德银算第一个投行喊出年底 SP500 3000 点目标; SP500 跌破前低

h
huaren2018
楼主 (北美华人网)
Deutsche Bank cut its official target for the S&P 500 overnight, but said a recession would bring even bigger losses.
“In the event we slide into a recession imminently, we see the market selloff going well beyond average, i.e., into the upper half of the historical range and given elevated initial overvaluation, -35% to -40% or S&P 500 3000,” wrote Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank’s chief global strategist in a note.
这股市算彻底熊了,盘尾本打算笃笃 ROST er,因为这个性质上跟 TJ Maxx 差不多的,最后一刻还是撤了,否则瀑布会导致损失惨重。 现在你随便乱撞,撞到熊股的概率远大于牛股:
“While it won’t be a straight line, [this] is confirmation that selling rallies in bear markets is much easier than buying dips,” Krinsky said.
p
pops
这么个阴跌法,3000也不远了。 Recession 的定义是连续两个季度GDP negative growth。第一个季度已经定性了,大家就是在等第二季度的结果来confirm而已。
公用马甲29
年底才到吗?保守了。
w
wun
记号
g
gokgs
想当年 sp 1500 nasdaq 2600. 也就 10 年前的样子。 泡泡太大了。
f
feemy
不懂,德银很权威吗?经济小白诚心请教。
g
gokgs
不懂,德银很权威吗?经济小白诚心请教。

feemy 发表于 2022-05-19 17:17

股票哪有什么权威阿,俺谁也不信,参考一下可以。
浮力森林
量上不去,如今的小散们精了不肯割肉,吓唬一下就交出筹码了
c
calrose
太保守了,近期会直逼3200
h
homenerd
想当年 sp 1500 nasdaq 2600. 也就 10 年前的样子。 泡泡太大了。
gokgs 发表于 2022-05-19 17:03

就事论事,这个判断符合历史。巴菲都说目前市场就是赌场。
k
kikidelivery
3000点是worst case scenario. Chadha预测年末的target是4750,也挺精分的。
The S&P 500 could plunge to 3,000 if the economy falls into a recession in the near future, which would amount to a roughly 24% drop from the index’s current level of around 3,900, according to a recent note from Deutsche Bank’s chief U.S. equity and global strategist, Binky Chadha. While he has a 4,750 price target for the S&P 500 (over 20% higher than current levels) and predicts a “relief rally” by year-end, there are risks that a “protracted selloff” could slide into a “self-fulfilling recession,” Chadha said.
公用马甲43
喔后面有转折。看来看文章一定要读完。切一块可能就偏了
蔓蔓茵茵
3000 开始建仓
h
heartone
量上不去,如今的小散们精了不肯割肉,吓唬一下就交出筹码了
浮力森林 发表于 2022-05-19 17:29

小三被过去十几年惯的信心比较足,2020.3的暴跌拉升太快。这次得阴跌下去,彻底把小三的耐心磨掉就交枪了
h
huaren2018
SP500 跌破前低,早晨还高开呢
牛掰了 -- 空头!
n
nycsunshine
3000 开始建仓
蔓蔓茵茵 发表于 2022-05-20 00:48

现在 3850 呢!跌不了 20% 了。