Trump 稳了

O
Oddfunction
楼主 (北美华人网)
Polymarket 上已经63%for trump了。真金白银的,要不要投资一下顺便发点小财呢?




d
dvdhe
川普2024!
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can-can
不敢相信,后面很多变数,凭啥?
O
Oddfunction
Polymarket’s presidential predictions have a mixed but promising record. Blockchain-based prediction markets like Polymarket tend to aggregate real-time data from participants who have a financial stake in the outcome, which can often make them more accurate than traditional polls. For example, during the 2020 U.S. election, Polymarket reflected a higher probability of a Biden victory, which aligned with the actual result. The platform’s decentralization, transparency, and global participation contribute to its reliability. Unlike traditional betting systems, Polymarket offers real-time insights by tracking crowd sentiment, which can adjust faster than polls when new information arises. However, there have been concerns about manipulation, especially when large sums of money from a few individuals heavily influence the odds. While Polymarket predictions often outperform traditional polling, they are not immune to market distortions, particularly with politically sensitive events. Therefore, while it provides valuable insights, its accuracy isn’t guaranteed and should be considered alongside other forecasting tools  .
k
kgsfvau
这个是花钱买的作弊啦,已经被曝光了,问问马斯克咋回事吧,他清楚着呢
e
ezf
2019, 2020 年很多川粉投钱到班农,郭文贵那里。 现在川粉还可以做两件事:买他的股票,到他的集会上展示。
B
Bbean
回复 5楼 kgsfvau 的帖子
刚有人买了500k挺哈姐,看来也想作弊?
y
yc0001
真金白银总比嘴炮的poll靠谱点,而且不止这一个赌博网站老川领先,据说赌盘在过去的总统选举中只有一次是预测错误的。
B
Bbean
另外,说谁稳了都不可信,vote、vote、vote!
b
bh_833
喜提Chinese Virus 2024!