全美有大大小小几十个做poll的机构，RCP这个是取的平均值。当然Trump领先的也就不到1个点，不过按过去几十年民主党popular vote一直比共和党多的记录，这个还是比较值得关注的。 Republican nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in aggregator RealClearPolling's average of national polls for the first time since August. https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-donald-trump-edges-past-kamala-harris-major-poll-first-time-august-1975747
A9C6E3 发表于 2024-10-28 11:28 全美有大大小小几十个做poll的机构，RCP这个是取的平均值。当然Trump领先的也就不到1个点，不过按过去几十年民主党popular vote一直比共和党多的记录，这个还是比较值得关注的。 Republican nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in aggregator RealClearPolling's average of national polls for the first time since August. https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-donald-trump-edges-past-kamala-harris-major-poll-first-time-august-1975747
川粉看得也是 newsweek? Vice President Kamala Harris has expanded her lead over Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump in two national polls. With just over a week to go until Election Day, the latest ABC News/Ipsos and Big Village polls gave Harris a slightly bigger lead than their surveys earlier in October. The latest ABC News/Ipsos poll has Harris leading by four points among likely voters, with 51 percent support compared to Trump's 47 percent. Her lead is smaller among all registered voters, at 49 percent to Trump's 47 percent. Meanwhile, the most recent Big Village survey gave Harris an almost seven-point lead over Trump. The survey found 51.6 percent of likely voters were backing Harris, while 45 percent were supporting Trump. Among registered voters, Harris was almost six points ahead, with 49 percent support compared to Trump's 43.2 percent. Costas Panagopoulos, a professor of political science at Northeastern University, told Newsweek that national polls "basically show a tight race, generally within the margin of error" and battleground polls "look similar." He said: "We really don't know which candidate is truly ahead. Given voting patterns across the country, a comfortable margin in the national popular vote would help Harris clinch a win in the Electoral College, but victory may still be possible even with a closer split." Grant Davis Reeher, a political science professor at Syracuse University, told Newsweek that the race is "still really tight, and it's anyone's guess as to the outcome." "A lot still depends on how these survey results have been weighted, and with the coalitions shifting and newer groups of voters coming into the system, those weights are moving targets. The battleground states are still the key, and those are all tight." He added: "At this point, it comes down to turnout. Republicans have increasingly embraced early voting, and that may help them slightly. Absent some huge development in either campaign, which is hard to imagine given everything we've already seen and heard, the persuasion part of the campaign is over."
A9C6E3 发表于 2024-10-28 11:28 全美有大大小小几十个做poll的机构，RCP这个是取的平均值。当然Trump领先的也就不到1个点，不过按过去几十年民主党popular vote一直比共和党多的记录，这个还是比较值得关注的。 Republican nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in aggregator RealClearPolling's average of national polls for the first time since August. https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-donald-trump-edges-past-kamala-harris-major-poll-first-time-august-1975747
A9C6E3 发表于 2024-10-28 11:28 全美有大大小小几十个做poll的机构，RCP这个是取的平均值。当然Trump领先的也就不到1个点，不过按过去几十年民主党popular vote一直比共和党多的记录，这个还是比较值得关注的。 Republican nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in aggregator RealClearPolling's average of national polls for the first time since August. https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-donald-trump-edges-past-kamala-harris-major-poll-first-time-august-1975747
呵呵，川粉们那么笃定Trump赢，就不需要到处鼓腮造谣了
不过，这也无所谓了，我们相信川总稳了。川粉们赶快开香槟庆祝吧，躺平就好了，别再上蹿下跳的再来污染大家眼球了。
trump采访时候自己说的，50完美元买一个poll，想要 MAGA支持率多高就有多高
不过要看清 MAGA这么做的目的：就是制造混乱，到时候真正投票 MAGA大败，可以用这些造假poll激活其base进行暴力屠杀
你这偷渡客瞎叫唤啥，赶快珍惜没几天能在华人论坛上上蹿下跳的日子吧，然后就等着川普上台将你等非法移民遣返回中国！从此，华人论坛恢复往日的安宁、祥和！
你不用那么谦虚，我们都觉得川普稳了。你们可以弹冠相庆，get a life，不要再天天在这里瞎叫唤了。
川粉看得也是 newsweek?
Vice President Kamala Harris has expanded her lead over Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump in two national polls.
With just over a week to go until Election Day, the latest ABC News/Ipsos and Big Village polls gave Harris a slightly bigger lead than their surveys earlier in October.
The latest ABC News/Ipsos poll has Harris leading by four points among likely voters, with 51 percent support compared to Trump's 47 percent. Her lead is smaller among all registered voters, at 49 percent to Trump's 47 percent.
Meanwhile, the most recent Big Village survey gave Harris an almost seven-point lead over Trump.
The survey found 51.6 percent of likely voters were backing Harris, while 45 percent were supporting Trump. Among registered voters, Harris was almost six points ahead, with 49 percent support compared to Trump's 43.2 percent.
Costas Panagopoulos, a professor of political science at Northeastern University, told Newsweek that national polls "basically show a tight race, generally within the margin of error" and battleground polls "look similar."
He said: "We really don't know which candidate is truly ahead. Given voting patterns across the country, a comfortable margin in the national popular vote would help Harris clinch a win in the Electoral College, but victory may still be possible even with a closer split."
Grant Davis Reeher, a political science professor at Syracuse University, told Newsweek that the race is "still really tight, and it's anyone's guess as to the outcome."
"A lot still depends on how these survey results have been weighted, and with the coalitions shifting and newer groups of voters coming into the system, those weights are moving targets. The battleground states are still the key, and those are all tight."
He added: "At this point, it comes down to turnout. Republicans have increasingly embraced early voting, and that may help them slightly. Absent some huge development in either campaign, which is hard to imagine given everything we've already seen and heard, the persuasion part of the campaign is over."
你查一查RCP是谁的产业，就知道是极右的。
沉默的大多数人会推翻这些没用的rigged polls
https://betting.betfair.com/betfair-predicts/us-trackers/ 赶紧买啊，没钱我借你们付利息就好
有这种感觉。最近邮箱给哈里斯竞选团队一天n封邮件轰炸，感觉选情告急。
注水不注水，和2016/2020比的话，哈里斯得票少了很多，4-6个百分点吧，主党这次只能寄希望于能坚守住摇摆州
賛同。川肯定会在选举当晚擅自公布胜选。然后他就可以有理由搞暴动。千万理由只有一个：他怕死会坐牢！
错了，他们没有说让亚洲“再次”伟大，只说黄川回国让亚洲伟大，maga怎么可能承认亚洲伟大过
我的感觉正好相反，最近每天都收到trump的text message，让我捐$15，而且他们好像还会换手机号，我report junk了第二天还能收到
川普缺钱，哈里斯缺票😆
新闻出来了，是共和党川粉干的。你的脸是不是已经被打肿了？