An update, because I see people overly speculating on total outbreak size. Our best current expectation is a few hundred current infections. Expect more analyses tomorrow.
Okay, I found some info here. “According to STAT’s article, “Trevor Bedford, a computational biologist at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, suggested the estimates are sobering and point to continued spread. ‘If it’s not contained shortly, I think we are looking at a pandemic,’ Bedford said, though he cautioned that it’s impossible to know at this point how severe that type of event would be.”
Okay, I found some info here. “According to STAT’s article, “Trevor Bedford, a computational biologist at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, suggested the estimates are sobering and point to continued spread.
‘If it’s not contained shortly, I think we are looking at a pandemic,’ Bedford said, though he cautioned that it’s impossible to know at this point how severe that type of event would be.” noshock 发表于 3/1/2020 2:10:44 AM
【屡次被封杀，不贴图了- 华盛顿州或已有数百例新冠肺炎病例】Fred Hutchinson研究中心的病毒科学家Trevor Bedford分析了Seattle Flu Study小组对撕郡Snohomish County那个小孩身上病毒的测序结果，根据变异情况判断，认为病毒来自于第一例从武汉回西雅图的那个确诊者。这意味着在过去六周内，由于CDC的检测标准只卡中国旅行史，华州已经开始了COVID-19的大面积传播，初步估计有数百人感染
他的twitter上的确也是这么说的：
https://twitter.com/trvrb
An update, because I see people overly speculating on total outbreak size. Our best current expectation is a few hundred current infections. Expect more analyses tomorrow.
英文来源有吗？英文资料不需要中文进口的。在这方面，微信就起捣乱作用，在大陆里面自娱自乐就可以了。
https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1233975581974228994
这人的credibility怎样啊？除非大规模的测，否则只要有漏网的，看起来几乎传开就是无可避免