引用 @油价刚需 发表的: Coronavirus: Millions of Britons will need to contract COVID-19 for 'herd immunity' Sir Patrick Vallance tells Sky News about 60% of people will need to become infected in order for the UK to enjoy "herd immunity". Greg Heffer, political reporter Greg Heffer Political reporter @GregHeffer
Friday 13 March 2020 11:26, UK COVID-19CORONAVIRUS WOLVERHAMPTON, ENGLAND - MARCH 12: A member of the public is swabbed at a drive through Coronavirus testing site set up in a car park on March 12, 2020 in Wolverhampton, England. The National Health Service facility has been set up in a car park to allow people with NHS referrals to be swabbed for Covid-19. (Photo by Christopher Furlong/Getty Images) Image: A member of the public is swabbed at a drive through testing site
Why you can trust Sky News Millions of Britons will need to contract coronavirus in order to control the impact of the disease which is likely to return "year on year", the government's chief scientific adviser has told Sky News.
Around 60% of the UK population will need to become infected with coronavirus in order for society to have "herd immunity" from future outbreaks, Sir Patrick Vallance said.
Herd immunity is the resistance to a contagious disease within a population because enough people have become immune, and so it is harder for it to spread.
There is currently no vaccine available for coronavirus.
So far, 10 people in the UK who have had COVID-19 - the disease which develops from coronavirus - have died.
Patrick Vallance still Image: Sir Patrick says most of population need to get coronavirus to achieve herd immunity The number of confirmed cases in the UK reached 590 on Thursday - up by 134 in 24 hours, although Sir Patrick believes the actual number of people infected in the UK at the moment could be between 5,000 and 10,000.
Sir Patrick described COVID-19 as a "nasty disease" but stressed most people would only experience a "mild" illness.
More from Covid-19 Coronavirus: Donald Trump says 'large scale' testing will take place in US Coronavirus: Italian town turns chapel into mortuary chamber as it struggles to cope with deaths Coronavirus: The latest NHS advice on COVID-19 symptoms Coronavirus: Mount Everest shut ahead of climbing season Coronavirus: FTSE stages rally after day of global market carnage Coronavirus: Europe suffers a crisis of health and unity as outbreak takes hold He described how a majority of the UK's population of more than 65 million would need to be infected with coronavirus for the risk of widespread future outbreaks to recede.
"We think this virus is likely to be one that comes year on year, becomes like a seasonal virus," he told Sky News.
"Communities will become immune to it and that's going to be an important part of controlling this longer term.
"About 60% is the sort of figure you need to get herd immunity."
What are the four stages of government's plan? What are the four stages of government's plan? Despite suggestions the death rate from coronavirus could be around 1% of those infected, Sir Patrick said estimating how many might die was "difficult" because there may be many more people that haven't been detected yet.
"That's why some of the new tests that are being developed now are going to be so important, so we can really understand how this disease is spreading and we don't have a handle on that yet," he added.
Sky’s Thomas Moore explains how countries around the world are preparing to contain COVID-19
How to contain a global pandemic The World Health Organisation has declared a global pandemic following the spread of coronavirus across many countries.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Thursday confirmed the government is entering the second phase of its response to COVID-19 - moving from trying to contain the virus to delaying its spread.
Anyone with a new persistent cough or a high temperature will now have to self-isolate and stay at home for seven days, while schools have been urged to cancel planned trips abroad.
Sir Patrick is helping to oversee the government's response to coronavirus and defended the UK's strategy in dealing with the disease.
Prime minister Boris Johnson has called the coronavirus pandemic 'the worst public health crisis in a generation'.
PM: Those with symptoms should isolate for seven days Ministers are facing growing questions about why the UK isn't acting in a similar way to other European countries, such as France and Italy, who have taken measures ranging from banning large gatherings to quarantining the entire population.
Sir Patrick said the UK is "a little bit behind" where the coronavirus outbreak is in other countries due to early action in tracing and isolating those who are infected.
"What we don't want to do is to get into kneejerk reactions where you have to start doing measures at the wrong pace because something's happened," he added.
"So we're trying to keep ahead of it, we're trying to lay out the path so people can see what the actions are that are being advised."
Listen to "COVID-19 pandemic: UK officially enters 'delay' phase | 12 March 2020" on Spreaker. :: Listen to the Daily podcast with Dermot Murnaghan on Apple Podcasts, Google Podcasts, Spotify, Spreaker.
Sir Patrick also described Thursday's action taken by Mr Johnson as "a very big measure", adding: "It's going to have quite a big impact across a number of people, a number of households, a number of people.
"I don't think that's a trivial measure at all."
Banning mass gatherings and isolating entire households are the next steps being considered by the government, Sir Patrick revealed.
But, he argued, most of the transmission of coronavirus occurs in small gatherings rather than larger gatherings.
其实SKY NEWS 也有点标题党的味道 看看原文就知道并不是这个意思 "We think this virus is likely to be one that comes year on year, becomes like a seasonal virus," he told Sky News.
"Communities will become immune to it and that's going to be an important part of controlling this longer term.
