这个楼真是奇葩。大统领在某些人眼中真是神一样的地位。。。。一个人的最大价值在于对大统领的忠心。果然是要把奴才文化发扬光大啊。可惜连 Navarro 都做不到川粉颂扬的这样的奴才。做奴才的前提，怎么可以跟主人不一样意见呢？ 再，大统领亲自打脸来了。。。。否认他看到 Navarro memo, 一直到最近。好奇怪川粉如此热爱大统领，却还是没明白大统领始终一贯的风格么：对他个人忠心，做彻底的奴才，他永远是英明神武正确，所有的错处责任都是别人的。 Trump says he didn't see Navarro memos but wouldn't have changed course if he had https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-says-he-didnt-see-navarro-memos-but-wouldnt-have-changed-course-if-he-had/ar-BB12hVUf?ocid=spartanntp President Trump on Tuesday said he had not seen memos from one of his top trade advisers warning in January of the consequences of a potential pandemic, but denied he would have acted differently if he had. The president was asked at a coronavirus press briefing about memos from Peter Navarro in which the trade adviser outlined the economic and public health problems that could arise if the virus spread from mainland China. The memo was circulated in late January, the same time Trump was insisting the issue was "under control."
President Trump on Tuesday said he had not seen memos from one of his top trade advisers warning in January of the consequences of a potential pandemic, but denied he would have acted differently if he had. The president was asked at a coronavirus press briefing about memos from Peter Navarro in which the trade adviser outlined the economic and public health problems that could arise if the virus spread from mainland China. The memo was circulated in late January, the same time Trump was insisting the issue was "under control." luming 发表于 4/7/2020 10:56:00 PM
Fauci比较僵化，什么都要evidence，作为科学家是很严谨。他和那个站台的女教授好像是长期搞HIV研究的。这时候应该要找长期从事流感研究，特别是呼吸领域的专家，还有传染病公卫研究领域的人来提供意见和策略。中国不管钟南山还是王辰曹彬还有广受好评的张文宏，都是呼吸重症领域或者是院感流行病学方面的专家，都有SARS的防控经验，当测序发现SARS-2和SARS高度同源，他们就知道了危险性和防控的严格性，即便这样，SARS-2还比SARS更狡猾。还有控制得比较好的亚洲国家，甚至加拿大，都是有SARS防控经验的，所以都控制得还好。而看白宫work force task每次新闻发布会Fauci和围巾女专家讲的最多的就是HIV，Ebola，这个SARS-2其实跟这些病毒的传播模式防疫方法都不一样，希望后面还有其他专家提供意见吧。总是觉得他们两其实专业不怎么对口的样子。 不管谁在早期预测了疫情的严重程度，CDC的试剂盒开发失败是最关键的一步大错误，在谁应该承担责任方面要承担50%的责任。
Image from a memo to President Trump In late January, President Trump's economic adviser Peter Navarro warned his White House colleagues the novel coronavirus could take more than half a million American lives and cost close to $6 trillion, according to memos obtained by Axios. The state of play: By late February, Navarro was even more alarmed, and he warned his colleagues, in another memo, that up to 2 million Americans could die of the virus. Navarro's grim estimates are set out in two memos — one dated Jan. 29 and addressed to the National Security Council, the other dated Feb. 23 and addressed to the president. The NSC circulated both memos around the White House and multiple agencies. In the first memo, which the New York Times was first to report on, Navarro makes his case for "an immediate travel ban on China." The second lays the groundwork for supplemental requests from Congress, with the warning: "This is NOT a time for penny-pinching or horse trading on the Hill." Why it matters: The president quickly restricted travel from China, moved to delay re-entry of American travelers who could be infected, and dispatched his team to work with Congress on stimulus funds. But Trump was far slower to publicly acknowledge the sort of scenarios Navarro had put in writing. One senior administration official who received Navarro's memos said at the time they were skeptical of his motives and thus his warnings: “The January travel memo struck me as an alarmist attempt to bring attention to Peter’s anti-China agenda while presenting an artificially limited range of policy options." "The supplemental memo lacked any basis for its projections, which led some staff to worry that it could needlessly rattle markets and may not direct funding where it was truly needed." Navarro declined to comment for this story. Former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon defended Navarro's motives, calling the memos "prophetic" and saying Navarro was forced to put his concerns in writing because "there was total blockage to get these facts in front of the President of the United States." The "naivete, arrogance and ignorance" of White House advisers who disagreed with Navarro "put the country and the world in jeopardy," Bannon said, adding that Navarro was sidelined from the task force after the memo. "In this Kafkaesque nightmare, nobody would pay attention to him or the facts." The Jan. 29 memo set out two stark choices: "Aggressive Containment versus