要看有没有大机构被margin called: What Could Happen Tomorrow Specifically? Assuming a hypothetical 5% overnight drop in futures tonight (April 6): Pre-Market (7-9:30 AM EDT): Brokers issue margin calls as accounts fall below thresholds. Big investors scramble to sell or pledge assets. Opening Bell (9:30 AM EDT): Heavy selling hits, with the S&P 500 potentially dropping another 3-5% as liquidations pile up. High-volume stocks (e.g., Tesla, Amazon) see outsized moves. Midday: If selling abates, bargain hunters might step in, stabilizing prices. If not, the Dow could shed 1,000+ points by noon. Close (4:00 PM EDT): A “bloody day” with 5-10% losses across indices, depending on the scale of leverage and coordination of sales. Mitigating Factors Circuit Breakers: U.S. markets halt trading at 7%, 13%, and 20% drops, giving a breather to reassess. Cash Reserves: Some big investors might have liquidity to meet calls without selling, softening the blow. Fed Response: The Federal Reserve could signal intervention (e.g., rate cuts, liquidity injections) if it smells systemic risk, though not instantly tomorrow. Wild Cards Crypto Link: If margin calls hit crypto-heavy funds (e.g., those leveraged on Bitcoin), a parallel crash there could amplify chaos, given crypto’s 24/7 trading. Short Squeezes: Forced buying to cover short positions could paradoxically spike some stocks, adding confusion. Bottom Line If big investors get margin called tomorrow, expect a sharp, messy sell-off—potentially 5-10% across major indices—followed by heightened volatility. The damage depends on leverage levels, asset concentration, and market sentiment. Worst case, it’s a mini-2008; best case, a one-day blip. No one knows the exact leverage out there today, but with $975 trillion in global derivatives exposure (per BIS estimates), even a small unwinding could sting.
The country is 100% behind the president on fixing a global system of tariffs that has disadvantaged the country. But, business is a confidence game and confidence depends on trust.
President @realDonaldTrump has elevated the tariff issue to the most important geopolitical… — Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) April 6, 2025
平明寻白羽 发表于 2025-04-06 17:34 Bill Ackman在继续喊话暂停关税 因为他知道明天不喊听，股灾要继续
The country is 100% behind the president on fixing a global system of tariffs that has disadvantaged the country. But, business is a confidence game and confidence depends on trust.
President @realDonaldTrump has elevated the tariff issue to the most important geopolitical… — Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) April 6, 2025
收沙特的钱收到手软 Trump Family’s Cash Registers Ring as Financial Meltdown Plays Out The party was on at a Saudi-backed LIV Golf tournament at the president’s Doral resort in Florida and a fund-raiser at Mar-a-Lago, even as markets tumbled.
Why The Deep State Does Not Like The Tariffs: The Overview
The Deep State think CIA, NSA, Pentagon brass, and their corporate puppets like Lockheed and Raytheon hates tariffs because they choke their global trafficking arteries. Free trade’s their lifeblood: no borders, no… pic.twitter.com/9nxPg4xuVb — ȺɾìҽӀ (@Prolotario1) April 6, 2025
冷汗直流
如果继续跌，4800点时补仓；然后每跌400点补一次。
来了个寂寞？
还没开呢，当然没动静。过了6pmET再来看
What Could Happen Tomorrow Specifically? Assuming a hypothetical 5% overnight drop in futures tonight (April 6): Pre-Market (7-9:30 AM EDT): Brokers issue margin calls as accounts fall below thresholds. Big investors scramble to sell or pledge assets. Opening Bell (9:30 AM EDT): Heavy selling hits, with the S&P 500 potentially dropping another 3-5% as liquidations pile up. High-volume stocks (e.g., Tesla, Amazon) see outsized moves. Midday: If selling abates, bargain hunters might step in, stabilizing prices. If not, the Dow could shed 1,000+ points by noon. Close (4:00 PM EDT): A “bloody day” with 5-10% losses across indices, depending on the scale of leverage and coordination of sales. Mitigating Factors Circuit Breakers: U.S. markets halt trading at 7%, 13%, and 20% drops, giving a breather to reassess. Cash Reserves: Some big investors might have liquidity to meet calls without selling, softening the blow. Fed Response: The Federal Reserve could signal intervention (e.g., rate cuts, liquidity injections) if it smells systemic risk, though not instantly tomorrow. Wild Cards Crypto Link: If margin calls hit crypto-heavy funds (e.g., those leveraged on Bitcoin), a parallel crash there could amplify chaos, given crypto’s 24/7 trading. Short Squeezes: Forced buying to cover short positions could paradoxically spike some stocks, adding confusion. Bottom Line If big investors get margin called tomorrow, expect a sharp, messy sell-off—potentially 5-10% across major indices—followed by heightened volatility. The damage depends on leverage levels, asset concentration, and market sentiment. Worst case, it’s a mini-2008; best case, a one-day blip. No one knows the exact leverage out there today, but with $975 trillion in global derivatives exposure (per BIS estimates), even a small unwinding could sting.
