美国布隆伯格新闻报道称,武汉冠状病毒恐怕将导致全世界2/3人口被感染,死亡接近10个亿。 Prognosis Coronavirus Could Infect Two-Thirds of Globe, Research Shows By John Lauerman February 13, 2020, 9:28 AM CST Updated on February 13, 2020, 11:23 AM CST As the number of coronavirus cases jumps dramatically in China, a top infectious-disease scientist warns that things could get far worse: Two-thirds of the world’s population could catch it. So says Ira Longini, an adviser to the World Health Organization who tracked studies of the virus’s transmissibility in China. His estimate implies that there could eventually be billions more infections than the current official tally of about 60,000. If the virus spreads to anywhere near that extent, it will show the limitations of China’s strict containment measures, including quarantining areas inhabited by tens of millions of people. WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has credited those steps with giving the rest of China and the world a “window” in which to prepare.
这个数学明显不对。根据日本撤侨数据计算的总感染人口的死亡率是0.3-0.6%, 粗粗算的中国湖北省以外的死亡率as of 2/14/2020, 64死亡/11964确诊=0.53%。中国境外死亡率2/517=0.39% as of 2/14/2020. World population 7.7 billion, 预计2/3感染为5.1 billion, 那么死亡人数为0.02 billion 基于病死率0.39%来算。
美国布隆伯格新闻报道称,武汉冠状病毒恐怕将导致全世界2/3人口被感染,死亡接近10个亿。 Prognosis Coronavirus Could Infect Two-Thirds of Globe, Research Shows By John Lauerman February 13, 2020, 9:28 AM CST Updated on February 13, 2020, 11:23 AM CST As the number of coronavirus cases jumps dramatically in China, a top infectious-disease scientist warns that things could get far worse: Two-thirds of the world’s population could catch it. So says Ira Longini, an adviser to the World Health Organization who tracked studies of the virus’s transmissibility in China. His estimate implies that there could eventually be billions more infections than the current official tally of about 60,000. If the virus spreads to anywhere near that extent, it will show the limitations of China’s strict containment measures, including quarantining areas inhabited by tens of millions of people. WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has credited those steps with giving the rest of China and the world a “window” in which to prepare. en010272 发表于 2/14/2020 3:08:00 PM
这个数学明显不对。根据日本撤侨数据计算的总感染人口的死亡率是0.3-0.6%, 粗粗算的中国湖北省以外的死亡率as of 2/14/2020, 64死亡/11964确诊=0.53%。中国境外死亡率2/517=0.39% as of 2/14/2020. World population 7.7 billion, 预计2/3感染为5.1 billion, 那么死亡人数为0.02 billion 基于病死率0.39%来算。
这个数学明显不对。根据日本撤侨数据计算的总感染人口的死亡率是0.3-0.6%, 粗粗算的中国湖北省以外的死亡率as of 2/14/2020, 64死亡/11964确诊=0.53%。中国境外死亡率2/517=0.39% as of 2/14/2020. World population 7.7 billion, 预计2/3感染为5.1 billion, 那么死亡人数为0.02 billion 基于病死率0.39%来算。
美国布隆伯格新闻报道称,武汉冠状病毒恐怕将导致全世界2/3人口被感染,死亡接近10个亿。 Prognosis Coronavirus Could Infect Two-Thirds of Globe, Research Shows By John Lauerman February 13, 2020, 9:28 AM CST Updated on February 13, 2020, 11:23 AM CST As the number of coronavirus cases jumps dramatically in China, a top infectious-disease scientist warns that things could get far worse: Two-thirds of the world’s population could catch it. So says Ira Longini, an adviser to the World Health Organization who tracked studies of the virus’s transmissibility in China. His estimate implies that there could eventually be billions more infections than the current official tally of about 60,000. If the virus spreads to anywhere near that extent, it will show the limitations of China’s strict containment measures, including quarantining areas inhabited by tens of millions of people. WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has credited those steps with giving the rest of China and the world a “window” in which to prepare. en010272 发表于 2/14/2020 3:08:00 PM
这个数学明显不对。根据日本撤侨数据计算的总感染人口的死亡率是0.3-0.6%, 粗粗算的中国湖北省以外的死亡率as of 2/14/2020, 64死亡/11964确诊=0.53%。中国境外死亡率2/517=0.39% as of 2/14/2020. World population 7.7 billion, 预计2/3感染为5.1 billion, 那么死亡人数为0.02 billion 基于病死率0.39%来算。
这个数学明显不对。根据日本撤侨数据计算的总感染人口的死亡率是0.3-0.6%, 粗粗算的中国湖北省以外的死亡率as of 2/14/2020, 64死亡/11964确诊=0.53%。中国境外死亡率2/517=0.39% as of 2/14/2020. World population 7.7 billion, 预计2/3感染为5.1 billion, 那么死亡人数为0.02 billion 基于病死率0.39%来算。
反正现在无药可治
这么有信心的人,难道知道73要开始卖疫苗、卖药、卖血清了吗?
