一年eb1中国有个5000多就和前几年差不多了
: 他们都wfh 批卡人手也不够 大概率今年8月前至少不会倒退 如果你pd是18年10月 那
: 有的等了 在你前面10k
烙印前进10个月也没有井喷式发卡 最后瓶颈还是处理速度
https://www.trackitt.com/usa-immigration-trackers 了解一下
【 在 vampiremm (vampiremm) 的大作中提到: 】
: 一年5000也就是supply和demand 持平，那样一个月进一个月也算fair。这EO卡住的名
: 额外加吃SO都没有大跃进的话，等放开了之后要卡住好久才能继续前进……就看pd是门
: 里还是门外了。
就算没井喷式发卡。但是能进门可是很多人的愿望。拿了combo卡，基本就是拿了临时
绿卡了，正常时期，出入境无阻，上班随意，那基本就是有了绿卡的所有功能了。
【 在 ubuntus () 的大作中提到: 】
: 烙印前进10个月也没有井喷式发卡 最后瓶颈还是处理速度
: https://www.trackitt.com/usa-immigration-trackers 了解一下