之前洗地说病毒减弱,死亡下降的,进来打脸了。。。今天加州,德州,佛州,录得疫情以来死亡最多的一天。。。

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goneaway
回复 196楼jiaru0099的帖子
来个数据看看,整体死亡率下降了好几倍啊,就亚利桑那和纽约对比图
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goneaway
回复 1楼jiaru0099的帖子
楼主不会用Fuck这个词是个很大的问题,是不是五毛党啊?片子看少了回去补课吧,或者不要老是翻成中文字幕听点原声美版
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happysnowwhite
我就奇怪为什么版上一窝蜂要去关注这样那样的新闻,你就关注自己的county不就知道 情况到底如何,不会被任何风向带偏了吗??
根深叶茂1288 发表于 2020-07-10 22:07

这才叫有毛病,只关心自己county,好像临近county之间都不来回走动似的
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erniuth
回复 194楼jiaru0099的帖子
相对于第一波纽约和新泽西这很低啊,流感的死亡率是百分之零点一或以下,新冠如果降到那个级别就是大号流感了
goneaway 发表于 2020-07-11 19:45

理论死亡率就是0.5-1%啊,掉到1以下再说吧
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nalili88
最近洗地的风向就是这个病毒在减弱,致病致命性不强,所以虽然这些无保障复工的州,一天一万的新增已经三周了,死亡还是下降的
可惜打脸来的太快,今天德州,加州,佛州,已经录得死亡最高的一天
政府竟然还要威胁用减少资金的形式强迫学校只能复工上课,惩罚上网课的
看看那个佛州辛辛苦苦的医生
呵呵
What a fuck world


California, Florida and Texas report highest daily coronavirus death tolls
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-pandemic-highest-death-tolls-california-florida-texas-2020-07-09/
jiaru0099 发表于 2020-07-10 21:48

还是回国吧,国内病毒控制得最好,美国人民这样不怕死没救了,不死个50%照样出去浪
炫彩衣飞舞
可惜没有,而且这么大规模长时间的传播在任何国家也没有
亚利桑那2%的死亡率,五十个得的就要死一个
70以上还是差不多一半的死亡率
其实说明跟以前差不多的
jiaru0099 发表于 2020-07-11 19:47

为什么你说之前不查一下数据呢?
我都反复发过三次了,我们亚利桑那65岁以上 1586 / 13755, 死亡率不到12%
怎么到你口里,就是70岁以上一半死亡呢?
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erniuth
今天洛杉矶的update。住院的27%在ICU 18%插管,还不知道这些人的outcome会是什么样子的。死的51个人里面只有三个18-40,都有underlying condition,65岁以上的有37个。
The Los Angeles County Department of Public Health (Public Health) has confirmed 57 new deaths and 2,916 new cases of COVID-19. There are more than 2,000 people currently hospitalized, 27% of these people are confirmed cases in the ICU and 18% are confirmed cases on ventilators. This remains substantially higher than the 1,350 to 1,450 daily hospitalizations seen four weeks ago.
To date, Public Health has identified 130,242 positive cases of COVID-19 across all areas of LA County, and a total of 3,793 deaths.
Testing results are available for over 1,313,000 individuals with 9% of all people testing positive.
Of the 51 people that passed away (excluding Long Beach and Pasadena), 37 people were over the age of 65 years old, 11 people who died were between the ages of 41 and 65 years old, and three people who died were between the ages of 18 and 40 years old. Forty-three people had underlying health conditions including 32 people over the age of 65 years old, eight people between the ages of 41 to 65 years old, and three people between the ages of 18 and 40 years old. Four deaths were reported by the City of Long Beach and two deaths reported by the city of Pasadena.
Ninety-three percent of people who died had underlying health conditions. Of those who died, information about race and ethnicity is available for 3,529 people (99 percent of the cases reported by Public Health); 46% of deaths occurred among Latino/Latinx residents, 26% among White residents, 16% among Asian residents, 11% among African American/Black residents, less than 1% among Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander residents and 1% among residents identifying with other races. Upon further investigation, 32 cases and two deaths reported earlier were not LA County residents.
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wyz4632
为什么你说之前不查一下数据呢?
我都反复发过三次了,我们亚利桑那65岁以上 1586 / 13755, 死亡率不到12%
怎么到你口里,就是70岁以上一半死亡呢?
炫彩衣飞舞 发表于 2020-07-11 22:02

她是说死亡的人中70岁以上的人占一半
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wyz4632
回复 145楼wyz4632的帖子
赞数据,这就是我要说的,但是光这个不能解释为啥死亡率降了这么多,老人感染比例肯定下降了,但是死亡率到目前看降到了三月的六分之一以下甚至十分之一,这个能解释一部分但是解释不了那么多,这也是我说几个因素合力的结果,我开始也是做病毒毒性不变的假设,根据最近这几州的数据发现希望还是比预期少,所以最大可能性就是毒性下降
goneaway 发表于 2020-07-11 15:57

你考虑到最近测试数也比之前多很多了吗?
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goneaway
回复 187楼wyz4632的帖子
来来来,你们解释一下今天佛州一万五感染45死亡,这已经好几周了,你们说啥时候死亡上去吧,上不去这不就是危害性减少么?有什么问题,毒性减少不一定但是我觉得很可能,不然只是按照感染的年轻,医疗厉害解释不了现在这些数字
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goneaway
回复 182楼erniuth的帖子
谁说的理论死亡率百分之零点五,哪个年龄段的?纽约新泽西那波年轻人死亡率也比百分之零点五高不少
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goneaway
回复 187楼wyz4632的帖子
死亡是硬数字,抛开各种比率不提,纽约那波死亡人数是目前佛州的八倍,德州的十倍,你说说看会不会最终赶上纽约的数字吧,纽约死亡三万二,佛州目前四千二一点,德州三千二
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wyz4632
回复 187楼wyz4632的帖子
来来来,你们解释一下今天佛州一万五感染45死亡,这已经好几周了,你们说啥时候死亡上去吧,上不去这不就是危害性减少么?有什么问题,毒性减少不一定但是我觉得很可能,不然只是按照感染的年轻,医疗厉害解释不了现在这些数字
goneaway 发表于 2020-07-12 18:58

你爱信啥信啥吧 我又不是医学专家 我就住佛州 像我不盼着佛州好一样