"About 60% is the sort of figure you need to get herd immunity." 人家只是给出一个估算：60%这大概是个是能够获得群体免疫的数字。。。。
那我们如果疫苗成功了不就完事了，
所以西方洗脑才可怕啊
你的祖国说不得了还怎么的？
哈哈，可以
你要知道，在他们国家得这病会死的的都是老弱病残和没有医保的穷人，老弱病残死了减少国家养老压力，没有医保的穷人算人？
所以膈应就膈应在这里，太自私了，放开传染，把花费了巨大周折的中国再拖下水
报道角度的问题，国内媒体当然要突出国外水深火热，帮忙收获民心。
国内专家们的说法，控制不力的话会长期共存，那个张医生说夏天不能彻底消灭冬天可能重来。
两边提出的最坏情况都差不多，只是我们话术比老外委婉些。
变种格林公式？🐶
闯王出现
何止网络瘫痪，大概率社会要崩盘。
我擦，那岂不是中国控制好以后还有可能要再面对病毒啊
我就没见过你这么大胆的头像
换国籍了吗？快跑吧，中国是你的地狱，何必还呆在这呢，快去追寻你的人权自由吧，现在正是你去支援发达国家的大好时机
也不能这么说，比如美国的媒体就经常在某些时候统一口径🐶
也就是没说故意这个词，基本就是这个意思了
可别啊，利物浦的辉煌刚开始呢，希望都能度过难过
这基数一大，那死的人可也就海里去了。。。
中国要是这样做，即便我国老百姓接受这种做法，欧美也照样拿我们人权说事
大国雅量星期五
那你是什么？独立思考客观冷静吗？
希望国家早日研发出疫苗吧
我寻思那个有报纸标题的那张图是泰晤士报吧，而且无论泰晤士报还是每日邮报，他们的公信力还是足够的吧，话也切实是首相和大臣说的
他发的链接又不是凤凰网的啊
其中有一段说这个帕特里克.华莱士爵士说这个病毒会演变成季节性的病毒，每年都会卷土重来。应该是基于这个判断才会说人民需要接触这个病毒获得群体免疫，而不是说要故意让民众接触病毒。我怎么觉得不列颠还是认为这种新冠病毒是季节性流感……
目瞪口呆……明明是适者生存，生死由天，老子对疫情撒手不管了，还能被说成让多数英国人获得“群体免疫力”，不得不说，英语也挺博大精深的……这和他们西方人口中批判地“苏联故意饿死人”有什么区别？
没毛病，适者生存
不能投选票的人没有人权🐶
外国人少不是没有道理的。
欧洲人拿欧洲生命为代价，为全球制作病毒抗体，这份精神我们给予鼓励，正好国内小白鼠快用完了。
到底是我疯了还是这两个国家疯了？完全不能理解
那个 你能不能删了删我发
哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈
我朋友在英国留学 情况确实如这篇文章所说
疯起来连自己人都让故意得病呢，更何况造谣了🐶
他不回你了
在这里，被约谈不一定代表是坏事
那是，输入型会增多，我们又不是朝鲜。呆在猪圈就是麻烦，放眼望去都是拖后腿的，意大利还在自救，日耳曼已经投降，只能等疫苗或特效药了。
本就老龄化少子化严重，这是举白旗移民吗
啱
只能说有这个风险，但是他们那思维目前来说更不靠谱，他们的意思是只看重病，轻症不看，范围大了医疗依然不会，另外也不怕这个病毒变异，万一变异了，致死率高了，还群体免疫个啥，难道要死半国人扛过去？？反正中国不现实这个方法
再也不会有新二团英国大队这个番号了
麻烦请问下，SKY NEWS的新闻在哪？我没看到
牛群：你找冯巩吧
英国牛还真的是英国牛🐮
自然淘汰吗，活下来的都是强者🐶
这病毒不是有几率导致男性不育吗，这本来就老龄化严重的国家以后怕是.....
大事面前不同主义的完全不同的处理方法，资本主义真就以资本为先，不停工停产才是主旋律，有钱你可以自己花钱诊断高价治疗，普通人真就物竞天择了。即便疫苗出来了，普通人会给用吗？想想我国这么长时间的停工停产，真是不计经济损失的践行了社会主义的核心价值观。我们虽然还有很长的路要走，但是这件事值得我们骄傲。
要是不救那些伤员，还有人愿意打仗吗
我发的又不是凤凰网的，你回我个这个干嘛？
"We think this virus is likely to be one that comes year on year, becomes like a seasonal virus," he told Sky News.
"Communities will become immune to it and that's going to be an important part of controlling this longer term.
"About 60% is the sort of figure you need to get herd immunity."
人家只是给出一个估算：60%这大概是个是能够获得群体免疫的数字。。。。
这么做英国国内不会离心离德？
民众遇到这种ZF得有多失望
反正外必赢 中必输 只要是贬损外国的看看就行
最后发现你自己是 ③瞎
gzh：凤凰欧洲 微信自己搜 最新的那条新闻就是
确实群体免疫获得了，因为没获得的没产生抗体直接挂了…
搞不好，是故意抛下一些老弱病残，减低一下老龄化压力。。。。
而且我是在天空看到的 跟凤凰网还真没什么关系
这是西风！！！
翻了这么久才只有一条你这样的评论，大部分国人已经没有思辨能力了，真的很悲哀。
但是那么多人的生命呢，西方最看重的人权呢，就以1%的死亡率计算吧，也得消失掉40万人口，不怕人民群众造反吗？
希望你生在英国，病毒战胜你