原油快到 $105一桶了

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huaren2018
楼主 (北美华人网)
U.S. oil jumps to 7-year high above $104 a barrel as Russian assault prompts supply shortage fears PUBLISHED TUE, MAR 1 20228:00 AM ESTUPDATED 10 MIN AGO \ Oil pumping jacks, also known as “nodding donkeys”, in an oilfield near Neftekamsk, in the Republic of Bashkortostan, Russia, on Thursday, Nov. 19, 2020. Andrewy Rudakov | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Oil prices surged Tuesday, with U.S. crude hitting its highest level since July 2014 as Russia bears down on Ukraine’s capital. Prices first topped the $100 mark last Thursday when Russia invaded Ukraine, prompting fears of supply disruptions from key exporter Russia, in what is already a very tight market.
West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. oil benchmark, jumped more than 8% to $104 per barrel.
International benchmark Brent crude advanced 7.7% to trade at $105.53 per barrel. The contract rose to $105.79 last week, the highest since 2014. On Monday Canada said it was banning Russian oil imports, but so far it’s the only nation to target Russia’s energy complex directly. The financial sanctions imposed by the U.S. and Western allies could carve out room for energy payments to continue.
But the ripple effects are already showing. “Key European financiers to commodity trade houses have already begun curbing financing for commodities trades, and Chinese banks are also pulling back,” JPMorgan said Tuesday in a note to clients. “Current oil price differentials are reflecting a clear unwillingness to take Russian crude,” the firm added.
Ahead of Russia invading Ukraine the global oil market was already tight. Demand has bounced back, while supply has remained constrained. OPEC and its oil-producing allies, which includes Russia, will meet this week to discuss output for April.
The International Energy Agency reportedly agreed Tuesday to release 60 million barrels of oil from global reserves, according to Reuters citing Japan’s industry minister. Of the total the U.S. will release 30 million barrels, according to the report.
IEA’s executive director Fatih Birol said Monday in a tweet that the group was holding an “extraordinary” meeting to discuss “the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on oil supply and how IEA members can play a role in stabilising energy markets.”
Morgan Stanley raised its near-term oil price forecasts on Tuesday, saying the events in Ukraine have introduced a “risk premium in oil prices that is likely to remain in coming months.”
“Against a backdrop of market tightness, even small disruptions can have large price impacts,” the firm added.
Morgan Stanley now sees Brent averaging $110 in the second quarter, up from a prior forecast of $100. Under the firm’s bull case, prices will jump to $125 per barrel.
Goldman Sachs said Sunday that demand destruction is the only “significant remaining balancing mechanism.”
Americans are feeling the impacts of higher oil prices at the pump. The national average for a gallon of gas stood at $3.619 on Tuesday, according to data from AAA, up 24 cents from a month ago.
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iilovecat
受益的是谁呢,是谁呢?韭菜又被收割了,还跟着喊打喊杀,富豪权贵们要笑死
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huaren2018
美股,现在 P/E 高的或负的股票如果出 ER, 即便 meet 或 beat 都可能往死里整的,更别说miss 了
比如今天 AMBA 这只股票,如果比较3个月的财报和这次财报,几乎一模一样,beat 一点点然后 guide in line, 但是走势却是天壤之别,上次大涨,这次狂泻。也就是同样的财报,市场反应跟市场情绪有很大关系“看花街心情”。 这股的估值较高,在牛市是可以的,如果市场情绪偏熊的话就是另外一番景象了
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huaren2018
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steveo
The US and its allies have agreed to a release of 60 million barrels from their reserves, according to two sources familiar with the decision. Half of it — 30 million — will come from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and the other half will come from allies in Europe and Asia.
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fatbeauty
美国的石油生产是可以自给自足的。西德州的页岩油储藏很大,就是开采成本高。现在原油价格上涨,前两年很多关掉的油井都会很快投入开采,供给国内是没有问题的。只是油价上涨对其他产业链的冲击是很大的,运输成本会翻倍,进一步推高通涨。美联储继续加息缩表已成定局。
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huaren2018
过了 106, 股市大盘绷不住了
甜汤
08年时候汽油最多见过5美元一加仑的,还有很多上涨空间
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huaren2018
美国的石油生产是可以自给自足的。西德州的页岩油储藏很大,就是开采成本高。现在原油价格上涨,前两年很多关掉的油井都会很快投入开采,供给国内是没有问题的。只是油价上涨对其他产业链的冲击是很大的,运输成本会翻倍,进一步推高通涨。美联储继续加息缩表已成定局。
fatbeauty 发表于 2022-03-01 11:12

联储将面临两难境地,一方面是时局市场动荡, 另一方面是通胀
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meraviglia
油价这么高,通胀短期不会掉下来了,看来CPI要保持在全年7%+。
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Erichoffman
多谢白等这垃圾
codeshogun 发表于 2022-03-01 12:07

Let's go Brandon!
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cloudy
周末加油花了近$50,加之前油箱半满
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Geofan
可以多囤特斯拉股票,这个对抗高油价有优势
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HighReward
早上刚加了油,mid grade 4.89,上一次加还是4块钱刚出头
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kangqiao
可以多囤特斯拉股票,这个对抗高油价有优势
Geofan 发表于 2022-03-01 14:25

对的,前几天到了750 加少了 主要是没钱了。。。。
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jacketdog
08年时候汽油最多见过5美元一加仑的,还有很多上涨空间
甜汤 发表于 2022-03-01 11:57

湾区早就遍地5刀多一加仑了。。。
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lemon841215
回复 18楼jacketdog的帖子
估计很快就看到7块
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ccang1234
08年时候汽油最多见过5美元一加仑的,还有很多上涨空间
甜汤 发表于 2022-03-01 11:57

已经差不多5了
扶苏
本来以为拜登会开放美国石油生产,没想到他double down了。看不懂。
心函
过了 106, 股市大盘绷不住了
huaren2018 发表于 2022-03-01 11:56

30% up from last week $95 a barrel,俄国周末入侵,Futures market seems大量的leverage squeezes,let it settle first
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brookeyang
本来以为拜登会开放美国石油生产,没想到他double down了。看不懂。
扶苏 发表于 2022-03-01 16:16

拜登不会放弃green deal, 背后有利益集团的。
现在虽然制裁俄罗斯,美国现在还在从俄罗斯进口石油。为什么要精心打造sanction package, 因为还要从俄罗斯买石油,天然气,相关产业银行不能禁。
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Erichoffman
拜登制裁国内的石油输气管道比制裁俄罗斯的都狠!
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wfchangtong
大搞绿色能源嘛, 挺好的,拜登终于实现了一次诺言。
不过因为天然气涨价,最近好多人不烧天然气,改烧劈柴了,搞得市里乌烟瘴气的,反倒不绿色了吧?