用 美国 合法 赌博 网站 看 美国 大选 结果! 挣钱!!!

w
witmail
楼主 (北美华人网)
用 美国 合法 赌博 网站 看 美国 大选 结果! 挣钱!!!
Kalshi.com is legal for US citizens or people with SSN to bet.
It''s fun! You''ll receive a $25 bonus. You can bet on anything related to the US election. It''s 100% legal for US residents.

大家可以看看election趋势。
赌博的% 和POLL 肯定不一样。如果 POLL 是 60%/40%, 那末 赌博的% 就是
90%/10% 因为 10% 的差距很大。赌博% 有个放大的作用。
和读者分食几个 比较有利可图的 押租。 1) how many swing states trump would win? Trump won 7 is 78% No. That is an easy low-risk bet since it is almost impossible for Trump to win all 7 swing states. 2) Trump won 2, 3, 4, are all possible but % of the gain is 10 times. High gain but you must guess correctly to collect money. One way is to be all 3 possibilities. The downside is that you lose all if you guessed all wrong. However, you can always cash out before the final results. 3) Trump won electoral and Popular votes. 70% No. that is an easy low-risk bet since it is unlikely even if Trump won the Presidency. I also bet Harris won Elec+pop and Trump Elec+ Harris POP. I just need to be right on one of them to make money or make a lot of money in a few days. 4) High gain bet. How many extra Harris would win in Electoral votes? these are 1500% to 2000% gain bets. But they are all highly likely such as 1-4, 5 to 14, and 15 to 30. I bet on all 3 of them to hedge it since it is hard to know the exact #.
我把我的押组 全部列出来。Green: I am up. Red: I am down.
Good Luck!
Portfolio $458.24 total

KALSHI $458.24 +$12.59 (3.64%) today
Positions $457.76 Cash
$0.48 Interest
4.05% APY Position Resting Closed
Unrealized return

Market
ContractsAvg priceCostValue nowPayout if win
Who will win the Popular Vote and Electoral College?
Yes · Harris wins Electoral College, Harris wins Popular Vote 55 36¢ $19.80 $24.20 $55 Yes · Trump wins Electoral College, Harris wins Popular Vote 110 29¢ $31.76 $34.10 $110 No · Trump wins Electoral College, Trump wins Popular Vote 107 64¢ $68.48 $82.39 $107 Total 272 $120.04 $140.69

How many swing states will Trump win?
Yes · 2 62 8¢ $4.96 $5.58 $62 Yes · 3 99 10¢ $9.90 $9.90 $99 Yes · 4 33 15¢ $4.95 $4.95 $33 No · 7 183 78¢ $141.95 $146.40 $183 Total 377 $161.76 $166.83

Who will win the Presidential Election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 54 36¢ $19.68 $24.30 $54

Electoral College margin of victory?
Yes · Harris by 15-34 199 5¢ $9.95 $11.94 $199 Yes · Harris by 5-14 199 5¢ $9.95 $11.94 $199 Yes · Harris by 1-4 124 8¢ $9.92 $9.92 $124 Total 522 $29.82 $33.80

Who will win Wisconsin in the presidential election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 22 44¢ $9.68 $11.66 $22

Will Harris flip a 2020 Trump state?
No 33 60¢ $19.80 $20.79 $33

Tipping point in the presidential election?
Yes · Pennsylvania 27 36¢ $9.72 $9.99 $27

Who will win Michigan in the presidential election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 1 51¢ $0.51 $0.64 $1 No · Donald Trump 1 50¢ $0.50 $0.63 $1 Total 2 $1.01 $1.27

Tulsi Gabbard nominated to the Cabinet?
No 9 51¢ $4.59 $4.77 $9

When will the AP call the election?
Yes · Nov 6, 2024 11 44¢ $4.84 $4.84 $11

Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
Yes · R-House, R-Senate, D-President 249 6¢ $14.94 $14.94 $249

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. nominated to the Cabinet?
No 8 58¢ $4.64 $4.64 $8

Who will win the popular vote?
No · Donald Trump 26 75¢ $19.50 $19.24 $26
w
witmail
witmail 发表于 2024-11-02 18:48
用 美国 合法 赌博 网站 看 美国 大选 结果! 挣钱!!!
Kalshi.com is legal for US citizens or people with SSN to bet.
It''s fun! You''ll receive a $25 bonus. You can bet on anything related to the US election. It''s 100% legal for US residents.

