大家一起聊天灌水，更新最新信息，等待大选结果揭晓吧 （有人注意到我标题里的emoji了吗） The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, is scheduled on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.
baidukaohe333 发表于 2024-11-04 00:36 Microsoft Copilot: Kamala Harris is leading by a wide margin in California. According to a recent Berkeley IGS Poll, she holds a commanding 22-point lead over Donald Trump in her home state. While this strong support in California is expected, it’s worth noting that her overall support among Latinx and Asian American voters has diminished compared to previous elections1. So, it looks like she’s got California in the bag, but the national race is still tight. What do you think about the overall election drama? 真应该一人一票，别搞什么 选举人团。
baidukaohe333 发表于 2024-11-04 00:36 Microsoft Copilot: Kamala Harris is leading by a wide margin in California. According to a recent Berkeley IGS Poll, she holds a commanding 22-point lead over Donald Trump in her home state. While this strong support in California is expected, it’s worth noting that her overall support among Latinx and Asian American voters has diminished compared to previous elections1. So, it looks like she’s got California in the bag, but the national race is still tight. What do you think about the overall election drama? 真应该一人一票，别搞什么 选举人团。
Riverss 发表于 2024-11-02 21:25 大家一起聊天灌水，更新最新信息，等待大选结果揭晓吧 （有人注意到我标题里的emoji了吗） The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, is scheduled on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.
Americans have two big questions as they head into another election with a deeply divided electorate: who will win, and when will they know it? In 2020, election week replaced election night: Joe Biden wasn’t declared the winner until Saturday. This year, it could go either way. It may take as long as a week for the NBC News Decision Desk to project a presidential winner, or it could happen as early as Wednesday, even by Wednesday morning. The truth is the Decision Desk cannot know until election night which scenario will unfold, regardless of how carefully we have analyzed the polls, early vote, and other election-related data. The answer depends not only on how states count their votes but on the unknowable factor of how close the margins will be. One thing is clear: The days of projecting a winner on election night itself are almost certainly over.
The pollster Selzer is said to be very accurate and referred to as the gold standard. obama won Iowa in 2012 so there is real hope I’m cautiously optimistic
dahlias_bloom 发表于 2024-11-02 22:04 The pollster Selzer is said to be very accurate and referred to as the gold standard. obama won Iowa in 2012 so there is real hope I’m cautiously optimistic
Riverss 发表于 2024-11-02 21:25 大家一起聊天灌水，更新最新信息，等待大选结果揭晓吧 （有人注意到我标题里的emoji了吗） The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, is scheduled on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.
（有人注意到我标题里的emoji了吗）
The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, is scheduled on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.
🔥 最新回帖
"真应该一人一票，别搞什么 选举人团。"
听说这样竞选就会集中在大州大城市了
本来就应该一人一票。全国4亿人民超过半数选出来的就当总统。
隐瞒俄国代理人身份取得国防部和NASA合约
这个应该最严重 他是应该有top secret clearance
非法滞留和工作，申请公民时虚假陈述，隐瞒俄国代理人身份取得国防部和NASA合约，以非法取得的公民身份扰乱美国选举，选举贿赂，吸毒藏毒，操纵市场，误导消费者，证券诈骗，加密货币诈骗，通敌叛国。 多罪并罚，收缴全部资产，判处一百年徒刑，剥夺政治权利终身，押送关塔那摩戴罪立功
🛋️ 沙发板凳
把标题改成反对川普可能人更多一些
很有道理
好主意，谢谢提醒
双方得票接近，落后一方会要求手动验票，一直拖到下个月。
I’m nauseous optimistic that Harris will win!
能揭晓就好，就怕不能揭晓，各种扯皮。 真心希望川普的恶梦早点过去。
看见了。Go Harris！！
我们好像16年一起混过高楼
In 2020, election week replaced election night: Joe Biden wasn’t declared the winner until Saturday. This year, it could go either way. It may take as long as a week for the NBC News Decision Desk to project a presidential winner, or it could happen as early as Wednesday, even by Wednesday morning.
The truth is the Decision Desk cannot know until election night which scenario will unfold, regardless of how carefully we have analyzed the polls, early vote, and other election-related data. The answer depends not only on how states count their votes but on the unknowable factor of how close the margins will be.
One thing is clear: The days of projecting a winner on election night itself are almost certainly over.
+1
看Iowa的历史表现，不知道是不是该乐观
https://www.270towin.com/states/Iowa
poll也不尽如人意
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/iowa
The pollster Selzer is said to be very accurate and referred to as the gold standard.
obama won Iowa in 2012 so there is real hope
I’m cautiously optimistic
那就相信Selzer，保持乐观！
For 8 f$$king nightmarish years!!!