No Containment." Navarro compared cost estimates for the choices and wrote that the Council of Economic Advisers' estimates for stopping travel from China to the U.S. would be $2.9 billion per month. If the virus turned out to be a pandemic, that travel ban could extend 12 months and cost the U.S. $34.6 billion. Doing nothing (the "No Containment" option) could range from "zero economic costs" to $5.7 trillion depending on the lethality of the virus. On the high end, he estimated a scenario in which the coronavirus could kill 543,000 Americans. The Feb. 23 memo did not advertise its author as did the first, but it was written by Navarro and distributed to numerous officials through the NSC. It was titled as a memorandum to the president via the offices of the national security adviser, chief of staff and COVID-19 task force, and the subject line described it as a request for supplemental appropriation. It began: "There is an increasing probability of a full-blown COVID-19 pandemic that could infect as many as 100 million Americans, with a loss of life of as many as 1-2 million souls." He called for an "immediate supplemental appropriation of at least $3 billion" to support efforts at prevention, treatment, inoculation and diagnostics. He described expected needs for "Personal Protective Equipment" for health care workers and secondary workers in facilities such as elder care and skilled nursing. He estimated that over a four-to-six-month period, "We can expect to need at least a billion face masks, 200,000 Tyvek suits, and 11,000 ventilator circuits, and 25,000 PAPRs (powered air-purifying respirators)." Navarro clashed this past weekend with Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, over how widely to promote the use of malaria drug hydroxychloroquine to treat the coronavirus. But the January and February memos reveal a more substantial advocacy on his part, with detailed health and economic calculations meant to grab and hold the president's attention. Politico first reported in late February about the existence of memos from Navarro to White House officials, while their details had not been published. Our thought bubble: Axios' health care editor Sam Baker says Navarro's concern about the severity while acknowledging the speculative nature of modeling viruses was largely correct. "These memos place a very big emphasis on banning travel specifically from China —which, of course, Trump did," Baker says. But by Jan. 29, there were confirmed cases in 15 countries, including the U.S. "This is not to say they're a bad idea, only that this is why public-health experts don't lean as heavily on travel restrictions. People come into the U.S. from a lot of places, and with two globalized countries, simply stopping people coming in from Wuhan was not bad but it shouldn't be shocking that it was insufficient." Flashback: "It's going to have a very good ending for us," Trump said of the coronavirus in a speech on Jan. 30. In a Feb. 24 tweet, he said it was "very much under control" and that the stock market is "starting to look very good to me." The World Health Organization declared it a pandemic on March 11. On March 17, the president said, "I've felt it was a pandemic long before it was called a pandemic." Page 1 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 2 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 3 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 4 of a Jan, 29 memoPage 5 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 6 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 7 of a Jan. 29 memoPage 1 of a Feb. 23 memoPage 2 of a Feb. 23 memoPage 3 of a Feb. 23 memoPage 4 of a Feb. 23 memo
绝对延缓了爆发时间，不然美国搞不好比意大利先爆？
冷战不是他挑起的，他可能挑起吗？冷战是2009 后大陆挑起的。 Navarro 只是个观察家，起码在这个世纪大毒灾上，他的直觉起了作用，是非常有远见的。
觉得这个很可能。科学家相信数据，但是政治觉悟不够，不知道我党的数据根本不能相信。
我只看见华人版上，MSM报道个别案例，什么一个三十岁的人病故了，什么一个无病史的人病故了，川黑就立刻高潮了。
然后眼看疫情曲线开始向平稳发展了，川黑那种深深的失望和抑郁哦.......
+1希望更多人看到
navarro眼光比较超前，看到大部分人包括所谓“精英”看不到的大格局变化。当美国大部分“精英”们还沉浸在以globalization去中国寻求财富的美梦中时， 他看到了中国ccp统治下意识形态政治体制与国际社会的不兼容，崛起以后必然挑战以美国为首的国际社会。
对，war room pandemic也放过多次。1月说risk is very low，还反对断航,然后最近开始把断航抢到自己的credit，被bannon抓住了。已经连续放录音打脸两天了。
完全同意
手动点赞！是这样的
简而言之。。。
他这个东西
大统领看了也当放屁一样
该继续咋做咋做。。。
大家可别吹了。。。
看看英文原文吧。。。
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特别认同一点 专业方面的事让这一领域的专家来主导 政府负责统筹协调
可惜大统领没有看见，或者说，视而不见。。。
一看到有人justify右派的东西 华人大妈立刻兴奋不已
admire
看Navarro的简历，他是个业务能力很强的高级参谋，是个king maker，但永远不会是king。这样的人可以忍受很多ego的挑战，直到实现自己的目标。所以看好他在川普幕僚里的旅途
各国都差不多
文革余孽习近平的大外宣,lol