This is the projection of the hospitalized count. For New York state, the projection is much higher than the actual number. The projection number of beds needed is about 45000, while the confirmed cases are 75876. The projection is not very accurate.
例如该模型显示，纽约州预计将在9天内到达顶峰，届时将有近800人死亡和71,000人确诊。
点这个。这是原作者。
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
这年月，啥人都有。
flatten the curve，防的越好，拖的越晚？
Most of people get it earlier?
合理吧。
传染得快，发作得块，早开始早结束。
是每天，写着呢
这个的ASSUMPTIOn是无论何时结束， 感染的人都一样多。 所以只要拖的越晚，CURVE就越Flatten ,就可以了 。
但是实际是，没有强有力的隔离，拖的越晚， 感染的人越多， 程指数上涨， CURVE 根本FLATTEN 不了。
Same feeling!
那个预测是4月9日当天的情况，不是总数
This is the projection of the hospitalized count. For New York state, the projection is much higher than the actual number. The projection number of beds needed is about 45000, while the confirmed cases are 75876. The projection is not very accurate.