这数据准确性有待商榷,按CDC截止到3/16日的数据,住院率12%,肯定不止64。 https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm As of March 16, a total of 4,226 COVID-19 cases had been reported in the United States, with reports increasing to 500 or more cases per day beginning March 14 (Figure 1). Among 2,449 patients with known age, 6% were aged ≥85, 25% were aged 65–84 years, 18% each were aged 55–64 years and 45–54 years, and 29% were aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). Only 5% of cases occurred in persons aged 0–19 years. Among 508 (12%) patients known to have been hospitalized, 9% were aged ≥85 years, 36% were aged 65–84 years, 17% were aged 55–64 years, 18% were 45–54 years, and 20% were aged 20–44 years. Less than 1% of hospitalizations were among persons aged ≤19 years (Figure 2). The percentage of persons hospitalized increased with age, from 2%–3% among persons aged ≤19 years, to ≥31% among adults aged ≥85 years. (Table). Among 121 patients known to have been admitted to an ICU, 7% of cases were reported among adults ≥85 years, 46% among adults aged 65–84 years, 36% among adults aged 45–64 years, and 12% among adults aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). No ICU admissions were reported among persons aged ≤19 years. Percentages of ICU admissions were lowest among adults aged 20–44 years (2%–4%) and highest among adults aged 75–84 years (11%–31%) (Table). Among 44 cases with known outcome, 15 (34%) deaths were reported among adults aged ≥85 years, 20 (46%) among adults aged 65–84 years, and nine (20%) among adults aged 20–64 years. Case-fatality percentages increased with increasing age, from no deaths reported among persons aged ≤19 years to highest percentages (10%–27%) among adults aged ≥85 years (Table) (Figure 2).
As of March 16, a total of 4,226 COVID-19 cases had been reported in the United States, with reports increasing to 500 or more cases per day beginning March 14 (Figure 1). Among 2,449 patients with known age, 6% were aged ≥85, 25% were aged 65–84 years, 18% each were aged 55–64 years and 45–54 years, and 29% were aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). Only 5% of cases occurred in persons aged 0–19 years. Among 508 (12%) patients known to have been hospitalized, 9% were aged ≥85 years, 36% were aged 65–84 years, 17% were aged 55–64 years, 18% were 45–54 years, and 20% were aged 20–44 years. Less than 1% of hospitalizations were among persons aged ≤19 years (Figure 2). The percentage of persons hospitalized increased with age, from 2%–3% among persons aged ≤19 years, to ≥31% among adults aged ≥85 years. (Table). Among 121 patients known to have been admitted to an ICU, 7% of cases were reported among adults ≥85 years, 46% among adults aged 65–84 years, 36% among adults aged 45–64 years, and 12% among adults aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). No ICU admissions were reported among persons aged ≤19 years. Percentages of ICU admissions were lowest among adults aged 20–44 years (2%–4%) and highest among adults aged 75–84 years (11%–31%) (Table). Among 44 cases with known outcome, 15 (34%) deaths were reported among adults aged ≥85 years, 20 (46%) among adults aged 65–84 years, and nine (20%) among adults aged 20–64 years. Case-fatality percentages increased with increasing age, from no deaths reported among persons aged ≤19 years to highest percentages (10%–27%) among adults aged ≥85 years (Table) (Figure 2).
As of March 16, a total of 4,226 COVID-19 cases had been reported in the United States, with reports increasing to 500 or more cases per day beginning March 14 (Figure 1). Among 2,449 patients with known age, 6% were aged ≥85, 25% were aged 65–84 years, 18% each were aged 55–64 years and 45–54 years, and 29% were aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). Only 5% of cases occurred in persons aged 0–19 years. Among 508 (12%) patients known to have been hospitalized, 9% were aged ≥85 years, 36% were aged 65–84 years, 17% were aged 55–64 years, 18% were 45–54 years, and 20% were aged 20–44 years. Less than 1% of hospitalizations were among persons aged ≤19 years (Figure 2). The percentage of persons hospitalized increased with age, from 2%–3% among persons aged ≤19 years, to ≥31% among adults aged ≥85 years. (Table). Among 121 patients known to have been admitted to an ICU, 7% of cases were reported among adults ≥85 years, 46% among adults aged 65–84 years, 36% among adults aged 45–64 years, and 12% among adults aged 20–44 years (Figure 2). No ICU admissions were reported among persons aged ≤19 years. Percentages of ICU admissions were lowest among adults aged 20–44 years (2%–4%) and highest among adults aged 75–84 years (11%–31%) (Table). Among 44 cases with known outcome, 15 (34%) deaths were reported among adults aged ≥85 years, 20 (46%) among adults aged 65–84 years, and nine (20%) among adults aged 20–64 years. Case-fatality percentages increased with increasing age, from no deaths reported among persons aged ≤19 years to highest percentages (10%–27%) among adults aged ≥85 years (Table) (Figure 2).
