华街大佬发话了:准备迎接 Economic Hurricane

h
huaren2018
楼主 (北美华人网)

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says he is preparing the biggest U.S. bank for an economic hurricane on the horizon and advised investors to do the same.
“You know, I said there’s storm clouds but I’m going to change it… it’s a hurricane,” Dimon said Wednesday at a financial conference in New York. While conditions seem “fine” at the moment, nobody knows if the hurricane is “a minor one or Superstorm Sandy,” he added.
“You better brace yourself,” Dimon told the roomful of analysts and investors. “JPMorgan is bracing ourselves and we’re going to be very conservative with our balance sheet.”
There are two main factors that has Dimon worried: First, the Federal Reserve has signaled it will reverse its emergency bond buying programs and shrink its balance sheet. The so-called quantitative tightening, or QT, is scheduled to begin this month and will ramp up to $95 billion a month in reduced bond holdings.
“We’ve never had QT like this, so you’re looking at something you could be writing history books on for 50 years,” Dimon said. Several aspects of quantitative easing programs “backfired,” including negative rates, which he called a “huge mistake.”
Central banks “don’t have a choice because there’s too much liquidity in the system,” Dimon said, referring to the tightening actions. “They have to remove some of the liquidity to stop the speculation, reduce home prices and stuff like that.”
The other large factor worrying Dimon is the Ukraine war and its impact on commodities, including food and fuel. Oil “almost has to go up in price” because of disruptions caused by the worst European conflict since World War II, potentially hitting $150 or $175 a barrel, Dimon said.
“Wars go bad, [they] go South in unintended consequences,” Dimon said. “We’re not taking the proper actions to protect Europe from what’s going to happen to oil in the short run.”
h
huaren2018
油价150,通胀如何能降得下来,
Yellen admits she was wrong that inflation was ‘transitory’
现在工作市场虽然形势还不错,但今早数据显示 Job openings 已经出现了大幅下降, 多家 tech 公司在出财报时宣布 hiring freeze 或 slow hiring
s&p 500 反弹之后不要以为新的牛市已至, 大概率会在夏天开始不久重访 3810 的今年低点
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wawakiki
花街的话是不是要反着听,那些人说过真话吗?
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moonandsixpence
这是制造舆论威胁FED? 不过FED也是一群混蛋就是了。
一步一个脚印
唉,也没啥好办法,躺平吧
f
feo
回复 1楼huaren2018的帖子
最垃圾的就是花街
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loyola
这货估计一直在short,老早就嚷嚷要跌
自由的灵魂
花姐说真话假话都要被揍。所以花姐想开了,怎么能挣钱就怎么说了
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DannyCL
回复 1楼huaren2018的帖子
偶现在空仓准备brace它
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RCW
这家伙明明几周前刚说过the dark cloud is dissipating . 那天银行股大涨
最近tech firms insider buying the highest level since March 2020, 我觉得这才是最重要的信息. 至少说明tech stock 现在insider 都认为很cheap 了.
g
guess
这家伙明明几周前刚说过the dark cloud is dissipating . 那天银行股大涨
最近tech firms insider buying the highest level since March 2020, 我觉得这才是最重要的信息. 至少说明tech stock 现在insider 都认为很cheap 了.
RCW 发表于 2022-06-01 12:51

这个会不会是假的呢
文学城观光团
今天股市没怎么跌啊,才-1%
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huaren2018
今天股市没怎么跌啊,才-1%
文学城观光团 发表于 2022-06-01 13:39

大妈有点狠啊,难道希望一天熔断, 来日方长,韭菜要慢慢割,有时候要长一点再割起来顺手
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ReesWitherspoon
这家伙明明几周前刚说过the dark cloud is dissipating . 那天银行股大涨
最近tech firms insider buying the highest level since March 2020, 我觉得这才是最重要的信息. 至少说明tech stock 现在insider 都认为很cheap 了.
RCW 发表于 2022-06-01 12:51

搜了一下tech insider buying,还真是。
不快乐的心
大妈有点狠啊,难道希望一天熔断, 来日方长,韭菜要慢慢割,有时候要长一点再割起来顺手
huaren2018 发表于 2022-06-01 18:02

呸,谁割谁。我今天加到110%仓位了。
如果被花街割了我也只好潜水死扛了。。。
S
Summerview
空头上周亏急了,需要发发声左右一下市场。
b
bighead12345
Jamie DEMON嘴里能有真话?
G
Geofan
他说的大家都知道啊,没办法,准备着吧
c
chickenrib
本来我比较悲观,听花街这么说,又有点放心了。