March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase. However, we expect that the overall number of confirmed cases will continue to rise as testing capacity increases. The Public Health Department will continue to provide available data to the public as quickly as possible.
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase.
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase.
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase. However, we expect that the overall number of confirmed cases will continue to rise as testing capacity increases. The Public Health Department will continue to provide available data to the public as quickly as possible. icylava 发表于 3/30/2020 5:42:57 PM
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase.
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase.
嗯 用的是Microsoft Power BI, 感觉就是一页ppt。最关键没有positive rate,不知道到底控制住了没有。。
hr6872 发表于 3/30/2020 10:39:17 PM
因为santa clara county每天只测不到50个病人。绝大多数是在quest/labcorp测,county没有数据。这些外面的测试要等一周以上,所以有大量pending.我们看到的数据,是一周以前的。" The state had conducted 89,600 tests as of Friday afternoon but only received results from just over 25,000 of them. More than 64,000 are pending. With a positive-test rate of 18.4% in the results that have come back, that would mean nearly 12,000 more cases across the state, which has a population of 39.7 million."
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/phd/DiseaseInformation/novel-coronavirus/Pages/dashboard.aspx
March 30, 2020 Update: The 202 new confirmed cases reported today include some results that were not previously reported over the past two days. This increase reflects a reporting delay, not necessarily a significant single day increase.
网站上说的,所以这个是因为前两天比较低的有延时导致的。你如果把前面比较低的三天跟今天一平均,就是每天77例左右,并不比更前面两天的84/83那些数目更高。所以这个是一个平稳的增长,没有非常严重的扩张趋势,也算是控制的比较好了。
看到隔壁帖子说加州开始下降,这至少说明加州没有下降。
而且你怎么知道明天不会有更多的delay的case公布出来啊,毕竟几万的pending在那里呢。。。
正解。
我到昨天也很担心那pending的6.5万,不过刚刚有帖子的回复说是刚刚修改了report规则,因为那些主要是private lab的数据,联想到之前说的很多private lab测的只report了阳性的,那么那些所谓的pending可能就是他们没有report出来的阴性的,以及当前测的少量真正的pending的混在一起。所以根据这个回复的话,如果真是这样,那些pending的应该不用太担心。这个解释也合理,要不然一直大部分处于pending状态,大家也都在关注,政府应该会有动作。
希望如此,这样大家都比较安心。
算瞒报吗?
+1,说明增速还是下降了。指数增长没戏。拐点近了。
加州沒有敞開測,而且還有好幾萬pending,所以這些數字根本看不出來真實的增長情況。真實的情況可能更好,也可能更壞。
敞开测的定义?现在发烧超过100度,咳嗽,气急,可以测,不需要医生开单子
为什么这么简单的事情狗屁政府不clarify一下呢?
连阳性的(周末)都没有足够人手录入。几万阴性的谁管。
报告和录入上报还是需要时间。新的更方便的检测方法之后出现出现小峰值不奇怪。因为等于缩短了发现报告周期,本来后面几天才报的叠加到前面去了。不代表疫情加重。如果连小峰都没有那就更说明问题。
这位mm,我看州长说住院人数四天double,Icu人数四天triple。感觉还是不容乐观呢
发烧气短的可以直接开车去Hayward 的测试中心, 不需要doctor order
Re
我有一手资料。北加一个非常大的一个health system. Their positive rate is roughly 7%.
15分钟测试已经投入使用。因为出结果快了。今后几天加州可能会出现异常的增长。再过几天就正常了。
santa clara county用的微软的什么dash board, 数量大,测试lab多的县,数据汇总肯定比较麻烦一点。sonoma的那个dash board自己的数据可能是更新了,列的santa clara县的还是昨天的。
嗯 用的是Microsoft Power BI, 感觉就是一页ppt。最关键没有positive rate,不知道到底控制住了没有。。
santa clara 肯定用了多个lab,很多pending,算不过来。
瞒报是你们厉害国的传统,切勿以己度人
因为santa clara county每天只测不到50个病人。绝大多数是在quest/labcorp测,county没有数据。这些外面的测试要等一周以上,所以有大量pending.我们看到的数据,是一周以前的。" The state had conducted 89,600 tests as of Friday afternoon but only received results from just over 25,000 of them. More than 64,000 are pending. With a positive-test rate of 18.4% in the results that have come back, that would mean nearly 12,000 more cases across the state, which has a population of 39.7 million."
https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/30/coronavirus-california-tops-6000-cases-of-covid-19-with-many-tests-pending/
pamf吗
有啥可紧张的,现在还剩5万多pending,按目前20%左右的阳性率,也就是还有10000多确诊,加州4千万人口,最后确诊2万总是要有的
这个很直观。
Kaiser. Kaiser covers 40% of the population that they have footprint in, so their data should be representative.
那个数据不准。那不是官方网站。I would rely on hospital data. Kaiser’s positive rate is about 7%.