截至8/10 七个关键摇摆州： Pennsylvania: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 3 points among registered voters, according to the Times/Siena poll (the margin of error is 4.2 points). Michigan: Harris also leads Trump here by 4 points among likely voters—but trails Trump by 2 points among registered voters (the margin of error is 4.8 points). Wisconsin: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 5 points among registered voters in the Times poll (the margin of error is 4.3 points). Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll at 47%, while Trump is up by two points in the state (48% to 46%), with 7% undecided, in the Emerson poll. Arizona: Harris leads by two in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, 49% to 47%, but is down by five points (49% to 44%), with 7% of voters undecided, in the Emerson poll. North Carolina: Trump would win the state by two points, 48% to 46%, according to the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, a decline in Trump’s 5.7-point lead here over Biden, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker. Nevada: Harris leads by two points, 47% to 45%, in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll; Trump led Biden here by 5.6 points, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker. Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Surges Ahead Of Trump In Pennsylvania, Michigan And Wisconsin https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/08/10/election-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-surges-ahead-of-trump-in-pennsylvania-michigan-and-wisconsin/
这个谣言还在传？他签的law根本没有一句说是男厕所还是女厕所。只说了来月经的学生必须要能access tampon。一些川粉非要解读成男厕所，纯粹是无脑的抹黑 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tampon-tim-walz-minnesota-law-schools-bathrooms-period-poverty/ The Minnesota law, however, doesn''''t specify in which bathrooms the menstrual supplies must be located; instead, it requires school districts to develop plans to ensure all students who menstruate can access free tampons and pads 这是bill全文，可以自己去看一下 https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/text.php?number=HF2497&session_year=2023&session_number=0&version=latest#:~:text=ACCESS%20TO%20MENSTRUAL%20PRODUCTS. "The products must be available to all menstruating students in restrooms regularly used by students in grades 4 to 12 according to a plan developed by the school district. For purposes of this section, "menstrual products" means pads, tampons, or other similar products used in connection with the menstrual cycle."
Anotherfacet 发表于 2024-08-11 11:34 这个谣言还在传？他签的law根本没有一句说是男厕所还是女厕所。只说了来月经的学生必须要能access tampon。一些川粉非要解读成男厕所，纯粹是无脑的抹黑 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tampon-tim-walz-minnesota-law-schools-bathrooms-period-poverty/ The Minnesota law, however, doesn''''t specify in which bathrooms the menstrual supplies must be located; instead, it requires school districts to develop plans to ensure all students who menstruate can access free tampons and pads 这是bill全文，可以自己去看一下 https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/text.php?number=HF2497&session_year=2023&session_number=0&version=latest#:~:text=ACCESS%20TO%20MENSTRUAL%20PRODUCTS. "The products must be available to all menstruating students in restrooms regularly used by students in grades 4 to 12 according to a plan developed by the school district. For purposes of this section, "menstrual products" means pads, tampons, or other similar products used in connection with the menstrual cycle."
Anotherfacet 发表于 2024-08-11 11:34 这个谣言还在传？他签的law根本没有一句说是男厕所还是女厕所。只说了来月经的学生必须要能access tampon。一些川粉非要解读成男厕所，纯粹是无脑的抹黑 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tampon-tim-walz-minnesota-law-schools-bathrooms-period-poverty/ The Minnesota law, however, doesn''''t specify in which bathrooms the menstrual supplies must be located; instead, it requires school districts to develop plans to ensure all students who menstruate can access free tampons and pads 这是bill全文，可以自己去看一下 https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/text.php?number=HF2497&session_year=2023&session_number=0&version=latest#:~:text=ACCESS%20TO%20MENSTRUAL%20PRODUCTS. "The products must be available to all menstruating students in restrooms regularly used by students in grades 4 to 12 according to a plan developed by the school district. For purposes of this section, "menstrual products" means pads, tampons, or other similar products used in connection with the menstrual cycle."
七个关键摇摆州： Pennsylvania: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 3 points among registered voters, according to the Times/Siena poll (the margin of error is 4.2 points).
Michigan: Harris also leads Trump here by 4 points among likely voters—but trails Trump by 2 points among registered voters (the margin of error is 4.8 points).