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
這個網站怎麽定義重症的?住院的不應該只有這麽少。
re, 重症不高,但是死亡率不低。
这些例子里面应该有一些就死了。累积到死亡人数里面去了。我猜测,估计有比较管用的药。对多数人有效果,但是对年龄很大有并发症的人不管用。
否则重症率和死亡率肯定不止这么点。
死亡率也不高,只有1%左右。
没有药,全国最大药厂之一的礼来,高级别人人都没得救,不要指望是用药。
还挂了两个,他们都是参加全美药厂leadership的人。应该是浓度还不高
中西部几个大药厂的管理层都吓尿了。
如果这个数据对的话,肯定是药物作用,如果Remdisivir在开始用的话, 可能极大降低了重症率。
还有纽约病例最多,好像没有听到纽约ICU超负荷(不是急诊室)的消息?意大利当初和纽约一样多的病例时候,ICU已经崩溃了。
已经三个药了,高大上就走人民的希望,便宜大碗就是痢疾药,今天又出来一个药我还没来的及看
还有一个药马上要trial,没记住名字
如果不是药有希望的话,估计美国就和英国一样,爱谁谁。现在就是把curve摊平,等药大批量出来,大家又可以开始浪了
当然,世界各国标准都一样,上呼吸机的算重症。住院的并不都是重症病人。一般有肺炎症状都会要求住院。
我看的医生的twitter,医生各种讨论各种药的排列组合。。。都是木听说过的药。。。
是呀,现在就是和时间赛跑。如果能够平缓 the curve, 药的效果再进一步得到证明,很多人估计不到重症就好了,也不会挤兑医院。
Remdisivir 马上要揭盲了。
关键是重症和死亡,今晚实时数据纽约也在下降,我觉得美国可能已在临床轻症使用remdisivir
中国的数字你相信吗?
其实我觉得中国后来情况好转也有药的缘故,但是他们肯定不会说是美国的药。
另外德国重症率和死亡率也很低。
我的推断,这病毒很难控制传播,但是在有有效药物的情况下,估计最后死亡率不会很高。
杀生丸说他们医院的治疗方案今天出来了,一线硫酸羟氯喹,二线克力芝,重症患者经检测细胞因子后在IL-6升高的情况下考虑使用托珠单抗,瑞德西韦作为同情用药选择
杀生丸在John Hopkins,今天才出治疗方案,之前也还是支持治疗为主吧
不太相信,克力芝在中国的临床已经失败
那撤呼吸机的标准呢?
中国很多撤不了的,就一直重症。
美国是不是呼吸机几天好不了,就撤了算死亡人数?
以前很多人力捧杀生丸,但是后来我老家四线城市,一个没挂。说明最重要是医疗资源不要被击穿就行。
做做键盘侠都容易,自己上一线就不同了
才64重症?我们医院就14个上呼吸机了
重症是指icu,如果美国现在给住院的开始用药,那确实很可能不少住院的不会转成icu
我记得开始看nih的说从中国数据看感染的20%的要icu,如果是这个百分比,那就很可怕了
住院和重症是两个概念。
你们医院在什么地区,总共多少床位?
等等,他还得上网搜答案
就象New Jersey那个华人男医生,一针下去,很快就回家隔离了,那么ICU是不会超负荷的。
至少乘三
爱国者说用的是中药
轻症根本不给住院吧
三后边加个十