PARIS (Nov 23): Europe's largest fund manager Amundi expects the Russian economy to grow three times faster than the euro zone's in 2024, its chief investment officer said on Thursday, stressing the ineffectiveness of sanctions levied over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Amundi expects Russia's gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 1.5% in 2024 and by 2% in 2025, compared with 0.5% and 1.2% for the euro zone. "It means that the United States, Europe, Japan, Australia — the major developed countries — are unable to sanction a country effectively," Amundi's CIO Vincent Mortier told reporters at a news conference in Paris on the fund manager's 2024 outlook.
经济增速是欧元区三倍,不是GDP变成三倍 就好像可能俄罗斯GDP增速是1.2%,欧元区是0.4%
PARIS (Nov 23): Europe's largest fund manager Amundi expects the Russian economy to grow three times faster than the euro zone's in 2024, its chief investment officer said on Thursday, stressing the ineffectiveness of sanctions levied over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. Amundi expects Russia's gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 1.5% in 2024 and by 2% in 2025, compared with 0.5% and 1.2% for the euro zone. "It means that the United States, Europe, Japan, Australia — the major developed countries — are unable to sanction a country effectively," Amundi's CIO Vincent Mortier told reporters at a news conference in Paris on the fund manager's 2024 outlook.
嗯,增三倍,吓我一跳
如果欧元区跌10%,毛子是不是会跌30%。为了搞垮大毛,欧元区就牺牲一下吧😄
可能会冲到3%,IMF都不得不提高预测到2.2%了,之前还预测负增长呢……
德法一听这个预测,马上准备欧元区明年衰退,GDP下降2%么。俄罗斯跟着下降6%?
杀人一万,自损三千。
不过话说回来,苏联在冷战中一直也处于西方封锁状态,可他的实力也一直是美苏争霸。中国在改革开放前,GDP其实也是增长的,没那么快而已。
现在俄罗斯根本不能算被封锁,他最多不和西方盟国做生意而已,其他的中国印度阿拉伯非洲南美,都在做生意。而且石油是硬通货,只不过现在欧洲靠中东更多了,原来中东卖给其他地方的石油,就被俄罗斯接手了。就中国一家,从俄罗斯弄原材料,向俄罗斯出口工业产品,俄罗斯就能活下去,俄罗斯充其量也就是一个广东的规模,还跟中国很互补,中国经济完全可以帮助他撑下去。
关键是俄罗斯现在财政赤字才1%,完全没有财政刺激下还能取得这种经济增长,这真心是极度NB了
相比之下,美国今年财政赤字6% 欧洲那一票,除了德国以外也完全不能看