这个我不同意，共和党分裂应该也快了。民主党里的左右差别也不小。 现阶段的反川和支持民主党不能划等号。而且为什么要按党派投票，要按候选人投票。
对呀。我也记得MM ：）
我看到很多数据，各方面都是对哈里斯有利的
天时地利人和 现在就看下周结果了
好像今天在好几个城市有women’s March
women turn out will win the race
对啊 只有把川普选下去了
他这年纪 就再没有机会在全国的大场面上作妖
他大可以在那个平行时空跟七千万MAGA 玩儿
没了他，共和党有机会重组，日后的选举会回到以前得体的争论，少些歧视跟偏见
哈哈，我喜欢你的蓝色的EMOJI
he and elon can ride to mars together
对啊
早期投票七个摇摆州都是女性占多数
今年共和党跨党选哈里斯特别多。 所以再也不能光看党派了
就看男女人数吧。 女性今年多数选哈里斯
exclusive:%20Early%20voting%20is%20surging%20across%20the%20U.S.%20Explore%20the%20data. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote
假消息遍地，我也无法判断，我现在认为是民主党会胜出。
另外，但我认为这次无论哪方取胜，都将是LANDSLIDE VICTORY. 不会胶着或者接近。要么美国从此走向法西斯并趁此断崖衰落，要么是MAGA么彻底被共和党抛弃，共和党开始回归理智
等到这个老不死的被选票打脸，我要搞点小酒和猪头肉
好像一些maga’s wives自己投Harris 但是不准备提醒老公去投票 说老公自己不会记得哪天 我从TikTok上看到的
我香槟准备好了
哈哈 ，好可爱😍
有人说 if women can run the house they can run the country
great idea!
我跟孩子们说了，庆祝Harris上台，选我们这儿非常有名的一个地方去吃饭😃
最早第二天，但当夜就能知道个大概，如果另一边耍无赖的话正式宣布可能要多花几天
好主意！我家娃非常期待第一个女总统！
给你点赞！我压根不关心政治的朋友这次也早早去投了，我都不敢问，希望她跟你一样！
我老二想要狗或者猫 …
刚才回顾一下，发现我来美国后碰到的大事都在共和党总统在任期间，911, 次贷危机，新冠。 迷信一点的话，还是别选共和党总统了，呵呵。我不喜欢奥巴马，但他在台上时发生了些什么，我一点印象都没有。
🍊和后面练起来看起来是“orange clown”的意思😂
谢谢！！！
啊是这个意思啊😂我以为她说她在佛州
我女儿本来想做第一个亚裔女总统 不过很开心能有把川普打下台的人
👍哈哈，好多的后续工作
去好的地方搓一顿容易
马德，这老混蛋真是侮辱了🍊
波士顿马拉松爆炸案 好像就这个恐袭
还有几个mass shooting 最著名的sandy hook
当然每任总统任期都有mass shooting
哈哈赞志向远大，加油👏
我那天看到拜登赢后都流泪了
呵呵谢谢 正在学international relations.. 希望能坚持下去
提醒你一下，奥巴马在台上的时候给中国人发了十年签证，我的很多亲戚朋友都拿到了。
就是 邻居刚弄了个小狗 可爱是可爱 但是每2个小时起来potty train
加油！！华人需要这样志向远大的娃
Silent majority will win
加油！你女儿做第一个华裔女总统，竞选的时候别忘了招呼一下，给她捐钱！
我们那时候的留学生，以及后来家人拿十年旅游签证，还有h4 ead曾帮助我度过失业期找到工作，真的受益很多，永远讨厌不起来奥巴马
还有芝麻门事件。我不喜欢奥巴，他上台的时候很多黑人运动。他的医改之后我们的医保翻了三四倍。当然也有很多人喜欢他的医改。Anyway, 和川普一比，其他人都不算坏了。
小布什上台时就不太正常。两边的党内选举早就都歪了。我只希望政客别为了自己利益挑拨屁民之间的矛盾。神仙打架别那我们当靶子。
这次不是神仙打架，是要赶走川党这些疯狗
那次不是周二夜里宣布的吧，我记不大清了，只记得晚上去睡觉的时候是极度郁闷的，因为拜登形势不好。第二天早上起来发现形势变了，后来记得fox先call Biden赢，那时call还有点risky ，把trump 气的大骂。
不是夜里宣布的，但是拜登和Jill神采奕奕走出来讲话，我才了解到从当时的结果来看他胜算非常大，跟数票种类顺序有关
支持！
same！其实这里我相信大部分人都不是某个党派死忠
我记得各大媒体是星期五正式宣布的。川普当晚宣布胜选。Biden和Jill出来说话，大概好像说的票还在数，不要紧张。Jill穿的粉色大衣。现场观众全在Jeep wrangler 里面。
如他所说： 川粉有无尽的容忍川普对她们的侮辱。真相了。
这些毒瘤不除，坚决不投
的确如此，小红书上的川粉说什么“garbage for trump”，自愿做垃圾去配合他的表演
Like Taylor Swift said, trash takes itself out every time