不少人也是给理由的，只是楼主没有摘抄，比如GMO的Jeremy Grantham，他的理由是： "Forty years of lower and lower interest rates push asset prices up, particularly housing through the mortgage mechanism. How can it not? If you can afford to pay more for your house because the mortgage rates are 3%, sooner or later you pay more for it. And so the competition bids the price up to fill the available affordability. Now the mortgage [rate] is 7%. The same thing will happen in reverse. It doesn''t happen overnight. Everyone in the market wants everything to happen yesterday. But with interest rates and mortgages, it can take a long time to percolate through. But you can be absolutely certain that it will." "Real estate is a global bubble. It has driven house prices provably to multiples of family income all over the world: Beijing, Shanghai, Sydney, Adelaide, Canada, London. It used to be multiples of three and a half times family income. London is now 10 times. Toronto is worse. No one can afford to buy a house. No young kids come out to buy a house. This is not a stable equilibrium," Grantham said.
260,000 illegal immigrants entered the US in September. The full number, including unrecorded, may be over half a million per month, which is the population of Wyoming. Where will all the illegals live?!
260,000 illegal immigrants entered the US in September. The full number, including unrecorded, may be over half a million per month, which is the population of Wyoming. Where will all the illegals live?! frogette 发表于 2023-10-05 11:46
希望大佬们搞股市来回割韭菜就算了，不要来搞房子了，老百姓搞不起
房价不靠印的钞票多少来维持，不然中国现在房价也不会跌。房价的维持靠对未来的预期，美国现在是预期通胀会持续，房价作为抗通胀的武器，受有钱人追捧。什么时候预期转向了，就会跌，但是谁也不知道什么时候会转向，联储也不知道，只能闭着眼加息。
韭菜割头割得娃都少生了。现在资本需要把韭菜住的地方翻翻土尽量多捞。
不少人也是给理由的，只是楼主没有摘抄，比如GMO的Jeremy Grantham，他的理由是：
"Forty years of lower and lower interest rates push asset prices up, particularly housing through the mortgage mechanism. How can it not? If you can afford to pay more for your house because the mortgage rates are 3%, sooner or later you pay more for it. And so the competition bids the price up to fill the available affordability. Now the mortgage [rate] is 7%. The same thing will happen in reverse. It doesn''t happen overnight. Everyone in the market wants everything to happen yesterday. But with interest rates and mortgages, it can take a long time to percolate through. But you can be absolutely certain that it will." "Real estate is a global bubble. It has driven house prices provably to multiples of family income all over the world: Beijing, Shanghai, Sydney, Adelaide, Canada, London. It used to be multiples of three and a half times family income. London is now 10 times. Toronto is worse. No one can afford to buy a house. No young kids come out to buy a house. This is not a stable equilibrium," Grantham said.
pollst哥v5
我们这里的房价明显卡着主流收入的上限，上不去也下不来。
不光是房价，美国所有和生活息息相关的都是卡着你愿意付出的上限，成本100块的东西只要是你非要不可的收你1万块很常见
现在很多区降了10%不止吧？
美国就靠发新债还旧债维持。货币量是只有增长一个方向。
不动产只有涨一个大方向。
短期波动难预测，因为影响因素太多。
第五个人只说了人们有卖房刚需，却忽略了人们也有买房刚需
美国投资移民排期摇摇无期，技术移民也没增加。增加的都是非法移民。不是买房主体。
俄罗斯和中国来的走线移民都很有钱。别问我怎么知道的。而且现在至少南加的那个入口，大毛过线的是主体
有钱人可不愿意冒风险，直接投资移民多好。走线可是经常死人的。
人家都是直飞Mexico city然后转车或者继续飞到Tijuana，那里需要冒生命危险
那为什么2022年通胀那么高的时候，下半年房子跌成那样？
换Hybrid Sedan, WFH，装太阳能，水泥地院子不需要浇水。
南加的家庭 utility 奇怪无比，从10年开始大约3倍了。
说的对，能做到房价就算再高也不搬的可能只有亚洲人了。
260,000 illegal immigrants entered the US in September. The full number, including unrecorded, may be over half a million per month, which is the population of Wyoming.
Where will all the illegals live?!
看这些数字真的心惊肉跳，这些人买房？怎么带钱进来？找工作也没身份
American birth rate already collapsed. soon will reflect on house market.
这你就多虑了，soon墨墨和各国移民and非法移民会把人口缺口补上哈
政治正确。你看过去几十年主流媒体的新闻都是房市危险，老百姓民不聊生。因为观众喜欢这个调调，公众人物要挑老百姓爱听的说。
没房的人才焦虑，他们也希望听到房价跌，如果说房价涨被骂死了。看看十年前的任志强被骂成什么样的但是他就是对的。 想房价跌是不可能的，现在不买以后更买不起。现在买不起除非碰到改变命运的机会以后更买不起。
+1
其实真正的问题不是房价会不会继续涨，而是美元会不会继续跌。以为央行从此不再印钱就天真了。
只要人口增加，就会挤占房产资源，就会支撑房价。