来个2019财年绿卡被浪费近7000张的石锤

C
CSDN
楼主 (未名空间)

先交代一下文件来源:
USCIS得数据来自于官方数据:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/
Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%
20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q4.pdf

2019财年USCIS共批准employment-based类别绿卡104849张。

DOS得数据也同样来自官方:https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/
visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-
issuances.html

因为年度的数据DOS一直不愿意公布,我将他们19财年每月的数据(PDF)转换成Excel
后做的统计。每个类别(E1,E2...E5)对应的classification也是官方的解释:https://fam.state.gov/FAM/09FAM/09FAM050201.html

Excel的文档我传到了Google drive上,欢迎大家下载验证:https://drive.google.
com/open?id=1oCWhMwiMEURsq9biIQFTPnsc5l30Sue5

通过以上数据得出,DOS在19财年一共批准了28492张employment-based绿卡。见附件[
2019_visa.png]

所以19财年一共批准了:104849+28492= 133341张绿卡。19财年14万的
employment-based的绿卡名额被浪费了6659张,而且是在严重backlog的情况下。

希望大家确认一下我的计算有没有错误。组织告奥布的时候通知我一声。

v
vapour

赞lz,准备好好看看

D
DanielChai

感谢楼主!这个工作量很大!

少发7000张,这个绝对是uscis和奥本共同有意无意失误造成的。

uscis和奥本明知去年fb eb都少发,今年依然变本加厉。需要行动找律师起诉了

找议员的各位,请把这个信息带上:去年在职业移民绿卡需求严重不足的情况下,
uscis和dos少发了7000张eb绿卡,这是很严重的失误甚至错误。今年必须要求他们补上

懂的人来说一下,fb和eb都少发,来年按规矩应该补发给谁?fb还是eb?

【 在 CSDN (隔壁赵大爷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 先交代一下文件来源:
: USCIS得数据来自于官方数据:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/
: Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%
: 20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q4.pdf
: 2019财年USCIS共批准employment-based类别绿卡104849张。
: DOS得数据也同样来自官方:https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/: visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-
: issuances.html
: 因为年度的数据DOS一直不愿意公布,我将他们19财年每月的数据(PDF)转换成
Excel
: 后做的统计。每个类别(E1,E2...E5)对应的classification也是官方的解释:
https:
: ...................

f
fengting9

赞lz
n
nightelfssw

看了下,这个工作量的确很大, 感谢楼主。
有没有人组织下,看怎么弄,否则不清不楚的,很多家庭受到影响。
c
chali1234

是2019year to date的数据,小字写了只到8月份的。还有1个月的没有统计。

Source: All Forms Except I-589 and I-881 - Department of Homeland Security, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, Performance Reporting Tool (PRT), USCIS Electronic Immigration System (ELIS) and C3 Consolidated, August 2019

【 在 CSDN (隔壁赵大爷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 先交代一下文件来源:
: USCIS得数据来自于官方数据:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/
: Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%
: 20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q4.pdf
: 2019财年USCIS共批准employment-based类别绿卡104849张。
: DOS得数据也同样来自官方:https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/: visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-
: issuances.html
: 因为年度的数据DOS一直不愿意公布,我将他们19财年每月的数据(PDF)转换成
Excel
: 后做的统计。每个类别(E1,E2...E5)对应的classification也是官方的解释:
https:
: ...................

c
chenxin913

首先赞一下楼主耐心汇总DOS的月度数据,不过USCIS的数据应该有一个caveat,那个表的小字写着数据只统计到8月,9月份的没计算在内....

再耐心等等DOS的annual report吧

C
CSDN

我觉得那句话不是表只统计到8月份的意思。另外USCIS自己都说是FY2019的统计数据,没必要把一个没统计完的数据先放出来。https://www.uscis.gov/news/alerts/uscis-final-fy-2019-statistics-available

Anyway,看dos最终的统计数字怎么样。

【 在 chali1234 (查理) 的大作中提到: 】
: 是2019year to date的数据,小字写了只到8月份的。还有1个月的没有统计。
: Source: All Forms Except I-589 and I-881 - Department of Homeland Security,
: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, Performance Reporting Tool (PRT),
: USCIS Electronic Immigration System (ELIS) and C3 Consolidated, August
2019
: Excel
: https:

z
zuzong

赞!赞!赞!

