别吵了，先搞清楚recession是什么

In the United States, it is defined as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the market, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales".
wholesale-retail sales目前是不满足的，所以应该说肯定还没进入recession
其它几条是不是能满足，还要看q2的GDP, 如果q2 GDP有问题那么基本肯定是recession

比较靠谱。