那这回不光是全国人民感谢党、这是要全世界人民感谢党
ccp坚决拒绝美国的调查和援助,坚决保护不让美国得到生物样本
c这是立志垄断冠毒发明权、治愈权、知情权和所有相关权利
不知道啊!但想有postive的心态,土共这么缺德,其他国家可以防范,也不是世界性的灾难!中国人很多傻了,不代表世界人民傻!
还不如说拼人品的时候到了。
还真是,美国最先得到消息,今天还一飞机一飞机的运病毒。
保持乐观是好的
但是这次我对土共没办法乐观的
能杀自己人、如海航王健
能放毒给自己人民
所作所为都是让病毒在扩散
这已经不是那个贪点钱就满足的党
这是个已经疯了、全世界都没办法理解的恶魔
最了解土工的朋友,朝鲜、伊朗、俄罗斯都是第一时间关门
ccp不祸害祸害全世界,是不甘心的
美国人民不被伤到,也会岁月静好的。参见二战美国孤立主义了多久。不乏有人乐见其成呢
我觉得美国现在是措施不够强硬,但也不傻,中国到底发生了什么老美也知道,真到那一天会有大举措的,咱们大家先自己保护好自己,尽量持乐观心态,才健康啊!我对美国这边的情况是乐观的!
你以为cia是只吃饭不干活的,美国政府什么信息都有。
本来就是啊,万一没事呢,未雨绸缪得花多少钱啊
我说了美国都知道啊!为啥火气这么大呢?就因为我乐观?
你冲着土共,cdc开炮吧!
re,反而淡定了,求外星人来接管
有一部分美国人是清醒的、也有正义感
美国也有华尔街、布隆伯格,他们这伙人和ccp一样的贪钱、和ccp一起割全世界韭菜
这是一场战斗,正义与邪恶的对决正在进行中
祷告吧!上帝是公义的!
没有火气,只是说事实,美国什么讯息都有,不是你说的不知道。
澳大利亚分离出了活的病毒,我记得前几天看到的报导。
错了,北京政府才是。
看不下去了 原层主分明说的是美国人知道
sad
大规模爆发的时候,医疗资源用尽,大家都得死,醒醒好么
憋扯淡了,在煎熬的是得病的,一帮没病到的都在期待美日的疫情发作
厄运共同体
瘟疫公司
感觉是拼人品的时候到了。。。。。。。。
WHO的人发的
就算是who的顾问,那也是他个人的观点,他说了这个代表who的官方观点。还有不论什么观点,加上“可能”两字(放心英语里有对应的词语),总是不会错的。新闻媒体要卖报纸,赚点击率,夸张方式,无人不知。
你的见解跟id不搭
如果剩下的全是带病的呢??
你的死亡率是基于有医疗救护的情况下,试问如果5.1 billion的人感染发病,哪里来这么多呼吸机和药物,医护人员来支持? 肺功能衰竭了就玩完了,那个时候的死亡率就不是0.几个百分比了。
只要可以无症状传染,预防就变得不可能。CDC应该早就发现这点了