需要捐款 请律师 请支一声
n
nekosama

这个文件在网页上的描述是什么?差一个月的话,差7000也合理
你是怎么找到这个PDF的?领向PDF的网页是啥?

【 在 CSDN (隔壁赵大爷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我觉得那句话不是表只统计到8月份的意思。另外USCIS自己都说是FY2019的统计数据,
: 没必要把一个没统计完的数据先放出来。https://www.uscis.gov/news/alerts/
uscis-
: final-fy-2019-statistics-available
: Anyway,看dos最终的统计数字怎么样。
: ,
: ),
: 2019

a
atiger

这个注释和Q3 Report写的完全一样,应该是USCIS工作人员更新数据的时候忘改了。
根据前年Q4的报告标注是截至到2018年11月,可以推断2019的Q4报告也应该是11月的数据。
http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q3.pdf
http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY18Q4.pdf

换句话说,上一财年EB确实没发满,而且FB也没发够,所以今年给EB的总名额不是
140000,而是增加到156500。

【 在 chali1234 (查理) 的大作中提到: 】
: 是2019year to date的数据,小字写了只到8月份的。还有1个月的没有统计。
: Source: All Forms Except I-589 and I-881 - Department of Homeland Security,
: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, Performance Reporting Tool (PRT),
: USCIS Electronic Immigration System (ELIS) and C3 Consolidated, August
2019
: Excel
: https:

a
atiger

赞数据整理!

不过奥本不要去法院告(又慢又没效果),而是要找参众两院议员反映问题,让议员质询DOS和USCIS少发绿卡的原因。等DOS的2019年报出来了,拿到各个分类的数据,更有
说服力。

【 在 CSDN (隔壁赵大爷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 先交代一下文件来源:
: USCIS得数据来自于官方数据:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/
: Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%
: 20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q4.pdf
: 2019财年USCIS共批准employment-based类别绿卡104849张。
: DOS得数据也同样来自官方:https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/: visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-
: issuances.html
: 因为年度的数据DOS一直不愿意公布,我将他们19财年每月的数据(PDF)转换成
Excel
: 后做的统计。每个类别(E1,E2...E5)对应的classification也是官方的解释:
https:
: ...................

r
rossbu

奧本被烏克蘭起訴調查,兩任總統,這個時候再加一把火。。。哦耶
a
acdcgreenday

能否先质问奥本一下
在找议员反应

画圈圈诅咒版上川粉,不得好死

【 在 CSDN (隔壁赵大爷) 的大作中提到: 】
: 先交代一下文件来源:
: USCIS得数据来自于官方数据:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/
: Resources/Reports and Studies/Immigration Forms Data/All Form%
: 20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q4.pdf
: 2019财年USCIS共批准employment-based类别绿卡104849张。
: DOS得数据也同样来自官方:https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/: visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-
: issuances.html
: 因为年度的数据DOS一直不愿意公布,我将他们19财年每月的数据(PDF)转换成
Excel
: 后做的统计。每个类别(E1,E2...E5)对应的classification也是官方的解释:
https:
: ...................