因为他知道明天不喊听，股灾要继续
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https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1908992002366292286
据传他今年已经亏麻了， -26%。再跌，投资他 fund的金主要开始逃了。
嗯，回去想吃啥就吃啥吧，酒啊烟啊的，想喝就喝，想抽就抽，反正也没多少日子了。
看来要到3500才见底了!
真要黑色星期一了。
全世界关税不能扔下来就不管了。
搞出系统性风险了
美联储也要出来说话
是啊。原来以为 4000 会是底，现在真有可能往 3500 去了。
留个遗臭万年的名？然后子孙后代都抬不起头？
你觉得川疯会在乎吗？
欧盟可以先做空美股，再宣布。
有报道说目前欧盟各国正在商量征关税的商品，周一晚汇总，周二宣布。
美股跌，欧股也会跟着跌，双重影响会更厉害。欧盟这回不能和川普一起疯。
现在真的需要所有人都冷静，包括投资者，都往外跑就都得死。
你马上可以补仓了，呵呵
反击不反击，如何反击，何时反击，各国知道本国这些内幕消息的人，今年会发十辈子的财
老百姓都是吃土
昨天全国反川抗议浪潮刚结束，明天他暂缓关税？怎么可能？这么快低头可不是嘛噶们崇拜的大统领做派
如果欧盟周一或周二宣布反制，大盘要再跌10% （total 30%），到时他的金主一定会打爆他的电话。
那时他一定会找个理由暂缓关税，他的本性是商人，不会和利益过不去。
收沙特的钱收到手软 Trump Family’s Cash Registers Ring as Financial Meltdown Plays Out The party was on at a Saudi-backed LIV Golf tournament at the president’s Doral resort in Florida and a fund-raiser at Mar-a-Lago, even as markets tumbled.
你确定你对他的金主构成的判断正确？
比特币跌破78000了
oops看错时间了，还以为已经开了。不做股指期货太久了。
不用预测了，又是血洗的一天
我好象猜对一半了，哈哈
呜呜
futures已经快4800，你可以去补了
周一白天可能会更低（跌破4800？），到时再补。
但是你不跑别人跑了，你就得死，就是囚徒困境。我觉得美国人民得觉悟没那么高，赶紧跑路吧，趁着还有点儿赚头，就当是去年挣得钱不要了。
我也这么打算
他就是个疯子。美国人民的民主选出这么个疯子,我第一次对自己入籍的决定产生怀疑。 美国分裂成两个国家吧,红州一个蓝州一个。凭什么我们要为川粉们陪葬。
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https://x.com/Prolotario1/status/1908752443628032001
Funds 都在跌，金主去哪儿？
我感觉是这个路数
加州州长说华盛顿不代表加州，期待加州共和国独立。
赶紧独立吧！等什么呀？等magnificicent 7都搬走了再独立么？
不会的，懂王抓猫各种犯罪还有多次破产都能被选出大总统，子孙后代可以有样学样，懂王在这任上一定会捞足资本，资本说话子孙后代也可以捞出个大总统
我觉得是社交媒体的作用，让选民中不理性的声音越放越大让无脑选民抱团越来越疯，我很不看好当下的选举制度。
靠啊 现在都不知道怎么办了 下场的话就怕才在半山腰
10% SPY。越跌越炒，怕啥