1/ SAGE paper on #COVID19 tranmission in children, dated 17 Dec, published 31 Dec. This paper was "approved prioer to the emergence of data on the new variant". It includes analysis on household transmission risk. 2/ As you can see from the graph above, children were more likely to be the index case (i.e. bring the infection home). Compared to those aged 17 and over, the likelihood was 7 times higher for children aged 12-16 years and almost 3 times higher for children under 12. The 'relative transmissibility' means passing the virus on to others. As you can see in the graph, this was also more than twice as likely in children (both under 12 and 12-16) compared to adults. The paper states: "accumulating evidence is consistent with increased transmission occurring amongst school children when schools are open, particularly in children of secondary school age (high confidence)." It also states: "multiple data sources show a reduction in transmission in children following schools closing for half term, and transmission rates increasing again following the post-half term return to school (medium confidence)." To put this in context in terms of how common the infection is in children, here is the most recent ONS data. It is very high. Just to highlight the latest @ONS prevalence survey figures (up to 18 Dec): 1 in 50 (2%) children aged 2-10 and 1 in 33 (3%) secondary-school aged children had #COVID19. Higher than all other groups aged 25 and above. https://twitter.com/Dr2NisreenAlwan/status/1345661874302578689
这个新变异在小孩里面传的特别快,非常麻烦,因为小孩的疫苗到现在还没开始做呢。。。
对了,英国官方是不是辟谣说,英国儿童重症室并没有被新冠压垮,和往年相比,还算正常啊?
道理大家都懂 但是现在延迟两周开课把圣诞新年这一波躲过去再说啊。。。
说起来前几天一个report还发现 也就是说原来所谓的小孩不easily pass给大人的结论是完全错的。。。
https://twitter.com/CarolCampbell4/status/1345786902159482880
Dr. Carol Campbell @CarolCampbell4
Interesting thread about #COVID19 & children in UK. Basically, children are more likely to bring COVID into households than adults & also more likely to transmit the virus. This has important implications for schools. #OntEd @Sflecce @maritstiles @StevenDelDuca @MikeSchreiner
不高,但是可以传给大人啊
不高 但是老师家长死了的报道很多的
住院率/重症率,死亡率 如何,有数据吗 ??