Charlie Oppenheim check-in (2020-02-19)

r
rgx
楼主 (未名空间)
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/

Not much new information on EB1....

——-
Charlie anticipates that USCIS could revert resources that were previously
allocated to EB-3 processing to EB-2 and/or EB-1 processing, generating
additional demand in those latter categories. Charlie will watch movements
in these categories closely and will likely refrain from posting updated
projections until either the May 2020 or June 2020 Visa Bulletin.

EB-1:

In March EB-1 Worldwide advances three months to March 1, 2019. It remains
possible that this category could become current in the summer of 2020. If
demand levels remain steady, there may be sizeable advancement in April in
EB-1 Worldwide. However, it is also possible that this category could
advance less quickly if USCIS shifts resources previously used to adjudicate EB-3 cases to EB-1 processing, thus increasing the demand.

After holding steady, the final action dates for EB-1 China and EB-1 India
start to advance again in March, with EB-1 China advancing one week to June 1, 2017 and EB-1 India advancing two months to March 1, 2015.

———-
Question: It seems certain that the Adjustment of Status (AOS) processing
time will slow down with the implementation of the public charge rule. To
what degree was this taken into consideration with the Visa Bulletin? Or was that information too new to be factored into the March Visa Bulletin?

Answer: It is too early to determine if there will be any impact. It is
important to remember that the determination of the dates is made in an
attempt to make all numbers available for potential use under the respective annual limits.

D
DanielChai

关于eb1 row最后那一段。是否可以理解为
原先用于处理eb3的resource(人员?)用来处理eb1的140 approval或者485面试,这
样会带来row 绿卡需求上升?

【 在 rgx (Somnus) 的大作中提到: 】
: https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
: Not much new information on EB1....
: ——-
: Charlie anticipates that USCIS could revert resources that were previously
: allocated to EB-3 processing to EB-2 and/or EB-1 processing, generating
: additional demand in those latter categories. Charlie will watch movements
: in these categories closely and will likely refrain from posting updated
: projections until either the May 2020 or June 2020 Visa Bulletin.
: EB-1:
: In March EB-1 Worldwide advances three months to March 1, 2019. It remains
: ...................

g
gaoyike

eb3 row退回史前了...估计没number了吧....

我理解是处理速度会加快, 而且应该是先处理row的eb1, 这样让row能快速current. 但是row这个排期, 为啥会current,我不知道....

【 在 DanielChai (Daniel) 的大作中提到: 】
: 关于eb1 row最后那一段。是否可以理解为
: 原先用于处理eb3的resource(人员?)用来处理eb1的140 approval或者485面试,这
: 样会带来row 绿卡需求上升?

a
absFFT

因为提交了140以后不可能马上就会转换成485的发卡需求,如果140不PP的话,从提交
140申请开始到140批准,然后递交485完成背景审查和面试,这中间的时间至少也需要一
年。所以2020财年只能去处理PD在2019年10月之前的需求,EB1 Row已经前进到2019/03,按照这个前进速度,这个财年马上就能处理完移民局积攒的EB1 Row的全部库存。这样
看下来,EB1 Row应该会在2~3个月后变current。

【 在 gaoyike (gaoyike) 的大作中提到: 】
: eb3 row退回史前了...估计没number了吧....
: 我理解是处理速度会加快, 而且应该是先处理row的eb1, 这样让row能快速current. 但
: 是row这个排期, 为啥会current,我不知道....

p
prophecy

不知道pubic charge对已经面试在等发卡的有没有影响,会不会需要第二次面试?
e
ebQs

不会,新交的才问,以前的不管

【 在 prophecy(prophecy) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不知道pubic charge对已经面试在等发卡的有没有影响,会不会需要第二次面试?
p
prophecy

thanks!

【 在 ebQs (lalala) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不会,新交的才问,以前的不管

g
gaoyike

可是这段时间内, eb1 row一直在排期啊, 也就是这段时间也有人没有批,而且03/19 到现在的 03/20 有一年之久, 我感觉奥本又是在大放厥词, 今年真的能c?

【 在 absFFT () 的大作中提到: 】
: 因为提交了140以后不可能马上就会转换成485的发卡需求,如果140不PP的话,从提交
: 140申请开始到140批准,然后递交485完成背景审查和面试,这中间的时间至少也需
: 要一年。所以2020财年只能去处理PD在2019年10月之前的需求,EB1 Row已经前进到
: 2019/03,按照这个前进速度,这个财年马上就能处理完移民局积攒的EB1 Row的全
: 部库存。
: 这样看下来,EB1 Row应该会在2~3个月后变current。