Wisconsin: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 5 points among registered voters in the Times poll (the margin of error is 4.3 points).
Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll at 47%, while Trump is up by two points in the state (48% to 46%), with 7% undecided, in the Emerson poll.
Arizona: Harris leads by two in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, 49% to 47%, but is down by five points (49% to 44%), with 7% of voters undecided, in the Emerson poll.
North Carolina: Trump would win the state by two points, 48% to 46%, according to the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, a decline in Trump’s 5.7-point lead here over Biden, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker.
Nevada: Harris leads by two points, 47% to 45%, in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll; Trump led Biden here by 5.6 points, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker.
Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Surges Ahead Of Trump In Pennsylvania, Michigan And Wisconsin https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/08/10/election-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-surges-ahead-of-trump-in-pennsylvania-michigan-and-wisconsin/
下面是各种投票综合平均结果
这是聚合的民调结果，有左翼有有右翼媒体做的。
不信民调数字，信你喷出来的东西？反正在反智川粉眼里，什么都是假的，只要川普一落后，任何数字都是编的。对吧？
能去vote就要去vote！
人家 Musk 会做 VP？ 开什么国际玩笑。
前一阵子，Trump领先的时候，你是否也不信民调？
1.fake news的民调不那么可信 2.现实是，因为美国的选举团制度，民主党必须总统选票高于共和党3%才能赢得总统大选。 3.有很多川粉是不愿意接受这些主流媒体和机构的民调的。 打个比方吧，就像我的这篇文章，讲出来事实，大妈们是饶有兴致地和你讨论，还是做鸵鸟转贴限流走人？女人害怕说自己的婚姻和爱情是交易，但是你让她们实际行动不这么做她们会么？ https://huaren.us/showtopic.html?topicid=3036184 川粉一样。你让他们公开承认自己支持川普，他们有些不愿意，但是票照样会投。
我不是川粉，我两个都不喜欢，不过这种民调看看就好，你真的觉得中西部老白男会投给哈里斯？你低估了美国的种族和性别隔阂，老白男打死都不会投给哈里斯
已经提前准备好台阶：🐷党掌控了投票机，以后千秋万代一统江湖
“我不是川粉”
我认识的中西部老白男刚好都是铁杆民主党，这次也会投哈里斯
哈哈，但凡用这句话开头的，其实～～
对于point 2，所以我专门找了所有摇摆州的民调结果。
我认识的白男都不会投她，我在摇摆州
那就看结果呗，别到时候找借口不承认投票结果就行
我无所谓啊，哈里斯能赢最好，虽然她也很烂，总比川普好，但是你们最好脑袋清醒一点，现实可能没那么乐观，想想当年希拉里
我记得当年希拉里民调似乎也一直领先，但最后也输了。
另外这个poll是怎么设计的？如果是按选举人团的投票方式来对应设计的，可能更准确点，如果只是单纯统计投哪个党的人数比例的话，还真不好说。毕竟当年戈尔和希拉里，都是赢了大众选票，输了选举人团票。
实话实说，没人care厕所放tampon。大家都对经济衰退不满。
图里有提到男厕所吗？还是bill里指明了男厕所，你可以截图发出来，否则就是造谣
这个谣言还在传？他签的law根本没有一句说是男厕所还是女厕所。只说了来月经的学生必须要能access tampon。一些川粉非要解读成男厕所，纯粹是无脑的抹黑
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tampon-tim-walz-minnesota-law-schools-bathrooms-period-poverty/
The Minnesota law, however, doesn''''t specify in which bathrooms the menstrual supplies must be located; instead, it requires school districts to develop plans to ensure all students who menstruate can access free tampons and pads
这是bill全文，可以自己去看一下 https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/text.php?number=HF2497&session_year=2023&session_number=0&version=latest#:~:text=ACCESS%20TO%20MENSTRUAL%20PRODUCTS.
"The products must be available to all menstruating students in restrooms regularly used by students in grades 4 to 12 according to a plan developed by the school district. For purposes of this section, "menstrual products" means pads, tampons, or other similar products used in connection with the menstrual cycle."
