回复 1楼wqguy的帖子 Source: https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=ENRS/2020_11_03/ My take-away is the black voter turn-out is HUGE so far! Hillary lost because of decreased black turnout. It does not look like to same case this year. I will post another stats later this week to see if the trend levels off.
Source: https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=ENRS/2020_11_03/
My take-away is the black voter turn-out is HUGE so far! Hillary lost because of decreased black turnout. It does not look like to same case this year.
I will post another stats later this week to see if the trend levels off.
这个数据按注册政党分类，可以预计一部分注册和党，尤其是相当一部分没注册的中间选民会投拜登，也就是说实际margin 会比这些数字表面上还大。
现在关键是看最后有多少和党会出来投票，以及多少和党会投拜登本或弃权。 这次如赢，黑人投票率高非常关键，这是要归功于BLM把黑人动员起来了。
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