New YorkCNN — The chief executive of one of the world’s leading artificial intelligence labs is warning that the technology could cause a dramatic spike in unemployment in the very near future. He says policymakers and corporate leaders aren’t ready for it. “AI is starting to get better than humans at almost all intellectual tasks, and we’re going to collectively, as a society, grapple with it,” Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei told CNN’s Anderson Cooper in an interview on Thursday. “AI is going to get better at what everyone does, including what I do, including what other CEOs do.” The full conversation is set to air on CNN at 8 p.m. ET. Amodei believes the AI tools that Anthropic and other companies are racing to build could eliminate half of entry-level, white-collar jobs and spike unemployment to as much as 20% in the next one to five years, he told Axios on Wednesday. That could mean the US unemployment rate growing fivefold in just a few years; the last time it neared that rate was briefly at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic. It’s not the first dire warning about how rapidly advancing AI could upend the economy in the coming years. Academics and economists have also cautioned that AI could replace some jobs or tasks in the coming years, with varying degrees of seriousness. Earlier this year, a World Economic Forum survey showed that 41% of employers plan to downsize their workforce because of AI automation by 2030. Amodei’s message is not just about warning the public. It’s part truth-telling, part reputation management, part market positioning, and part policy influence,” tech futurist and Futuremade CEO Tracey Follows told CNN in an email. “If he makes the claim that this will cause 20% unemployment over the next five years, and no-one stops or impedes the ongoing development of this model … then Anthropic cannot be to blame in the future — they warned people.”
https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/29/tech/ai-anthropic-ceo-dario-amodei-unemployment 码农首当其冲 码农赶紧给自己找后路吧
我看专家首当其冲,ai最适合干的就是写这种指点江山的gp文章
结果就是这一千几百人就是奴隶主,而还剩下的心灵手巧,或者身体有利用价值的人,都是他们的奴隶。其他现有人类,尤其是完成了历史使命的数学家工程师,可能Thiel眼里只配做Biofuel。Curtis Yarvin仁慈点,希望这些人就呆着小房间,脑袋链接着虚拟世界,在那里过完一生。
这个社会能被打破,得靠希望这一千几百人都是繁殖狂,每个人N个后代,N个后代又有N个后代,这些人互相内讧,那么有些人可能还会想着和奴隶统战统战一下
民主国家还有最后的机会,就是劳动人民用选票在政府被彻底颠覆前彻底剥夺这些人的特权。但总有很多傻子穷鬼觉得自己屁股可以和富人坐在一起。
so true
恰恰相反, AI对于专业能力的门槛提高了很多。 越是专业知识, 越难发现AI有胡说八道的地方, 非专家看不出来
AI的最终发展一定是,让人类走向战争和毁灭。
科技被少数人控制,人类的制度将无法对其控制。蒙古铁骑仅仅凭借一点冷兵器优势,就屠戮了大半个地球。AI的威力可是几千万倍的加强。现在他们在以对抗中国为借口,要求解除对AI的限制。这是人类浩劫的第一步。
不需要AI干大部分工作,只要机器的效率在对数场景里比人工更有竞争力就能让工人失业。其实现在制造业的自动化程度已经很高,未来更多岗位会被取缔
另外伴随工业发展,自动化程度提升,资本资源高度集中垄断,普通人能够实际支配的资源(收入/购买力)越来越低。这个是未来AI时代的重要社会矛盾。
自由资本社会市场经济能大幅提升社会运作效率,但是代价就是低效的人力(人口)逐渐边缘化,甚至被社会淘汰。能卷的更卷,卷不动的就只能躺平。两级分化越来越激烈。
现代社会的低生育率也许是人类对这个社会的不满所体现的一种抗争表现。