大家可以看看election趋势。
赌博的% 和POLL 肯定不一样。如果 POLL 是 60%/40%, 那末 赌博的% 就是
90%/10% 因为 10% 的差距很大。赌博% 有个放大的作用。
和读者分食几个 比较有利可图的 押租。 1) how many swing states trump would win? Trump won 7 is 78% No. That is an easy low-risk bet since it is almost impossible for Trump to win all 7 swing states. 2) Trump won 2, 3, 4, are all possible but % of the gain is 10 times. High gain but you must guess correctly to collect money. One way is to be all 3 possibilities. The downside is that you lose all if you guessed all wrong. However, you can always cash out before the final results. 3) Trump won electoral and Popular votes. 70% No. that is an easy low-risk bet since it is unlikely even if Trump won the Presidency. I also bet Harris won Elec+pop and Trump Elec+ Harris POP. I just need to be right on one of them to make money or make a lot of money in a few days. 4) High gain bet. How many extra Harris would win in Electoral votes? these are 1500% to 2000% gain bets. But they are all highly likely such as 1-4, 5 to 14, and 15 to 30. I bet on all 3 of them to hedge it since it is hard to know the exact #.
我把我的押组 全部列出来。Green: I am up. Red: I am down.
Good Luck!
Portfolio $458.24 total

KALSHI $458.24 +$12.59 (3.64%) today
Positions $457.76 Cash
$0.48 Interest
4.05% APY Position Resting Closed
Unrealized return

Market
ContractsAvg priceCostValue nowPayout if win
Who will win the Popular Vote and Electoral College?
Yes · Harris wins Electoral College, Harris wins Popular Vote 55 36¢ $19.80 $24.20 $55 Yes · Trump wins Electoral College, Harris wins Popular Vote 110 29¢ $31.76 $34.10 $110 No · Trump wins Electoral College, Trump wins Popular Vote 107 64¢ $68.48 $82.39 $107 Total 272 $120.04 $140.69

How many swing states will Trump win?
Yes · 2 62 8¢ $4.96 $5.58 $62 Yes · 3 99 10¢ $9.90 $9.90 $99 Yes · 4 33 15¢ $4.95 $4.95 $33 No · 7 183 78¢ $141.95 $146.40 $183 Total 377 $161.76 $166.83

Who will win the Presidential Election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 54 36¢ $19.68 $24.30 $54

Electoral College margin of victory?
Yes · Harris by 15-34 199 5¢ $9.95 $11.94 $199 Yes · Harris by 5-14 199 5¢ $9.95 $11.94 $199 Yes · Harris by 1-4 124 8¢ $9.92 $9.92 $124 Total 522 $29.82 $33.80

Who will win Wisconsin in the presidential election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 22 44¢ $9.68 $11.66 $22

Will Harris flip a 2020 Trump state?
No 33 60¢ $19.80 $20.79 $33

Tipping point in the presidential election?
Yes · Pennsylvania 27 36¢ $9.72 $9.99 $27

Who will win Michigan in the presidential election?
Yes · Kamala Harris 1 51¢ $0.51 $0.64 $1 No · Donald Trump 1 50¢ $0.50 $0.63 $1 Total 2 $1.01 $1.27

Tulsi Gabbard nominated to the Cabinet?
No 9 51¢ $4.59 $4.77 $9

When will the AP call the election?
Yes · Nov 6, 2024 11 44¢ $4.84 $4.84 $11

Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency?
Yes · R-House, R-Senate, D-President 249 6¢ $14.94 $14.94 $249

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. nominated to the Cabinet?
No 8 58¢ $4.64 $4.64 $8

Who will win the popular vote?
No · Donald Trump 26 75¢ $19.50 $19.24 $26