n
nekosama

如果真的少了7000,拿真的是太可恶了。
就算中国人数没少发,在ROW排期的情况下,ROW少发也就是SO少发,也就是中印少发
h
hmjsa

ding
S
Satine

赞楼主
牛人啊
H
HotBoy27

赞楼主,大家赶紧给议员写信打电话吧!
D
DanielChai

不过目前发卡的状况完全不是这样
cp数量比去年降了40%,版上报绿比去年降了60%

【 在 atiger (昼伏夜出的老虎) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这个注释和Q3 Report写的完全一样,应该是USCIS工作人员更新数据的时候忘改了。: 根据前年Q4的报告标注是截至到2018年11月,可以推断2019的Q4报告也应该是11月的数
: 据。
: http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY19Q3.pdf
: http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/All%20Form%20Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY18Q4.pdf
: 换句话说,上一财年EB确实没发满,而且FB也没发够,所以今年给EB的总名额不是
: 140000,而是增加到156500。
: ,
: ),
: 2019

c
cqwood

现在的排期绝对不正常,eb1排期最少也该前进一个月的
【 在 DanielChai (Daniel) 的大作中提到: 】
: 不过目前发卡的状况完全不是这样
: cp数量比去年降了40%,版上报绿比去年降了60%

M
MITMARS

以下内容转自TRACKITT:

Seems like there might have been deliberate delay/waste of EB based visas in 2019. Here are some facts sourced from USCIS reports

A)
Number of EB based approvals by USCIS for i-485 at service centers: 105,059
Quarter 1: 33,181
Quarter 2: 27,539
Quarter 3: 30,630
Quarter 4: 13,709

B) Consular Processing of EB averages ~17.5% (average of 4 years of CP cases) of the numerical limit of EB visa.
Total ~CP processed EB cases: 25k

C) Numerical limit of EB for FY 2019 : 141,918

Observation/Conclusion
Estimated possible waste: 141,918 - (105,059 + 25k) = ~12,000

Unless someone can shed more light, I am of the position that pace is being deliberately retarded. In fact, I remember last year DHS tried to move PD
ahead in FAD as anticipated CP visa numbers were not consumed at Consulate
offices! Wow! In that case, the delta could be even wider. Another glaring
number is the number of i-485 approved in Q4-2019 - less than half of
running average. Hard to understand this when demand has been excessive in
almost all categories.

Something definitely is cooking. Tightening corporate America's resources
and hoping for reforms? Lobbyist mindset? MAGA, or MCGA - Make Canada Great Again?

Source:

A:
Quarter 1:https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%
20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/Adjustment%20of%20Status/I485_
performancedata_fy2019_qtr1.pdf

Quarter 2: https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/Adjustment%20of%20Status/I485_
performancedata_fy2019_qtr2.pdf

Quarter 3: https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/Adjustment%20of%20Status/I485_
performancedata_fy2019_qtr3.pdf

Quarter 4: https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports%20and%20Studies/Immigration%20Forms%20Data/Adjustment%20of%20Status/I485_
performancedata_fy2019_qtr4.pdf

B: https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/
FY2019AnnualReport/FY19AnnualReport-TableI.pdf

C: https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-bulletin/2019/visa-bulletin-for-september-2019.html
a
acdcgreenday

画圈圈诅咒版上川粉,早死早托生

【 在 MITMARS (MITMARS) 的大作中提到: 】
: 以下内容转自TRACKITT:
: Seems like there might have been deliberate delay/waste of EB based visas in
: 2019. Here are some facts sourced from USCIS reports
: A)
: Number of EB based approvals by USCIS for i-485 at service centers: 105,
059
: Quarter 1: 33,181
: Quarter 2: 27,539
: Quarter 3: 30,630
: Quarter 4: 13,709
: B) Consular Processing of EB averages ~17.5% (average of 4 years of CP
cases
: ...................

l
ldqr

画圈圈诅咒版上川粉,早死早托生
s
seekydj

如果证据充分就去约见参议员!

s
seekydj

如果证据充分就去约见参议员!

C
CSDN

DOS更新他们的数据了:
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/
FY2019AnnualReport/FY19AnnualReport-TableII.pdf

DOS计算说他们发了28538张EB类绿卡,与我的计算的28492张多出来46张。
M
MITMARS

牛。数据分析的很到位了
z
zkfairytale

这个具体要怎么告?有人组织找律师吗?有律师肯接吗?
g
greenfish2

虽然说法律没有规定名额不能浪费(是的吧?)。但浪费这么多还是可以通过参议员啥的给uscis压力吧?