是的 经济不好的时候 大家才对这种看起来浪费的政策各种不满
是对所有poll的统计，
比如对宾州的民调，最新出来的， 偏民主党的纽约时报的那个，Harris +4, 偏共和党的一个，川普+2，这个周末貌似只有这两个民调出结果。 另外民调也要看trend的，就是同一个民调，不同时期的结果纵向对比。
总之，楼主说的，是许许多多民调的综合结果。
不光是注册选举，还要提前去查一下自己的选民身份是不是还active。最近南部几个红州在悄悄purge选民名单，而且不通知选民。
不要等到大选那天才发现自己的选民身份没了，再appeal就来不及了
说得对！手动点赞。
戒骄戒躁，不要大意失荆州，笑到最后才行。
这样啊。那对宾州这两个民调结果确实是个好消息，即使偏共和党那个民调，也领先了2个点。我记得前两天你还提到过，那个时候宾州的民调，川川子还领先一点。
当年希拉里的Rally人可罗雀，怎么可能民调领先？DEM这次可不能再自欺欺人啊！
那更要出去投票了，绝对不能让川普这个垃圾再上台
拉力 不等于票，这个概念你能理解吗
You got to VOTE in November!
我这里我投不投肯定都是民主党赢。当然到时候我还是会去投的。
下面等民主党的Convention 之后正式启动Harris/Walz campaign, 这只是开始，还要继续努力，有钱出钱，有力出力。
你这话很是arrogant。Rally = 人气= 民调。你不能睁着眼睛说瞎话
民主党敢推出一个有色人种女性做presidential candidate， 也是够有勇气的
不过亚裔当选， 对华人还是重大利好
“就凭老白南打死不投Harris”， 所有的女性一定要投Harris，打破常规对女性的歧视。
不是大纪元和微信来源，黄右当然不会信
这些人连对女性的一点儿善意都难以容忍，很难想象在他们统治下女性会有更好的生活。 我倒觉得所有女性都不应该选共和党川普，为了自己。
他不但憎恨华人，而且对女性充满恶意和轻视
你这是饭圈文化，你以为这是追星呢
哈哈 川粉确实垃圾。
拜登没退选的时候，这些民调还都是真的
川粉真是不配用Truth这个词，但是天天说。典型的缺啥补啥
手动顶。 一定一定要去投票！
他输了选举，川粉还是会说这是假消息
开什么玩笑 没有中国市场 tesla股票会跌成屎
当然不信，如果问的都是非法移民，有可能。
他现在很多表现都像狂躁型痴呆早中期
希拉里当年放弃了摇摆州，她当年过于自信，现在在选的两个都在摇摆州拼命呢，现在大家都知道，摇摆州决定胜负
难道是川粉家的男孩子一直担心月经问题，搞不懂川粉老盯着这个问题不放是什么原因
他那个21秒freeze应该就是在往裤裆里拉屎，据说川普大小便失控已经很久了
不过你放心，就算川普真的在rally上当众脱裤拉屎，黄川粉一样会找到角度继续舔的
什么乱七八糟的，首先哈里斯在中西部老白男中支持度并不十分低，Tim Walz就是中西部老白男；其次中西部不只老白男，还有老白女、老黑女、小白男、小黑女、小黑男、男黑男...这么多人呢。
啥叫Truth? 至少Trump 阵营都没脸说truth一词，发明了著名的alternative facts. 学着点。
没有可比性。如果要比 比2020年大选和上次参众选举。maga基本盘就那么多。 16年选举的主题是讨厌政治世家 大多数人又不熟悉川普的为人；很难想象经历了这八年 中立选民更支持川普。正常人都会考虑再选一个这样的总统怎么教育孩子？
川粉惯用的口号式宣传，跟文革时候忠字舞大字报一个档次，没有一点逻辑可言，就靠一遍一遍微信论坛大喇叭喊。
跟他较真你就输了，只会被拖到那个层次
也不能过于乐观。 还是应该应投尽投
你这一说，再看他视屏，还真的像是在歪着头拉屎。看他一动不动的样子，一定拉得很爽。
慢慢会的，要给中间派一个转变的过程。